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Caleb Williams or Daniel Jones

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

QBChicago Bears CHI
Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones

QBIndianapolis Colts IND
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Jones

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Williams

High-Upside Year 3 Leap Beckons in Dynamic Bears Offense

Caleb Williams enters his third NFL season poised for another step forward at the helm of Ben Johnson's offense. Surrounded by proven perimeter playmakers like Rome Odunze alongside versatile tight end Colston Loveland, Williams commands an explosive passing attack that continues to expand in efficiency and tempo.

Our projections forecast Williams for 3,825 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, paired with 400 rushing yards and four scores on the ground (290.0 fantasy points). Coming off a 32-touchdown campaign, his dual-threat mobility establishes a reliable weekly baseline with top-tier ceiling potential.

Draft market sentiment has cooled recently, as Williams' ADP slid from pick 73 down into the 110s late in August. With fantasy manager start rates rebounding up to 74%, our models view this declining draft cost as an outstanding value buy for managers hunting a high-ceiling starter.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Caleb Williams
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jones over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Daniel Jones

Firm Grip on Starting Role Offers Overlooked Late-Round Value

Jones enters the season fully cleared from his Achilles tear and firmly entrenched as the starter ahead of Riley Leonard and Anthony Richardson. Operating under head coach Shane Steichen, Jones is coming off an efficient 2025 campaign where he tossed 21 touchdowns and posted a 100.1 passer rating across 14 contests.

The Colts bolstered his weaponry by signing veteran receiver Keenan Allen to pair with Alec Pierce, Josh Downs, and tight end Tyler Warren. Our models project Jones for 3,650 passing yards, 22 passing scores, and 253.0 total fantasy points, providing a steady baseline in Steichen's offense.

Draft sentiment has cooled, with his ADP sliding from around pick 180 in late July down to 226 entering September. That dropping market cost turns him into an intriguing late-round value and dependable streaming target in 1.0 PPR leagues.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Daniel Jones
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Performance Caleb Williams
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Daniel Jones
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Caleb Williams

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Daniel Jones

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Caleb Williams
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
74%
+1.23 compared to last week
OWN/START Daniel Jones
OWN
42%
-5.83 compared to last week
START
 
4%
+2.32 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Caleb Williams
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Daniel Jones
23rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Caleb Williams

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 11th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 376.56 total points (18.83 avg).
  • Currently 57.68 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 4181 (232.28 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 30 (1.67 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 349 (19.39 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1406, TDs: +15, INTs: +6
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3825, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 400, RUSH TDS: 4
Breakdown Daniel Jones

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 25th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 17th with 243.28 total points (17.38 avg).
  • Currently 190.96 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 17.4.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 20 in pass yards with 3282 (234.43 per game) and is currently ranked 19th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 21 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 19th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass completions with 280 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 20th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1212, TDs: +13, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3650, PASS TDS: 22, RUSH YDS: 175, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Caleb Williams

No Injury Reported

Injury Daniel Jones

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Caleb Williams

Week 1
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.00338.5022163123.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 16th with 103.00 total points (5.72 avg).
  • Currently 124 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 23rd in rush defense with 2243 (131.94 per game).
  • Top 12 in pass defense with 3850 (226.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.35 per game and currently ranked 15th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 15th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -56.26, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: -5, INTs: +8, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: -6.94,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.8, YDS/G: 347.7
Matchups Daniel Jones

Week 1
Indianapolis Colts VS Baltimore Ravens

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.41383.2920113023.94
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 20th with 93.00 total points (5.47 avg).
  • Currently 134 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.5.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in rush defense with 1891 (111.24 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 29th in pass defense with 4625 (272.06 per game).
  • Top 18 in points against with 23.41 per game and currently ranked 18th among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 14th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +70.61, Turnovers: +1 Sacks: -26, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.15,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 40, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 24.9, YDS/G: 376.8
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Caleb Williams
18.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Daniel Jones
14.99
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Caleb Williams
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 CHI 16 3541 63% 20 6 87.8 483 0 5
2025 CHI 16 4542 57% 32 9 89.5 424 3 2
ON PACE 72 20439 57% 144 41 89.5 1908 14 9
3-YEAR AVG 12 2574 60% 17 4 89.4 296 1 2
Totals 37 8340 60% 54 18 87.7 947 3 7
Career Daniel Jones
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2019 NYG 13 3027 62% 24 12 87.7 279 2 22
2020 NYG 14 2943 63% 11 10 80.4 423 1 6
2021 NYG 11 2428 64% 10 7 84.8 298 2 3
2022 NYG 16 3205 67% 15 5 92.5 708 7 3
2023 NYG 6 909 68% 2 6 70.5 206 1 1
2024 NYG 10 2070 63% 8 7 79.4 265 2 2
2025 IND 14 3282 68% 21 8 100.1 180 5 3
ON PACE 63 14769 68% 95 36 100.1 810 23 14
3-YEAR AVG 11 2207 66% 9 6 84.5 427 3 2
Totals 86 18300 65% 93 56 86.8 2461 20 40
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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