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o48.5
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Caleb Williams or Brock Purdy

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

QBChicago Bears CHI
Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy

QBSan Francisco 49ers SF
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Purdy

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Williams

High-Upside Year 3 Leap Beckons in Dynamic Bears Offense

Caleb Williams enters his third NFL season poised for another step forward at the helm of Ben Johnson's offense. Surrounded by proven perimeter playmakers like Rome Odunze alongside versatile tight end Colston Loveland, Williams commands an explosive passing attack that continues to expand in efficiency and tempo.

Our projections forecast Williams for 3,825 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, paired with 400 rushing yards and four scores on the ground (290.0 fantasy points). Coming off a 32-touchdown campaign, his dual-threat mobility establishes a reliable weekly baseline with top-tier ceiling potential.

Draft market sentiment has cooled recently, as Williams' ADP slid from pick 73 down into the 110s late in August. With fantasy manager start rates rebounding up to 74%, our models view this declining draft cost as an outstanding value buy for managers hunting a high-ceiling starter.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Caleb Williams
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Purdy over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brock Purdy

High-Efficiency Production Offers Tremendous Late-Round Fantasy Value

Anchoring Kyle Shanahan’s offense, Brock Purdy enters 2026 surrounded by high-end playmakers including Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel Sr., and George Kittle. Despite some injuries and turnover across the receiving corps, Purdy enjoyed a sharp training camp, developing rapid chemistry with rookie receiver De'Zhaun Stribling and other complementary weapons.

We project another highly efficient campaign for Purdy, forecasting 4,015 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, and 250 rushing yards with three scores on the ground (294.0 total fantasy points). His quick decision-making and willingness to extend plays when needed ensure a reliable weekly scoring baseline in standard formats.

Fantasy drafters have cooled on Purdy throughout the preseason, watching his ADP plummet from around 104 in late July down past 156 by September. Given our strong scoring projections, this steep market discount turns him into an outstanding draft-day value steal for managers waiting on quarterback in drafts.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Brock Purdy
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Performance Caleb Williams
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Brock Purdy
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Caleb Williams

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Brock Purdy

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Caleb Williams
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
74%
+1.23 compared to last week
OWN/START Brock Purdy
OWN
96%
+2.32 compared to last week
START
32%
-3.51 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Caleb Williams
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Brock Purdy
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Caleb Williams

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 11th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 376.56 total points (18.83 avg).
  • Currently 57.68 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 4181 (232.28 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 30 (1.67 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 349 (19.39 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1406, TDs: +15, INTs: +6
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3825, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 400, RUSH TDS: 4
Breakdown Brock Purdy

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 10th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 206.88 total points (10.34 avg).
  • Currently 227.36 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 2360 (131.11 per game) and is currently ranked 26th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 21 (1.17 per game) and is currently ranked 20th among QB.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 13 (0.72 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -1102, TDs: +3, INTs: +4
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4015, PASS TDS: 25, RUSH YDS: 250, RUSH TDS: 3
Next Up Health Check
Injury Caleb Williams

No Injury Reported

Injury Brock Purdy

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Caleb Williams

Week 1
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.00338.5022163123.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 16th with 103.00 total points (5.72 avg).
  • Currently 124 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 23rd in rush defense with 2243 (131.94 per game).
  • Top 12 in pass defense with 3850 (226.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.35 per game and currently ranked 15th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 15th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -56.26, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: -5, INTs: +8, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: -6.94,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.8, YDS/G: 347.7
Matchups Brock Purdy

Week 1
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.25304.9030205224.24
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 6th with 145.00 total points (7.25 avg).
  • Currently 82 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in turnovers with 25 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 12 in rush defense with 2007 (118.06 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Ranked 18th in pass defense with 4091 (240.65 per game).
  • Top 10 in sacks with 47 (2.76 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 16 (0.94 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 10 in points against with 20.35 per game and currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 18th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -22.99, Turnovers: +11 Sacks: +8, INTs: +9, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -1.33,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 14, TDS: 4, PA/G: 21.6, YDS/G: 348
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Caleb Williams
18.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Brock Purdy
17.18
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Caleb Williams
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 CHI 16 3541 63% 20 6 87.8 483 0 5
2025 CHI 16 4542 57% 32 9 89.5 424 3 2
ON PACE 72 20439 57% 144 41 89.5 1908 14 9
3-YEAR AVG 12 2574 60% 17 4 89.4 296 1 2
Totals 37 8340 60% 54 18 87.7 947 3 7
Career Brock Purdy
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2022 SF 9 1374 67% 13 4 107.3 13 1 0
2023 SF 16 4280 69% 31 11 113.0 144 2 2
2024 SF 15 3864 66% 20 12 96.1 323 5 3
2025 SF 10 2360 70% 21 13 96.2 163 3 2
ON PACE 45 10620 70% 95 59 96.2 734 14 9
3-YEAR AVG 15 3759 68% 25 12 101.2 235 3 2
Totals 58 13623 67% 93 44 101.0 802 12 9
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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