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Geno Smith or Jared Goff

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Geno Smith

Geno Smith

QBNew York Jets NYJ
Jared Goff

Jared Goff

QBDetroit Lions DET
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Smith over Goff

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Geno Smith

Revamped Jet Engine: Why Geno Smith is a Late-Round Value Steal in New York

Geno Smith enters the season as the undisputed starting quarterback for the Jets under offensive coordinator Frank Reich, who has praised him as the perfect fit for this offense. Smith securely commands a revamped passing attack featuring Garrett Wilson, rookie Adonai Mitchell, and exciting young weapons like Omar Cooper Jr. and Kenyon Sadiq, giving him plenty of playmaking support.

Our models project Smith to deliver a highly productive year, forecasting 3,472 passing yards, 21 touchdowns, and 15 interceptions, alongside 180 rushing yards on 50 carries. While his turnover history remains a minor concern, his elite arm strength and aggressive downfield mentality displayed during offseason practices should provide steady fantasy utility.

Market sentiment remains highly skeptical, with Smith's ADP steadily sliding from 231 in May down to 257 in June. At this nearly free draft cost, our projection of 212.2 fantasy points frames him as a premium late-round value steal in Superflex formats and a high-floor backup option in single-QB leagues.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Geno Smith
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Goff over Smith

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jared Goff

Consistent High-End Production Makes Detroit's Franchise Quarterback a Premium Draft-Day Value

Goff remains the clear leader of a high-powered Detroit offense, supported by an elite group of weapons. Operating behind a stellar front line, he commands a stable passing attack featuring Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, and Sam LaPorta.

Our projections expect another highly productive campaign, forecasting 4,246 passing yards and 30 touchdowns. Despite throwing for 4,843 yards and 36 scores last year, Goff's ADP has drifted into the early double-digit rounds, currently sitting around 122. This shifting market price represents a massive value opportunity for fantasy managers.

While a lack of rushing upside keeps his weekly ceiling from reaching the absolute tier of dual-threat signal-callers, his high floor makes him an exceptional fantasy option. He is a highly trusted regular starter who can easily outperform his current draft-day cost.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Jared Goff
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Performance Geno Smith
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jared Goff
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Geno Smith

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Jared Goff

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Geno Smith
OWN
23%
+1.18 compared to last week
START
13%
-0.56 compared to last week
OWN/START Jared Goff
OWN
89%
+0.47 compared to last week
START
55%
-4.68 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Geno Smith
29th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jared Goff
15th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Geno Smith

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 30th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 24th with 188.10 total points (10.45 avg).
  • Currently 246.14 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.5.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 20 in pass yards with 3310 (183.89 per game) and is currently ranked 18th among QB.
  • Top 25 in pass tds with 20 (1.11 per game) and is currently ranked 21st among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 332 (18.44 per game) and is currently ranked 15th.
  • Top 3 in interceptions with 17 (0.94 per game) and is currently ranked 1st.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -976, TDs: +1, INTs: +2
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3472, PASS TDS: 21, RUSH YDS: 180, RUSH TDS: 1
Breakdown Jared Goff

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 15th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 9th with 314.22 total points (17.46 avg).
  • Currently 120.02 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 17.5.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4843 (269.06 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass tds with 36 (2.00 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 421 (23.39 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 9 (0.50 per game) and is currently ranked 16th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +125, TDs: -2, INTs: -1
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4246, PASS TDS: 30, RUSH YDS: 49, RUSH TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Geno Smith

No Injury Reported

Injury Jared Goff

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Geno Smith

Week 1
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.12383.941364243.64
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 24th with 83.00 total points (4.88 avg).
  • Currently 144 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.9 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 16th in rush defense with 2062 (121.29 per game).
  • Ranked 26th in pass defense with 4465 (262.65 per game).
  • Top 12 in sacks with 42 (2.47 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.12 per game and currently ranked 28th among DST.
  • Top 4 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 4th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +61.7, Turnovers: -2 Sacks: +14, INTs: -5, TDs: +4, Points Allowed: +0.71,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 42, INT: 11, TDS: 4, PA/G: 29.9, YDS/G: 366.7
Matchups Jared Goff

Week 1
Detroit Lions VS New Orleans Saints

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.53335.6520104534.00
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 15th with 114.00 total points (6.71 avg).
  • Currently 113 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in total yards against with 335.65 per game and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 19th in rush defense with 2171 (127.71 per game).
  • Top 6 in pass defense with 3535 (207.94 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 12 in sacks with 45 (2.65 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.53 per game and currently ranked 16th among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 3 (0.18 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -64.94, Turnovers: -2 Sacks: +5, INTs: -6, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: +0.29,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 43, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.9, YDS/G: 318.5
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Geno Smith
14.01
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jared Goff
16.33
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Geno Smith
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2013 NYJ 16 3046 56% 12 21 66.5 366 6 6
2014 NYJ 14 2525 60% 13 13 77.5 238 1 3
2015 NYJ 1 265 64% 2 1 87.9 34 0 0
2016 NYJ 2 126 57% 1 1 81.3 9 0 0
2017 NYG 2 212 58% 1 0 84.5 12 0 4
2018 LAC 4 8 25% 0 0 31.3 2 0 1
2020 SEA 1 33 80% 0 0 96.3 -2 0 0
2021 SEA 4 702 68% 5 1 103.0 42 1 1
2022 SEA 16 4282 70% 30 11 100.9 366 1 4
2023 SEA 15 3621 65% 20 9 92.1 155 1 3
2024 SEA 16 4320 70% 21 15 93.2 272 2 0
2025 LV 16 3310 68% 20 17 85.5 117 0 2
3-YEAR AVG 16 3750 68% 20 14 90.4 181 1 2
Totals 110 22703 65% 127 90 87.8 1639 12 25
Career Jared Goff
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2016 LAR 7 1089 55% 5 7 63.6 16 1 3
2017 LAR 15 3809 62% 28 7 100.5 51 1 6
2018 LAR 16 4688 65% 32 13 100.2 108 2 8
2019 LAR 16 4639 63% 22 16 86.5 40 2 9
2020 LAR 16 4107 66% 21 13 90.1 103 4 4
2021 DET 14 3245 67% 19 8 91.5 87 0 6
2022 DET 16 4438 65% 29 7 99.3 73 0 4
2023 DET 16 4571 67% 30 12 97.9 21 2 3
2024 DET 16 4629 72% 37 12 111.8 56 0 0
2025 DET 16 4843 68% 36 9 104.5 45 0 5
3-YEAR AVG 19 5064 69% 36 12 103.5 44 1 3
Totals 158 41382 66% 265 107 96.5 616 12 49
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled