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Kyle Pitts Sr. or Jake Ferguson

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TEAtlanta Falcons ATL
Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson

TEDallas Cowboys DAL
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Pitts Sr. over Ferguson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kyle Pitts Sr.

Historic Extension Locks in Long-Term Role Amid Shifting Market Value

Atlanta solidified Kyle Pitts as their clear top tight end by signing him to a record-breaking three-year, $54 million extension. Operating as the primary option in the tight end room ahead of Austin Hooper, he remains a key cog in the passing game. Our projections expect Pitts to be heavily involved, forecasting 74 receptions on 106 targets.

Draft market trends show his ADP has steadily declined from the high 40s in early June to a stable 84.00 by late July. In a 1.0 PPR format, this sliding cost transforms Pitts from a risky premium pick into a massive draft-day value steal. Our models project 812 receiving yards and four touchdowns, outpacing his deflated price.

While Pitts recently voiced some uncertainty regarding the team's quarterback situation, his individual talent profile keeps his weekly ceiling high. Ristered in all leagues and starting in most, he remains a regular starter who could easily exceed market expectations.


Updated 7 hrs ago

Latest News Kyle Pitts Sr.
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Ferguson over Pitts Sr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jake Ferguson

Reliable Target Volume Solidifies Ferguson as a Premium Value in the Mid-to-Late Rounds

Coming off a highly productive season where he caught 87 passes for 660 yards and eight touchdowns, Jake Ferguson enters the year as the undisputed lead tight end in Dallas. Working alongside quarterback Dak Prescott and star receiver CeeDee Lamb, Ferguson remains a core fixture in a high-powered passing offense.

Our projections anticipate another robust campaign, forecasting 71 receptions on 93 targets for 591 yards and six touchdowns. Ferguson himself noted in the spring that the Cowboys' offense has only scratched the surface, pointing to high-end development and deep talent within his position room.

Historically a reliable fantasy starter, Ferguson's ADP has slipped from the mid-70s in early June to a stable 111 in July. At this discounted price point, the draft market has created an excellent value opportunity in PPR formats, making him a safe, high-floor target to anchor your tight end slot.


Updated 7 hrs ago

Latest News Jake Ferguson
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Performance Kyle Pitts Sr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jake Ferguson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Kyle Pitts Sr.
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Jake Ferguson
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @NYG πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @HOU πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 @PHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 ARI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 TEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 PHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 @SEA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 JAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 NYG πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Kyle Pitts Sr.
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
81%
+1.4 compared to last week
OWN/START Jake Ferguson
OWN
88%
-2.81 compared to last week
START
55%
+0.21 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Kyle Pitts Sr.
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jake Ferguson
16th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Kyle Pitts Sr.

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 7th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 125.30 total points (6.96 avg).
  • Currently 72.5 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 3 in receptions and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 3 in targets and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 20 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 18th among TE.
  • Top 3 in reception yards with 953 and 10.59 YPC and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 15 in Rec TDs with 5 and is currently ranked 14th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 18 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +90, Rec Yards: +953 Rec TDs: +5,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 74, REC YDS: 812, REC TDS: 4
Breakdown Jake Ferguson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 15th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 112.20 total points (6.23 avg).
  • Currently 85.6 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.2.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 3 in receptions and is currently ranked 3rd among TE.
  • Top 10 in targets and is currently ranked 8th among TE.
  • Top 3 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 3 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 3rd among TE.
  • Top 15 in reception yards with 660 and 7.59 YPC and is currently ranked 13th among TE.
  • Top 6 in Rec TDs with 8 and is currently ranked 5th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +24, Rec Yards: +109 Rec TDs: +8,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 71, REC YDS: 591, REC TDS: 6
Next Up Health Check
Injury Kyle Pitts Sr.

No Injury Reported

Injury Jake Ferguson

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Kyle Pitts Sr.

Week 1
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.17372.0630165134.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 7th with 141.00 total points (7.83 avg).
  • Currently 86 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in turnovers with 27 (1.59 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Ranked 13th in rush defense with 2021 (118.88 per game).
  • Ranked 30th in pass defense with 4676 (275.06 per game).
  • Top 6 in sacks with 48 (2.82 per game) and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 18 in points against with 22.76 per game and currently ranked 17th among DST.
  • Top 10 in Total TDs with 3 (0.18 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +66.36, Turnovers: -4 Sacks: +6, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.02,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 24.2, YDS/G: 379.3
Matchups Jake Ferguson

Week 1
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
25.82405.531593923.70
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 32nd in rush defense with 2707 (159.24 per game).
  • Ranked 19th in pass defense with 4187 (246.29 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 25.82 per game and currently ranked 26th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 17th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +37.06, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: -13, INTs: EVEN, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +2.06,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 11, TDS: 3, PA/G: 27.4, YDS/G: 382
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Kyle Pitts Sr.
16.74
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jake Ferguson
13.47
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Kyle Pitts Sr.
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 ATL 16 123 90 953 10.6 5 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 9 62 45 477 10.6 3 0 0 0 0
Totals 18 123 90 953 10.6 5 0 0 0 0
Career Jake Ferguson
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2022 DAL 11 22 19 174 9.2 2 0 0 0 0
2023 DAL 16 102 71 761 10.7 5 0 0 0 0
2024 DAL 14 86 59 494 8.4 0 0 0 0 0
2025 DAL 16 108 87 660 7.6 8 2 2 1 0
3-YEAR AVG 17 103 76 669 8.8 5 1 1 1 0
Totals 62 331 247 2216 9.0 18 2 2 1 0
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs ATH 09:40 EDT EST
ATL vs SD 07:15 EDT EST
BAL @BOS 07:10 EDT EST
CHC vs DET 08:05 EDT EST
CHW @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
CIN @SEA 09:40 EDT EST
CLE vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST
COL vs WAS 08:40 EDT EST
HOU vs MIA 08:10 EDT EST
KC vs SF 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs STL 09:38 EDT EST
LAD @PHI 06:40 EDT EST
MIL vs NYM 07:40 EDT EST
NYY vs PIT 07:05 EDT EST
TB @TOR 07:07 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled