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Trevor Lawrence or Caleb Williams

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence

QBJacksonville Jaguars JAC
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

QBChicago Bears CHI
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lawrence over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor Lawrence

Poised for Top-12 Upside as Shifting Market Price Creates Draft Bargain

Lawrence enters his second season in coordinator Liam Coen's offense following a productive 2025 campaign where he totaled 4,263 passing yards and 32 passing touchdowns. With perimeter playmakers Brian Thomas Jr. and Jakobi Meyers leading the receiving room, continued scheme continuity should keep Jacksonville's aerial attack operating at a high level.

Our projections anticipate another quality campaign, forecasting 4,000 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, and 295 rushing yards (292.0 fantasy points). Although a 56% start rate reflects his valuation on the QB1/QB2 borderline in single-quarterback formats, his mobility gives him a resilient weekly floor.

In draft rooms, Lawrence's ADP has experienced a steady late-summer slide, drifting from around pick 88 in late July down past pick 127. This cooling market makes him an enticing value steal for fantasy managers waiting on quarterback depth.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Trevor Lawrence
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Lawrence

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Williams

High-Upside Year 3 Leap Beckons in Dynamic Bears Offense

Caleb Williams enters his third NFL season poised for another step forward at the helm of Ben Johnson's offense. Surrounded by proven perimeter playmakers like Rome Odunze alongside versatile tight end Colston Loveland, Williams commands an explosive passing attack that continues to expand in efficiency and tempo.

Our projections forecast Williams for 3,825 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, paired with 400 rushing yards and four scores on the ground (290.0 fantasy points). Coming off a 32-touchdown campaign, his dual-threat mobility establishes a reliable weekly baseline with top-tier ceiling potential.

Draft market sentiment has cooled recently, as Williams' ADP slid from pick 73 down into the 110s late in August. With fantasy manager start rates rebounding up to 74%, our models view this declining draft cost as an outstanding value buy for managers hunting a high-ceiling starter.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Caleb Williams
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Performance Trevor Lawrence
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Caleb Williams
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Trevor Lawrence

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Caleb Williams

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Trevor Lawrence
OWN
98%
+1.52 compared to last week
START
56%
-7.69 compared to last week
OWN/START Caleb Williams
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
74%
+1.23 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Trevor Lawrence
9th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Caleb Williams
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Trevor Lawrence

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 9th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 374.70 total points (19.72 avg).
  • Currently 59.54 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 19.7.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 6 in pass yards with 4263 (236.83 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 32 (1.78 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass completions with 359 (19.94 per game) and is currently ranked 6th.
  • Top 3 in interceptions with 15 (0.83 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 6 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2145, TDs: +22, INTs: +8
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4000, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 295, RUSH TDS: 4
Breakdown Caleb Williams

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 11th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 376.56 total points (18.83 avg).
  • Currently 57.68 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 4181 (232.28 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 30 (1.67 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 349 (19.39 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1406, TDs: +15, INTs: +6
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3825, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 400, RUSH TDS: 4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Trevor Lawrence

No Injury Reported

Injury Caleb Williams

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Trevor Lawrence

Week 1
Jacksonville Jaguars VS Cleveland Browns

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.29326.1218115344.24
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 129.00 total points (7.59 avg).
  • Currently 98 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.6.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 326.12 per game and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Ranked 14th in rush defense with 2039 (119.94 per game).
  • Top 4 in pass defense with 3505 (206.18 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 4 in sacks with 53 (3.12 per game) and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 14 in points against with 22.29 per game and currently ranked 14th among DST.
  • Top 6 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 5th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +10.59, Turnovers: +3 Sacks: +13, INTs: +5, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: -4.76,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 43, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 23.7, YDS/G: 301.4
Matchups Caleb Williams

Week 1
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.00338.5022163123.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 16th with 103.00 total points (5.72 avg).
  • Currently 124 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 23rd in rush defense with 2243 (131.94 per game).
  • Top 12 in pass defense with 3850 (226.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.35 per game and currently ranked 15th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 15th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -56.26, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: -5, INTs: +8, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: -6.94,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.8, YDS/G: 347.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Trevor Lawrence
17.63
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Caleb Williams
18.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Trevor Lawrence
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2021 JAC 16 3641 60% 12 17 71.9 334 2 5
2022 JAC 16 4113 66% 25 8 95.2 291 5 9
2023 JAC 16 4016 66% 21 14 88.5 339 4 7
2024 JAC 10 2045 61% 11 7 85.2 119 3 1
2025 JAC 16 4263 61% 32 15 90.4 388 9 4
ON PACE 72 19184 61% 144 68 90.4 1746 41 18
3-YEAR AVG 15 3441 63% 21 12 88.6 282 5 4
Totals 81 18790 63% 109 68 85.8 1536 23 26
Career Caleb Williams
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 CHI 16 3541 63% 20 6 87.8 483 0 5
2025 CHI 16 4542 57% 32 9 89.5 424 3 2
ON PACE 72 20439 57% 144 41 89.5 1908 14 9
3-YEAR AVG 12 2574 60% 17 4 89.4 296 1 2
Totals 37 8340 60% 54 18 87.7 947 3 7
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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