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JAX
o42.5
-2.5
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14
17
FINALFINAL
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o51.5
+1
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+3
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o44.5
-7
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Caleb Williams or Baker Mayfield

Who Should I Start? - Week 6 • Start New
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

QB • Chicago Bears CHI
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

QB • Tampa Bay Bucs TB
OR
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Mayfield

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Williams ... 23.08%

BOTH ... 0%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 17.5
CMP/ATT PASS YD PASS TD INT RUSH YD RUSH TD FPTS
20.6/33.6 231.1 1.5 0.7 27.5 0.2 17.5
No projection for today.
Coming soon.
Outlook Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams at Atlanta — Poised to Return in Shootout Spot

After missing three games with a hamstring tear, Williams logged consecutive full practices this week and is tracking to return Sunday against the Falcons, pending final medical clearance. Chicago's offense desperately missed his dynamic presence, and getting him back under center instantly raises the ceiling for weapons like Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III.

Williams faces an Atlanta defense in an indoor matchup boasting serious shootout potential. Our weekly projection targets 16.8 fantasy points, forecasting approximately 222 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns. While fantasy managers have steadily boosted his start rate back up to 33%, his limited mobility post-injury makes him a risky fantasy option. Check back before kickoff for final active confirmation.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 18 hrs ago
Latest News Caleb Williams
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EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mayfield over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Mayfield ... 7.69%

BOTH ... 0%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 0
CMP/ATT PASS YD PASS TD INT RUSH YD RUSH TD FPTS
0/0 0 0 0 0 0 0
No projection for today.
Coming soon.
Outlook Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield vs PIT — Trending doubtful with thumb injury

Baker Mayfield remains doubtful for Sunday's matchup against the Steelers as he continues to recover from a dislocated right thumb. After missing practice again late in the week, he has yet to resume throwing in earnest, paving the way for backup Jalon Daniels to make another start under center. Be sure to check back often for the latest updates on Mayfield's progress.

Fantasy managers have responded accordingly, leaving his start rate at under 1% across leagues. While our models offer a projection of 5.6 fantasy points and 83 passing yards in the event of emergency action, Mayfield cannot be trusted in active lineups. Keep him firmly on fantasy benches or IR slots until he is medically cleared and logs full practices.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 18 hrs ago
Latest News Baker Mayfield
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Performance Caleb Williams
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Baker Mayfield
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Caleb Williams

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Baker Mayfield

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Caleb Williams
OWN
99%
+2.44 compared to last week
START
33%
+30.75 compared to last week
OWN/START Baker Mayfield
OWN
24%
-5.21 compared to last week
START
 
0%
-0.16 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Caleb Williams
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Baker Mayfield
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Caleb Williams

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 10th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 29th with 44.98 total points (9.00 avg).
  • Currently 96.98 points behind the leader: Josh Allen
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • He is listed on the injury report about his Hamstring (Since Oct 16, 2026). Check out his player news for a closer look.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 9.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 407 (81.40 per game) and is currently ranked 34th among QB.
  • Top 50 in pass tds with 2 (0.40 per game) and is currently ranked 39th among QB.
  • Top 5 in rushing TDs with 2 (0.40 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -520, TDs: -6, INTs: -1
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3750, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 325, RUSH TDS: 3
Breakdown Baker Mayfield

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts don't even rank him among QB's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 32nd with 35.10 total points (7.02 avg).
  • Currently 106.86 points behind the leader: Josh Allen
  • He is listed on the injury report about his Right Thumb (Since Sep 27, 2026). Check out his player news for a closer look.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 615 (123.00 per game) and is currently ranked 30th among QB.
  • Top 50 in pass tds with 2 (0.40 per game) and is currently ranked 38th among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -668, TDs: -8, INTs: +1
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3000, PASS TDS: 21, RUSH YDS: 225, RUSH TDS: 3
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Caleb Williams

HAMSTRING - Since Oct 16, 2026

Williams was a full participant in practice on Friday heading into Week 6 versus the Falcons.
Injury Baker Mayfield

RIGHT THUMB - Since Sep 27, 2026

Mayfield has been ruled out heading into Week 6 versus the Steelers.
Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Caleb Williams

Week 6
Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.40341.60411114.18
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 13th among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 19th with 25.00 total points (5.00 avg).
  • Currently 34 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in rush defense with 401 (80.20 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 1307 (261.40 per game).
  • Top 22 in points against with 24.40 per game and currently ranked 22nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in Total TDs with 1 (0.20 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +82.1, Turnovers: -2 Sacks: +1, INTs: -2, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.9,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 51, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 25.1, YDS/G: 347.1
Matchups Baker Mayfield

Week 6
Tampa Bay Bucs VS Pittsburgh Steelers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.80337.00841114.30
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 4th among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 38.00 total points (7.60 avg).
  • Currently 21 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.1 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in turnovers with 8 (1.60 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Ranked 13th in rush defense with 517 (103.40 per game).
  • Ranked 18th in pass defense with 1168 (233.60 per game).
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 4 (0.80 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 10 in points against with 21.80 per game and currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 10 in Total TDs with 1 (0.20 per game) and currently ranked 10th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +67.17, Turnovers: -2 Sacks: -5, INTs: -1, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: -3.87,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 24.2, YDS/G: 379.3
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Caleb Williams
14.93
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Baker Mayfield
11.60
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Caleb Williams
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 CHI 16 3541 63% 20 6 87.8 483 0 5
2025 CHI 16 4542 57% 32 9 89.5 424 3 2
2026 CHI 2 407 66% 2 1 92.0 107 2 0
ON PACE 7 1465 66% 7 4 92.0 385 7 0
3-YEAR AVG 12 2574 60% 17 4 89.4 296 1 2
Totals 39 8747 60% 56 19 87.9 1054 5 7
Career Baker Mayfield
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 CLE 14 3725 64% 27 14 93.7 131 0 6
2019 CLE 16 3827 59% 22 21 78.8 141 3 3
2020 CLE 16 3826 63% 29 8 97.2 168 1 4
2021 CLE 14 3010 61% 17 13 83.1 134 1 3
2022 CAR 12 2163 60% 10 8 79.0 89 1 2
2023 TB 16 4044 64% 28 10 94.6 163 1 3
2024 TB 16 4500 71% 41 16 106.8 378 3 2
2025 TB 16 3734 63% 27 13 88.3 401 1 3
2026 TB 3 615 64% 2 2 80.0 65 1 3
ON PACE 11 2214 64% 7 7 80.0 234 4 11
3-YEAR AVG 18 4383 66% 35 14 97.6 332 2 3
Totals 132 30519 64% 212 108 91.2 1735 12 30
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Matchups

Week 6
ARI @LAR
ATL vs CHI
BAL @CLE
BUF @LV
CAR @PHI
CIN vs BYE
DAL @GB
DEN vs SEA
DET vs BYE
HOU @JAC
IND vs TEN
KC vs LAC
MIA vs BYE
MIN vs BYE
NE vs NYJ
NO @NYG
PIT @TB
SF vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
CLE vs TB 08:00 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
BOS @LA 9:00 PM EST
BUF @MON 7:00 PM EST
CAR @WPG 3:30 PM EST
CBJ vs NYR 7:00 PM EST
CHI vs DAL 7:00 PM EST
DET vs SJ 7:00 PM EST
EDM @UTA 10:00 PM EST
FLA vs SEA 6:00 PM EST
NJ @WAS 1:00 PM EST
NSH vs STL 8:00 PM EST
NYI @TOR 7:00 PM EST
OTT @PHI 7:00 PM EST
PIT @VGK 10:00 PM EST
TB vs VAN 4:00 PM EST