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Darren Waller or Dalton Kincaid

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Darren Waller

Darren Waller

TEn/a
Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

TEBuffalo Bills BUF
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Waller over Kincaid

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Darren Waller

Late-Career Efficiency Keeps Veteran Tight End on the Fantasy Radar

Darren Waller enters the twilight of his career with plenty of question marks surrounding his team status. After a brief 2025 campaign with Miami where he caught 24 passes for 283 yards and an impressive six touchdowns in just eight games, his ability to produce when healthy remains clear. However, entering his age-33 season without a locked-in starting role has fantasy managers hesitating.

Our models reflect this uncertainty, as Waller's fantasy ownership has experienced a steady decline over the last month. Roster percentage has dipped from 50% down to 40%, while start percentages hover near a meager 11%. This trend shows that fantasy managers are treating him as a high-risk stash rather than a weekly contributor.

If Waller finds a stable home, his past efficiency makes him an intriguing late-round flyer. In PPR formats, his red-zone prowess could easily translate into quick production. For now, he remains a high-volatility backup tight end who is best left on league waiver wires until his landing spot and health are resolved.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Darren Waller
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kincaid over Waller

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Dalton Kincaid

Healthy and Primed for a Major Leap in a High-Powered Bills Offense

Dalton Kincaid opted against offseason knee surgery, reporting he feels the best of his career. Though listed behind veteran Dawson Knox on the depth chart, our projections position Kincaid as Buffalo's clear top pass-catching tight end. He should command a significant slice of the target share in an offense featuring DJ Moore and Keon Coleman.

Our models project Kincaid for 59 receptions on 86 targets, yielding 701 yards and 5 touchdowns. This 159.0-point PPR projection reflects his elite efficiency; last year, he averaged a career-high 14.6 yards per catch and matched his career-best with five scores in just 12 games.

Market trends reveal Kincaid's draft stock is rising. His ADP has climbed from 118 in May to around 102, showing fantasy managers are buying into his clean bill of health. At this price point, our projections view him as an outstanding value with high-end TE1 upside.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Dalton Kincaid
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Performance Darren Waller
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Dalton Kincaid
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Darren Waller
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Dalton Kincaid
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @HOU πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 LAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 @LV πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 @MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 @NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 @NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 @DEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 @MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
19 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
20 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Darren Waller
OWN
40%
+0.43 compared to last week
START
11%
+1.75 compared to last week
OWN/START Dalton Kincaid
OWN
81%
-1.37 compared to last week
START
23%
-3.27 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Darren Waller
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Dalton Kincaid
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Darren Waller

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among TE's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 28th with 64.70 total points (5.39 avg).
  • Currently 133.1 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.4.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 50 in receptions and is currently ranked 50th among TE.
  • Top 50 in targets and is currently ranked 47th among TE.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 35th among TE.
  • Top 50 in reception yards with 283 and 11.79 YPC and is currently ranked 44th among TE.
  • Top 10 in Rec TDs with 6 and is currently ranked 9th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 11 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +19, Rec Yards: +238 Rec TDs: +6,
Breakdown Dalton Kincaid

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 14th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 110.20 total points (5.51 avg).
  • Currently 87.6 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.5.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 30th among TE.
  • Top 35 in targets and is currently ranked 33rd among TE.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 26th among TE.
  • Top 20 in reception yards with 571 and 14.64 YPC and is currently ranked 19th among TE.
  • Top 15 in Rec TDs with 5 and is currently ranked 14th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -3, Rec Yards: +150 Rec TDs: +5,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 59, REC YDS: 701, REC TDS: 5
Next Up Health Check
Injury Darren Waller

No Injury Reported

Injury Dalton Kincaid

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Darren Waller

Week 1
n/a VS n/a

TACK SOLO INT SACK DEF TD FSP
0.00
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years:
Matchups Dalton Kincaid

Week 1
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
17.32288.1634215664.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 2nd with 196.00 total points (10.32 avg).
  • Currently 31 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in total yards against with 322.06 per game and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 4 in turnovers with 29 (1.71 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 4 in rush defense with 1736 (102.12 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 10 in pass defense with 3739 (219.94 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 8 in sacks with 47 (2.76 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 4 in interceptions with 19 (1.12 per game) and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 2 in points against with 17.35 per game and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 6th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +5.41, Turnovers: +1 Sacks: -7, INTs: -2, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: -3.73,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 46, INT: 14, TDS: 3, PA/G: 18.4, YDS/G: 294.6
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Darren Waller
3.20
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Dalton Kincaid
14.28
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Darren Waller
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2015 BAL 3 6 2 18 9.0 0 0 0 0 0
2016 BAL 8 17 10 85 8.5 2 0 0 0 0
2018 OAK 3 6 6 75 12.5 0 1 21 21 0
2019 OAK 16 117 90 1146 12.7 3 2 5 2.5 0
2020 LV 16 145 107 1196 11.2 9 0 0 0 0
2021 LV 11 93 55 665 12.1 2 0 0 0 0
2022 LV 8 43 28 388 13.9 3 0 0 0 0
2023 NYG 12 74 52 552 10.6 1 0 0 0 0
2025 MIA 8 34 24 283 11.8 6 1 4 4 0
3-YEAR AVG 7 39 27 313 11.8 1 0 0 0 0
Totals 85 535 374 4408 11.8 26 4 30 7.5 0
Career Dalton Kincaid
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2023 BUF 16 91 73 673 9.2 2 0 0 0 0
2024 BUF 13 75 44 448 10.2 2 0 0 0 0
2025 BUF 12 49 39 571 14.6 5 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 15 78 57 622 11 3 0 0 0 0
Totals 48 246 179 1978 11.1 12 0 0 0 0
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled