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Caleb Williams or Joe Burrow

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

QBChicago Bears CHI
Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow

QBCincinnati Bengals CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Burrow

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Williams

Madden Cover Star Poised for Major Fantasy Leap in Dynamic Chicago Passing Attack

Entering his third season, Caleb Williams is primed to lead Chicago’s potent offense under coach Ben Johnson. Supported by an impressive receiving corps featuring Rome Odunze, Luther Burden III, and tight end Colston Loveland, Williams is coming off a productive year where he threw for 4,542 yards and 32 touchdowns.

The market has taken notice of his elite upside. Williams' ADP has steadily risen from 95 in early June to 77 by mid-July, reflecting building hype. At this current draft cost, he represents a high-value target who can serve as a weekly foundational piece for fantasy managers looking to wait on quarterback.

Our projections slate him for 3,804 passing yards and 27 touchdowns, paired with 388 yards and two scores on the ground. Even if his completion percentage fluctuates, his heavy volume and rushing baseline make him a highly reliable option.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Caleb Williams
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burrow over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Joe Burrow

High-Powered Bengals Offense Positions Joe Burrow for Elite Return

Joe Burrow enters the year with immense confidence, comparing this roster to his legendary 2019 LSU championship squad. Operating as the undisputed starter alongside elite playmakers Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, he has the tools to succeed. Our models project him to lead a highly productive passing game, especially with plans to explore more under-center play-action to unlock explosive plays.

In drafts, Burrow's ADP has stabilized around 57. While his draft cost briefly spiked into the mid-30s in early June, his price has settled back down, representing an excellent value. At this current late-fifth-round cost, our projections view him as a premier target who can anchor your fantasy quarterback position.

Our projections slate Burrow for 4,330 passing yards and 34 passing touchdowns, totaling 302.9 fantasy points. If he stays healthy, his elite efficiency and upgraded roster offer comfortable top-tier upside.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Joe Burrow
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Performance Caleb Williams
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Joe Burrow
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Caleb Williams

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Joe Burrow

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Caleb Williams
OWN
95%
-0.35 compared to last week
START
45%
-10.81 compared to last week
OWN/START Joe Burrow
OWN
100%
+2.33 compared to last week
START
88%
+1.45 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Caleb Williams
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Joe Burrow
4th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Caleb Williams

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 10th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 376.56 total points (18.83 avg).
  • Currently 57.68 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 4181 (232.28 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 30 (1.67 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 349 (19.39 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1406, TDs: +15, INTs: +6
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3804, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 388, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Joe Burrow

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 4th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 28th with 134.46 total points (16.81 avg).
  • Currently 299.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 1809 (226.13 per game) and is currently ranked 31st among QB.
  • Top 25 in pass tds with 17 (2.13 per game) and is currently ranked 24th among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 8 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -2832, TDs: -25, INTs: -3
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Like guys who average a lot of tds per game? Then you'll love him.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4330, PASS TDS: 34, RUSH YDS: 159, RUSH TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Caleb Williams

No Injury Reported

Injury Joe Burrow

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Caleb Williams

Week 1
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.00338.5022163123.45
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 16th with 103.00 total points (5.72 avg).
  • Currently 124 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Ranked 23rd in rush defense with 2243 (131.94 per game).
  • Top 12 in pass defense with 3850 (226.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.35 per game and currently ranked 15th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 17th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -56.26, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: -5, INTs: +8, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: -6.94,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 11, TDS: 1, PA/G: 23.8, YDS/G: 347.7
Matchups Joe Burrow

Week 1
Cincinnati Bengals VS Tampa Bay Bucs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.18374.0623133723.94
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 17th with 98.00 total points (5.76 avg).
  • Currently 129 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in turnovers with 23 (1.35 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in rush defense with 1754 (103.18 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Ranked 28th in pass defense with 4605 (270.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 20 in points against with 24.18 per game and currently ranked 20th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 15th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +60.95, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -12, INTs: +6, TDs: EVEN, Points Allowed: +3.18,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 25.7, YDS/G: 358.3
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Caleb Williams
17.94
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Joe Burrow
17.83
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Caleb Williams
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 CHI 16 3541 63% 20 6 87.8 483 0 5
2025 CHI 16 4542 57% 32 9 89.5 424 3 2
3-YEAR AVG 12 2574 60% 17 4 89.4 296 1 2
Totals 37 8340 60% 54 18 87.7 947 3 7
Career Joe Burrow
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 CIN 10 2688 65% 13 5 89.8 142 3 4
2021 CIN 16 4611 70% 34 14 108.3 118 2 2
2022 CIN 16 4527 69% 36 12 101.6 259 5 3
2023 CIN 10 2309 67% 15 6 91.0 88 0 1
2024 CIN 16 4918 71% 43 9 108.5 201 2 5
2025 CIN 8 1809 67% 17 5 100.7 41 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 12 3012 69% 25 7 101.9 110 1 2
Totals 81 21583 68% 162 53 100.8 919 13 15
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Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs WAS 04:05 EDT EST
ATL vs TEX 01:35 EDT EST
BAL @HOU 02:10 EDT EST
BOS vs TB 01:35 EDT EST
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @TOR 12:15 EDT EST
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST
CLE vs PIT 01:40 EDT EST
DET @LAA 04:07 EDT EST
KC vs SD 02:10 EDT EST
LAD @NYY 07:20 EDT EST
MIA @MIL 02:10 EDT EST
NYM @PHI 01:35 EDT EST
SEA vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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