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Baker Mayfield or Bo Nix

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

QBTampa Bay Bucs TB
Bo Nix

Bo Nix

QBDenver Broncos DEN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mayfield over Nix

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Baker Mayfield

Proven Production and Late-Round Value Make Tampa Bay's Signal-Caller a Steal

Tampa Bay's passing offense looks different this season with Mike Evans departing, but our data suggests Baker Mayfield remains a highly stable fantasy asset. Operating behind an offensive line anchored by Tristan Wirfs, Mayfield will lean on Chris Godwin Jr. alongside emerging targets like Jalen McMillan and Emeka Egbuka.

Our projections expect Mayfield to throw for 3,777 yards and 26 touchdowns, closely matching his solid 2025 campaign where he tossed 27 scores. He also offers a helpful rushing floor, coming off a career-high 401 rushing yards last year, with our models forecasting another 327 yards on the ground.

Draft market trends show Mayfield's ADP holding steady around 136. At this modest price tag, fantasy managers can secure a highly efficient signal-caller with stable weekly utility, making him an outstanding late-round value target in 1.0 PPR formats.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Baker Mayfield
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nix over Mayfield

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Bo Nix

Dual-Threat Skillset and Elite New Weapons Position Denver's Franchise Passer as a Premier Draft-Day Value

Bo Nix is progressing well after a spring ankle cleanup procedure, with head coach Sean Payton expecting him fully healthy by training camp. Denver's starting quarterback has been highly productive over his first two seasons, averaging over 3,850 passing yards and compiling 54 passing touchdowns alongside strong rushing contributions.

Our models are highly optimistic, projecting Nix for 3,777 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, and another 335 yards on the ground. He will benefit from a bolstered receiving corps that features star acquisition Jaylen Waddle alongside Courtland Sutton, providing Nix with a significantly higher ceiling than in years past.

Despite this upside, Nix's ADP has remained stubbornly stable in the late ninth to tenth round, hovering around pick 110. For fantasy managers in standard or 1.0 PPR formats, our projections indicate that Nix is a prime draft-day steal at this cost, offering reliable starter numbers at a backup price.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Bo Nix
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Performance Baker Mayfield
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Bo Nix
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Baker Mayfield

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Bo Nix

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Baker Mayfield
OWN
85%
+2.89 compared to last week
START
40%
+2.65 compared to last week
OWN/START Bo Nix
OWN
89%
+0.47 compared to last week
START
45%
-6.43 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Baker Mayfield
20th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Bo Nix
17th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Baker Mayfield

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 21st among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 275.46 total points (15.30 avg).
  • Currently 158.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3734 (207.44 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 352 (19.56 per game) and is currently ranked 7th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 13 (0.72 per game) and is currently ranked 6th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -682, TDs: -12, INTs: -2
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3777, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 327, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Bo Nix

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 17th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 8th with 328.90 total points (18.27 avg).
  • Currently 105.34 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3931 (231.24 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass tds with 25 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass completions with 388 (22.82 per game) and is currently ranked 4th.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 11 (0.65 per game) and is currently ranked 15th.
  • Top 5 in rushing TDs with 5 (0.29 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +756, TDs: +3, INTs: EVEN
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3777, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 335, RUSH TDS: 4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Baker Mayfield

No Injury Reported

Injury Bo Nix

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Baker Mayfield

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.88
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 25th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 14th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Matchups Bo Nix

Week 1
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
19.29325.8214103503.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 21st with 90.00 total points (5.29 avg).
  • Currently 137 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 325.82 per game and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1871 (110.06 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3668 (215.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in points against with 19.29 per game and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 32nd in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +71.09, Turnovers: -14 Sacks: -20, INTs: -6, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: +2.79,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 42, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 20.5, YDS/G: 320.4
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Baker Mayfield
16.99
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Bo Nix
17.30
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Baker Mayfield
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 CLE 14 3725 64% 27 14 93.7 131 0 6
2019 CLE 16 3827 59% 22 21 78.8 141 3 3
2020 CLE 16 3826 63% 29 8 97.2 168 1 4
2021 CLE 14 3010 61% 17 13 83.1 134 1 3
2022 CAR 12 2163 60% 10 8 79.0 89 1 2
2023 TB 16 4044 64% 28 10 94.6 163 1 3
2024 TB 16 4500 71% 41 16 106.8 378 3 2
2025 TB 16 3734 63% 27 13 88.3 401 1 3
3-YEAR AVG 18 4383 66% 35 14 97.6 332 2 3
Totals 129 29904 63% 210 106 91.4 1670 11 27
Career Bo Nix
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 DEN 16 3775 66% 29 12 93.3 430 4 0
2025 DEN 16 3931 63% 25 11 87.8 356 5 2
3-YEAR AVG 12 2617 65% 18 8 90.5 276 3 1
Totals 36 8129 64% 58 24 90.4 858 9 2
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled