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Caleb Williams or Brock Purdy

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

QBChicago Bears CHI
Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy

QBSan Francisco 49ers SF
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Purdy

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Williams

Madden Cover Star Poised for Another Massive Leap in Year Three

Focus on Caleb Williams' daily work with Ben Johnson and his explosive supporting cast, which features Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III. After throwing for 4,542 yards and 32 touchdowns in his sophomore year, the Bears' signal-caller is primed to lead an even more efficient, high-flying offense in 2026.

Analyzing his market value, Williams' ADP has settled around 85.5, briefly spiking into the early fifth round amidst Madden cover hype before stabilizing as a premium middle-round target. In 1.0 PPR leagues, our models view this price point as an absolute steal given his elite ceiling and his quarterback-friendly ecosystem.

Although quarterbacks coach J.T. Barrett is urging him to take fewer risky deep shots, our projections expect high-volume production with 3,796 passing yards and 27 touchdowns. If he couples his elite arm with improved efficiency, he could easily smash his ADP.


Updated 17 hrs ago

Latest News Caleb Williams
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Purdy over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brock Purdy

Surgical Efficiency and Revamped Weapons Make Purdy a Premium Draft Value

Brock Purdy enters his fifth season leading a revamped 49ers passing attack. With Brandon Aiyuk away, San Francisco aggressively bolstered its receiving corps by adding veteran superstar Mike Evans and slot technician Christian Kirk to play alongside rookie Ricky Pearsall and elite tight end George Kittle. This explosive collection of playmakers positions Purdy to remain one of the league's most efficient passers.

Our models project Purdy for another highly productive season, forecasting 4,037 passing yards and 28 touchdowns against 14 interceptions. While critics debate his system dependency, Purdy's historic efficiency and elite deep-ball accuracy make him a high-floor fantasy asset. He also offers sneaky rushing value, projected for 263 yards and three touchdowns on the ground.

Purdy's ADP has experienced notable summer volatility, spiking into the early single-digit rounds before settling back to a highly attractive pick 105 draft price. Backed by our projection of 285.9 fantasy points, Purdy represents a major draft-day steal. He is a premier late-round quarterback target capable of producing low-end QB1 numbers at a double-digit round discount.


Updated 17 hrs ago

Latest News Brock Purdy
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Performance Caleb Williams
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Brock Purdy
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Caleb Williams

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Brock Purdy

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Caleb Williams
OWN
90%
-1.31 compared to last week
START
45%
+0.46 compared to last week
OWN/START Brock Purdy
OWN
98%
+0.18 compared to last week
START
65%
-3.58 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Caleb Williams
11th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Brock Purdy
11th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Caleb Williams

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 11th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 376.56 total points (18.83 avg).
  • Currently 57.68 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 4181 (232.28 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 30 (1.67 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 349 (19.39 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1406, TDs: +15, INTs: +6
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3796, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 375, RUSH TDS: 3
Breakdown Brock Purdy

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 12th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 206.88 total points (10.34 avg).
  • Currently 227.36 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 2360 (131.11 per game) and is currently ranked 26th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 21 (1.17 per game) and is currently ranked 20th among QB.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 13 (0.72 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -1102, TDs: +3, INTs: +4
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4037, PASS TDS: 28, RUSH YDS: 263, RUSH TDS: 3
Next Up Health Check
Injury Caleb Williams

No Injury Reported

Injury Brock Purdy

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Caleb Williams

Week 1
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.00338.5022163123.51
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 16th with 103.00 total points (5.72 avg).
  • Currently 124 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 23rd in rush defense with 2243 (131.94 per game).
  • Top 12 in pass defense with 3850 (226.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.35 per game and currently ranked 15th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 22nd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -56.26, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: -5, INTs: +8, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: -6.94,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 39, INT: 11, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.8, YDS/G: 347.7
Matchups Brock Purdy

Week 1
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.25304.9030205224.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 6th with 145.00 total points (7.25 avg).
  • Currently 82 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in turnovers with 25 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 12 in rush defense with 2007 (118.06 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Ranked 18th in pass defense with 4091 (240.65 per game).
  • Top 10 in sacks with 47 (2.76 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 16 (0.94 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 10 in points against with 20.35 per game and currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 18th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -22.99, Turnovers: +11 Sacks: +8, INTs: +9, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -1.33,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 48, INT: 14, TDS: 3, PA/G: 21.6, YDS/G: 348
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Caleb Williams
17.86
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Brock Purdy
17.43
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Caleb Williams
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 CHI 16 3541 63% 20 6 87.8 483 0 5
2025 CHI 16 4542 57% 32 9 89.5 424 3 2
3-YEAR AVG 12 2574 60% 17 4 89.4 296 1 2
Totals 37 8340 60% 54 18 87.7 947 3 7
Career Brock Purdy
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2022 SF 9 1374 67% 13 4 107.3 13 1 0
2023 SF 16 4280 69% 31 11 113.0 144 2 2
2024 SF 15 3864 66% 20 12 96.1 323 5 3
2025 SF 10 2360 70% 21 13 96.2 163 3 2
3-YEAR AVG 15 3759 68% 25 12 101.2 235 3 2
Totals 58 13623 67% 93 44 101.0 802 12 9
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled