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Trevor Lawrence or Caleb Williams

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence

QBJacksonville Jaguars JAC
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

QBChicago Bears CHI
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lawrence over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor Lawrence

Prime Post-Hype Value Primed for a Major Year 6 Leap

Trevor Lawrence enters his sixth season anchoring the Jacksonville offense under a stable scheme designed to unlock his consistency. Backed by key weapons like Brian Thomas Jr. and Jakobi Meyers, Lawrence has the supporting cast to build upon his past successes. We project him to comfortably lead this passing game as the undisputed focal point.

Our projections slate Lawrence for 3,862 passing yards and 26 passing touchdowns. He also maintains dual-threat value, projected for 339 rushing yards and five scores on the ground. This rushing baseline secures a safe weekly floor, making him a reliable starter who is currently rostered in 94% of fantasy leagues.

Lawrence's ADP has stabilized around pick 92 after some early summer fluctuation. This price tag represents a massive value steal in drafts. While his fantasy start rate sits at 76%, his current draft cost lets managers secure a high-upside quarterback in the late-eighth round, allowing them to easily load up on premium skill positions early.


Updated 17 hrs ago

Latest News Trevor Lawrence
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Lawrence

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Williams

Madden Cover Star Poised for Another Massive Leap in Year Three

Focus on Caleb Williams' daily work with Ben Johnson and his explosive supporting cast, which features Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III. After throwing for 4,542 yards and 32 touchdowns in his sophomore year, the Bears' signal-caller is primed to lead an even more efficient, high-flying offense in 2026.

Analyzing his market value, Williams' ADP has settled around 85.5, briefly spiking into the early fifth round amidst Madden cover hype before stabilizing as a premium middle-round target. In 1.0 PPR leagues, our models view this price point as an absolute steal given his elite ceiling and his quarterback-friendly ecosystem.

Although quarterbacks coach J.T. Barrett is urging him to take fewer risky deep shots, our projections expect high-volume production with 3,796 passing yards and 27 touchdowns. If he couples his elite arm with improved efficiency, he could easily smash his ADP.


Updated 17 hrs ago

Latest News Caleb Williams
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Performance Trevor Lawrence
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Caleb Williams
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Trevor Lawrence

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Caleb Williams

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Trevor Lawrence
OWN
94%
+0.55 compared to last week
START
76%
+2.18 compared to last week
OWN/START Caleb Williams
OWN
90%
-1.31 compared to last week
START
45%
+0.46 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Trevor Lawrence
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Caleb Williams
11th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Trevor Lawrence

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 10th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 374.70 total points (19.72 avg).
  • Currently 59.54 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 19.7.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 6 in pass yards with 4263 (236.83 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 32 (1.78 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass completions with 359 (19.94 per game) and is currently ranked 6th.
  • Top 3 in interceptions with 15 (0.83 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 6 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2145, TDs: +22, INTs: +8
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3862, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 339, RUSH TDS: 5
Breakdown Caleb Williams

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 11th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 376.56 total points (18.83 avg).
  • Currently 57.68 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 4181 (232.28 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 30 (1.67 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 349 (19.39 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1406, TDs: +15, INTs: +6
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3796, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 375, RUSH TDS: 3
Next Up Health Check
Injury Trevor Lawrence

No Injury Reported

Injury Caleb Williams

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Trevor Lawrence

Week 1
Jacksonville Jaguars VS Cleveland Browns

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.29326.1218115344.18
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 129.00 total points (7.59 avg).
  • Currently 98 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.6.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 326.12 per game and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Ranked 14th in rush defense with 2039 (119.94 per game).
  • Top 4 in pass defense with 3505 (206.18 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 4 in sacks with 53 (3.12 per game) and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 14 in points against with 22.29 per game and currently ranked 14th among DST.
  • Top 4 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 4th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +10.59, Turnovers: +3 Sacks: +13, INTs: +5, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: -4.76,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 43, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.7, YDS/G: 301.4
Matchups Caleb Williams

Week 1
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.00338.5022163123.51
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 16th with 103.00 total points (5.72 avg).
  • Currently 124 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 23rd in rush defense with 2243 (131.94 per game).
  • Top 12 in pass defense with 3850 (226.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.35 per game and currently ranked 15th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 22nd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -56.26, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: -5, INTs: +8, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: -6.94,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 39, INT: 11, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.8, YDS/G: 347.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Trevor Lawrence
17.64
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Caleb Williams
17.86
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Trevor Lawrence
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2021 JAC 16 3641 60% 12 17 71.9 334 2 5
2022 JAC 16 4113 66% 25 8 95.2 291 5 9
2023 JAC 16 4016 66% 21 14 88.5 339 4 7
2024 JAC 10 2045 61% 11 7 85.2 119 3 1
2025 JAC 16 4263 61% 32 15 90.4 388 9 4
3-YEAR AVG 15 3441 63% 21 12 88.6 282 5 4
Totals 81 18790 63% 109 68 85.8 1536 23 26
Career Caleb Williams
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 CHI 16 3541 63% 20 6 87.8 483 0 5
2025 CHI 16 4542 57% 32 9 89.5 424 3 2
3-YEAR AVG 12 2574 60% 17 4 89.4 296 1 2
Totals 37 8340 60% 54 18 87.7 947 3 7
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled