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Jaylen Warren or Aaron Jones Sr.

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren

RB • Pittsburgh Steelers PIT
Aaron Jones Sr.

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB • Minnesota Vikings MIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Warren over Jones Sr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook Jaylen Warren

Steelers Backfield Leader Poised to Outperform Shifting Market Price

Jaylen Warren enters the season anchoring Pittsburgh's backfield group, sitting atop the depth chart ahead of Rico Dowdle. Operating under new head coach Mike McCarthy, Warren's elite ability to avoid tackles and accumulate yards after contact will keep him highly involved as a trusted dual-threat weapon.

Our models are optimistic about his volume, projecting Warren for 172 carries, 801 rushing yards, and five scores on the ground, alongside 42 receptions for 315 yards. This balanced workload makes him an incredibly safe asset, especially in standard 1.0 PPR scoring leagues.

His market price has fluctuated, spiking to an ADP of 34 in mid-May before stabilizing around 67. At this current late-fifth-round cost, our projections view him as an exceptional value steal who can easily outperform his draft position.

Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Jaylen Warren
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jones Sr. over Warren

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook Aaron Jones Sr.

Steady Market Climb Positions Veteran Minnesota Lead Back as an Intelligent Middle-Round Target

Entering his third season in Minnesota, Aaron Jones Sr. remains the primary option in this backfield. Despite being 31 years old, he is listed as the top running back on the depth chart, ahead of Jordan Mason. Our projections expect a split workload, slateing him for 151 carries and 42 receptions, ensuring he retains an active role in both phases.

Looking at the draft market, fantasy managers are growing increasingly optimistic. His ADP has steadily climbed from around 123 in early May to 109 in mid-June. In a 1.0 PPR format, this upward trajectory makes him an intriguing value, as our models project him to compile 164.8 fantasy points, outperforming his current draft-day cost.

Currently rostered in 98% of leagues, Jones is viewed as a reliable flex option. While his age and past injury struggles present clear ceiling limitations, his established pass-catching floor remains highly valuable. If he stays healthy, he will comfortably beat his current market price.

Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Aaron Jones Sr.
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Next Up ❱ Performance Comparison
Performance Jaylen Warren
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Aaron Jones Sr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Jaylen Warren
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @NE 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 CIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @CLE 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 @TB 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 @NO 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 CLE 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 @CIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @PHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 DEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 @JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 BAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 @TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 @BAL 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Aaron Jones Sr.
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @CHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 @TB 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 @NO 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @DET 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 @GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @SF 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 @NE 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Jaylen Warren
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
72%
+1.23 compared to last week
OWN/START Aaron Jones Sr.
OWN
98%
+0.09 compared to last week
START
53%
-2.37 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Jaylen Warren
28th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Aaron Jones Sr.
35th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Jaylen Warren

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 29th among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 18th with 189.90 total points (10.55 avg).
  • Currently 175.7 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.6.

    • Receiving Stats

  • Top 15 in receptions and is currently ranked 14th among RB.
  • Top 25 in targets and is currently ranked 23rd among RB.
  • Top 15 in reception yards with 333 and 8.33 YPC and is currently ranked 13th among RB.
  • Top 20 in Rec TDs with 2 and is currently ranked 16th among RB.
  • Top 25 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 25th among RB.
  • Top 15 in red zone attempts and is currently ranked 13th among RB.

    • Rushing Stats

  • Top 25 in rush attempts with 229 (12.72 per game) and is currently ranked 21st among RB.
  • Top 20 in rush yards with 1026 (57.00 per game) and is currently ranked 18th among RB.
  • Top 25 in rush tds with 7 (0.39 per game) and is currently ranked 22nd among RB.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: +503, Rush AVG: +0.2 Rush TDs: +6, Receptions: -3, Rec Yards: +6 Rec TDs: +2,

    • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 172, RUSH YDS: 801, RUSH TDS: 5, REC: 42, REC YDS: 315, REC TDS: 1
Breakdown Aaron Jones Sr.

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 36th among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 44th with 96.40 total points (6.89 avg).
  • Currently 269.2 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.9.

    • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 32nd among RB.
  • Top 25 in targets and is currently ranked 23rd among RB.
  • Top 50 in Rec TDs with 1 and is currently ranked 37th among RB.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 28th among RB.

    • Rushing Stats

  • Top 50 in rush yards with 589 (42.07 per game) and is currently ranked 38th among RB.
  • He is top 75 in rush tds with 2 (0.14 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 55th among RB.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -615, Rush AVG: -0.3 Rush TDs: -3, Receptions: -20, Rec Yards: -193 Rec TDs: -1,

    • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 151, RUSH YDS: 673, RUSH TDS: 3, REC: 42, REC YDS: 305, REC TDS: 2
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Jaylen Warren

No Injury Reported

Injury Aaron Jones Sr.

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Jaylen Warren

Week 1
Pittsburgh Steelers VS Atlanta Falcons

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.59367.1223165714.24
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 119.00 total points (7.00 avg).
  • Currently 108 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in turnovers with 23 (1.35 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Ranked 21st in rush defense with 2225 (130.88 per game).
  • Ranked 17th in pass defense with 4016 (236.24 per game).
  • Top 2 in sacks with 57 (3.35 per game) and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 16 (0.94 per game) and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 20 in points against with 23.59 per game and currently ranked 19th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 28th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +6.65, Turnovers: +5 Sacks: +23, INTs: +4, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: -2.47,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 46, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 25.1, YDS/G: 347.1
Matchups Aaron Jones Sr.

Week 1
Minnesota Vikings VS Green Bay Packers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.72316.831693703.70
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 83.00 total points (4.61 avg).
  • Currently 144 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.6 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 335.47 per game and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 18th in rush defense with 2094 (123.18 per game).
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3609 (212.29 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 12 in points against with 21.18 per game and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 30th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +35.93, Turnovers: -19 Sacks: -24, INTs: -12, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +1.87,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 22.5, YDS/G: 331.3
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Jaylen Warren
20.49
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Aaron Jones Sr.
18.14
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Jaylen Warren
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2022 PIT 16 77 379 4.9 1 33 28 214 7.6 0
2023 PIT 16 149 784 5.3 4 74 61 370 6.1 0
2024 PIT 15 120 511 4.3 1 48 38 310 8.2 0
2025 PIT 16 229 1026 4.5 7 45 40 333 8.3 2
3-YEAR AVG 17 169 788 4.7 4 58 48 349 7.2 1
Totals 67 585 2744 4.7 13 207 173 1262 7.3 2
Career Aaron Jones Sr.
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2017 GB 10 81 448 5.5 4 18 9 22 2.4 0
2018 GB 12 133 729 5.5 8 35 26 206 7.9 1
2019 GB 16 236 1084 4.6 16 69 49 474 9.7 3
2020 GB 14 201 1104 5.5 9 63 47 355 7.6 2
2021 GB 15 171 799 4.7 4 65 52 391 7.5 6
2022 GB 16 213 1121 5.3 2 72 59 395 6.7 5
2023 GB 11 142 656 4.6 2 43 30 233 7.8 1
2024 MIN 16 255 1138 4.5 5 62 51 408 8.0 2
2025 MIN 13 141 589 4.2 2 45 31 215 6.9 1
3-YEAR AVG 15 197 886 4.5 4 54 40 296 7.5 1
Totals 130 1645 8068 4.9 56 493 366 2753 7.5 21
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Player News

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    Kyler Murray Joins Vikings as NFL’s Ultimate Dual-Sport Superstar

    @NFL_DovKleiman

  • Jaccob Slavin D • CAR NHL

    Jordan Staal, Sebastian Aho, and Rod Brind’Amour Address Media in Hurricanes Availability

    @CanesPR

  • Jose Ramirez 3B • CLE MLB

    Jose Ramirez To Be Placed On IL With Hamate Fracture

    MLBTradeRumors

  • Cam Schlittler SP • NYY MLB

    Guerrero Jr. Sits as Blue Jays Fall 3-1 to Yankees Despite Gausman Gem

    @ShiDavidi

  • Xander Bogaerts SS • SD MLB

    San Diego's Bogaerts hit on the helmet by a pitch, but he stays in the game against Baltimore

    Washington Times

  • Jordan Martinook LW • CAR NHL

    Jordan Martinook Says He’s Dreamed of Lifting the Stanley Cup “a Million Times” Since Childhood

    @WaltRuff

  • Kyler Murray QB • MIN

    Kyler Murray Joins Vikings as NFL’s Ultimate Dual-Sport Superstar

    @NFL_DovKleiman

  • Tyler Lockett WR •

    Titans WR Tyler Lockett Reveals He Waited Until Age 30 for Sex, Citing His Christian Faith

    @NFL_DovKleiman

  • Jose Ramirez OLB • PHI

    Jose Ramirez Suffers Left Hamate Fracture, Headed to Injured List Note: this tweet is about MLB, not the NFL.

    @AkronJackson

  • Braxton Jones OT • CHI

    Braxton Jones Returns Healthy to Compete for Bears’ Starting Left Tackle Job

    @NicholasMoreano

  • Brandon Aiyuk WR • SF

    Brandon Aiyuk Deletes Critical Videos Targeting 49ers

    @ProFootballTalk

  • Dillon Thieneman S • CHI

    Dillon Thieneman Gaining Comfort and Confidence in Dennis Allen’s Bears Defense

    @NicholasMoreano

  • Jose Ramirez 3B • CLE

    Jose Ramirez To Be Placed On IL With Hamate Fracture

    MLBTradeRumors

  • Cam Schlittler SP • NYY

    Guerrero Jr. Sits as Blue Jays Fall 3-1 to Yankees Despite Gausman Gem

    @ShiDavidi

  • Xander Bogaerts SS • SD

    San Diego's Bogaerts hit on the helmet by a pitch, but he stays in the game against Baltimore

    Washington Times

  • Colson Montgomery SS • CHW

    Colson Montgomery Stings Yamamoto With White Sox’s Hardest-Hit Ball at 110.3 MPH

    @billplunkettocr

  • James Tibbs III RF • LAD

    James Tibbs III Crushes 19th HR to Extend Triple-A PCL Lead for OKC Comets

    @MLBPipeline

  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP • LAD

    Yoshinobu Yamamoto Nears No-Hitter History in Masterful MLB Performance

    @Dodgers

  • Lauri Markkanen PF • UTA

    A reminder of how old Bulls regime botched the two-year draft window

    Chicago Sun-Times

  • Jalen Brunson PG • NY

    Jalen Brunson Leads NBA Finals Scoring as Knicks Hold 3-1 Lead Ahead of Game 5

    @NBA

  • Jalen Brunson PG • NY

    Jalen Brunson Arrives for Game 5 as Knicks Face Spurs

    @NBA

  • Kon Knueppel SG • CHA

    NBA Promo: Kon Knueppel and Dad Featured for Knicks vs. Spurs Game 5

    @NBA

  • Jalen Brunson PG • NY

    Jalen Brunson Arrives for Game 5 as Knicks Lead 3-1 Over Spurs

    @NBA

  • Dylan Harper PG • SA

    Dylan Harper Spotted at Knicks vs. Spurs Game 5 in New York

    @NBA

  • Jaccob Slavin D • CAR

    Jordan Staal, Sebastian Aho, and Rod Brind’Amour Address Media in Hurricanes Availability

    @CanesPR

  • Jordan Martinook LW • CAR

    Jordan Martinook Says He’s Dreamed of Lifting the Stanley Cup “a Million Times” Since Childhood

    @WaltRuff

  • Rod Brind'Amour HC • CAR

    Rod Brind’Amour Says Hurricanes Ready for “Opportunity of a Lifetime”

    @WaltRuff

  • Rod Brind'Amour HC • CAR

    Rod Brind’Amour: “Depends Who You Are” on Contact During Canes’ Run

    @JeffMarek

  • Owen Say G • CGY

    Flames Prospect Owen Say Announces Engagement to Vanessa

    @NHLFlames

  • Brandon Bussi G • CAR

    Hurricanes One Win Away from First Stanley Cup in 20 Years After Game 5 Win

    @drosennhl

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled