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Caleb Williams or Sam Darnold

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

QBChicago Bears CHI
Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold

QBSeattle Seahawks SEA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Darnold

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Williams

High-Upside Year 3 Leap Beckons in Dynamic Bears Offense

Caleb Williams enters his third NFL season poised for another step forward at the helm of Ben Johnson's offense. Surrounded by proven perimeter playmakers like Rome Odunze alongside versatile tight end Colston Loveland, Williams commands an explosive passing attack that continues to expand in efficiency and tempo.

Our projections forecast Williams for 3,825 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, paired with 400 rushing yards and four scores on the ground (290.0 fantasy points). Coming off a 32-touchdown campaign, his dual-threat mobility establishes a reliable weekly baseline with top-tier ceiling potential.

Draft market sentiment has cooled recently, as Williams' ADP slid from pick 73 down into the 110s late in August. With fantasy manager start rates rebounding up to 74%, our models view this declining draft cost as an outstanding value buy for managers hunting a high-ceiling starter.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Caleb Williams
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Darnold over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Sam Darnold

Undervalued Starting Quarterback Poised to Outperform Depressed Draft Cost

Sam Darnold enters the 2026 campaign firmly established as Seattle's starting quarterback after passing for 4,292 yards and 27 touchdowns last season. Operating alongside proven pass catchers Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, and Rashid Shaheed, Darnold commands a passing attack with ample perimeter weapons.

Our projections anticipate another productive campaign, forecasting 3,800 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, and 100 rushing yards for 254 fantasy points. While he offers minimal rushing upside, his solid pocket efficiency provides a dependable baseline in traditional leagues.

Despite his solid projection, market sentiment has cooled considerably. Darnold's ADP tumbled from 149 in mid-July down to 230 by September, leaving him rostered in only 35% of leagues. Relative to this depressed draft price, our data views Darnold as an overlooked value steal in deep formats and a reliable streaming option.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Sam Darnold
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Performance Caleb Williams
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Sam Darnold
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
20250.01050
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
20250.01050
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Caleb Williams

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Sam Darnold

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Caleb Williams
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
74%
+1.23 compared to last week
OWN/START Sam Darnold
OWN
35%
+0.77 compared to last week
START
 
5%
-1.49 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Caleb Williams
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Sam Darnold
24th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Caleb Williams

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 11th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 376.56 total points (18.83 avg).
  • Currently 57.68 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 4181 (232.28 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 30 (1.67 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 349 (19.39 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1406, TDs: +15, INTs: +6
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3825, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 400, RUSH TDS: 4
Breakdown Sam Darnold

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 24th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 11th with 301.36 total points (14.35 avg).
  • Currently 132.88 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 14.4.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 6 in pass yards with 4292 (238.44 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 339 (18.83 per game) and is currently ranked 14th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 14 (0.78 per game) and is currently ranked 5th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +622, TDs: -4, INTs: +2
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3800, PASS TDS: 24, RUSH YDS: 100, RUSH TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Caleb Williams

No Injury Reported

Injury Sam Darnold

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Caleb Williams

Week 1
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.00338.5022163123.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 16th with 103.00 total points (5.72 avg).
  • Currently 124 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 23rd in rush defense with 2243 (131.94 per game).
  • Top 12 in pass defense with 3850 (226.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.35 per game and currently ranked 15th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 15th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -56.26, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: -5, INTs: +8, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: -6.94,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.8, YDS/G: 347.7
Matchups Sam Darnold

Week 1
Seattle Seahawks VS New England Patriots

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
17.86264.6727154863.51
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 3rd with 174.00 total points (8.29 avg).
  • Currently 53 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 326.94 per game and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1849 (108.76 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 10 in pass defense with 3709 (218.18 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.82 per game and currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 2 in Total TDs with 5 (0.29 per game) and currently ranked 2nd among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -80.45, Turnovers: +15 Sacks: +19, INTs: +8, TDs: +4, Points Allowed: -7.14,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 36, INT: 13, TDS: 6, PA/G: 20, YDS/G: 313.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Caleb Williams
18.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Sam Darnold
14.73
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Caleb Williams
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 CHI 16 3541 63% 20 6 87.8 483 0 5
2025 CHI 16 4542 57% 32 9 89.5 424 3 2
ON PACE 72 20439 57% 144 41 89.5 1908 14 9
3-YEAR AVG 12 2574 60% 17 4 89.4 296 1 2
Totals 37 8340 60% 54 18 87.7 947 3 7
Career Sam Darnold
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 NYJ 13 2865 58% 17 15 77.6 138 1 4
2019 NYJ 13 3024 62% 19 13 84.3 62 2 6
2020 NYJ 12 2208 60% 9 11 72.7 217 2 2
2021 CAR 12 2526 60% 9 13 71.9 222 5 4
2022 CAR 6 1143 59% 7 3 92.6 106 2 2
2023 SF 10 297 61% 2 1 85.1 15 1 1
2024 MIN 16 4319 66% 35 12 102.5 212 1 4
2025 SEA 16 4292 67% 27 14 100.1 94 0 6
ON PACE 72 19314 67% 122 63 100.1 423 0 27
3-YEAR AVG 15 3051 66% 22 9 99.9 113 1 4
Totals 105 21591 62% 131 83 87.1 1099 14 30
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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