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Justin Herbert or Sam Darnold

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

QBLos Angeles Chargers LAC
Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold

QBSeattle Seahawks SEA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Herbert over Darnold

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Justin Herbert

New Offensive Scheme and Overhauled Line Set Up Bounce-Back Year for Chargers Franchise Passer

Under new coordinator Mike McDaniel, Justin Herbert is poised to improve his efficiency. Offseason reports highlight instant chemistry between the two, with Herbert overhauling his footwork to speed up his release. He will play behind an entirely rebuilt starting offensive line featuring Rashawn Slater and rookie tackle Joe Alt.

Our projections forecast a highly productive season, slotting Herbert for 3,973 passing yards, 27 touchdowns, and 381 rushing yards. A revamped receiving group featuring Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston provides plenty of young talent to support a strong fantasy bounce-back.

In 1.0 PPR formats, Herbert's ADP has settled in the late eighth round. At this cost, our models view him as an absolute steal. He provides a top-five fantasy ceiling at a mid-round price tag, making him a prime target for managers who wait on the quarterback position.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Justin Herbert
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Darnold over Herbert

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Sam Darnold

Super Bowl Champion Sam Darnold Offers Elite Value as an Undervalued Late-Round Target

Sam Darnold enters his second year in Seattle as the unquestioned starting quarterback after leading the Seahawks to a Super Bowl title. Despite working under new offensive coordinator Brian Fleury, Darnold has noted that the transition is smooth and the system remains very similar. With elite pass-catchers like Cooper Kupp and Jaxon Smith-Njigba at his disposal, he is fully primed to replicate his recent high-flying success.

After consecutive campaigns with over 4,200 passing yards, our models project a highly productive season with 3,825 passing yards and 26 touchdowns against 12 interceptions. While his rushing output remains modest, his high-volume passing role and efficient weapon share provide a dependable baseline in most standard formats.

His draft price has steadily climbed over the past month, with his ADP rising from 186 in early May to 155 in June. This rising trend indicates growing fantasy manager confidence. Compared to this shifting market cost, our projections view Darnold as an absolute late-round steal with legitimate top-twelve potential.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Sam Darnold
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Performance Justin Herbert
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Sam Darnold
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
20250.01050
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
20250.01050
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Justin Herbert

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Sam Darnold

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Justin Herbert
OWN
88%
+1.09 compared to last week
START
33%
+1.54 compared to last week
OWN/START Sam Darnold
OWN
63%
+3.27 compared to last week
START
27%
+2.09 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Justin Herbert
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Sam Darnold
25th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Justin Herbert

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 8th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 296.94 total points (16.50 avg).
  • Currently 137.3 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.5.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3727 (219.24 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 26 (1.53 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 340 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 13th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +362, TDs: +5, INTs: +10
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3973, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 381, RUSH TDS: 3
Breakdown Sam Darnold

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 25th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 11th with 301.36 total points (14.35 avg).
  • Currently 132.88 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 14.4.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 6 in pass yards with 4292 (238.44 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 339 (18.83 per game) and is currently ranked 14th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 14 (0.78 per game) and is currently ranked 5th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +622, TDs: -4, INTs: +2
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3825, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 133, RUSH TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Justin Herbert

No Injury Reported

Injury Sam Darnold

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Justin Herbert

Week 1
Los Angeles Chargers VS Arizona Cardinals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.71392.7119103023.58
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 30th with 68.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 159 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 26th in rush defense with 2292 (134.82 per game).
  • Ranked 24th in pass defense with 4384 (257.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.71 per game and currently ranked 29th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 19th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +43.83, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -3, INTs: +2, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +5.3,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 11, TDS: 2, PA/G: 30.5, YDS/G: 380.1
Matchups Sam Darnold

Week 1
Seattle Seahawks VS New England Patriots

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
17.86264.6727154863.88
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 3rd with 174.00 total points (8.29 avg).
  • Currently 53 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 326.94 per game and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1849 (108.76 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 10 in pass defense with 3709 (218.18 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.82 per game and currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 2 in Total TDs with 5 (0.29 per game) and currently ranked 2nd among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -80.45, Turnovers: +15 Sacks: +19, INTs: +8, TDs: +4, Points Allowed: -7.14,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 42, INT: 13, TDS: 6, PA/G: 20, YDS/G: 313.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Justin Herbert
18.43
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Sam Darnold
15.30
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Justin Herbert
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 LAC 15 4336 67% 31 10 98.3 234 5 1
2021 LAC 16 5014 66% 38 15 97.7 302 3 1
2022 LAC 16 4739 68% 25 10 93.2 147 0 3
2023 LAC 13 3134 65% 20 7 93.2 228 3 1
2024 LAC 16 3870 66% 23 3 101.7 306 2 2
2025 LAC 16 3727 66% 26 13 94.1 498 2 2
3-YEAR AVG 16 3658 65% 23 9 95 344 2 2
Totals 98 25494 66% 165 62 95.4 1784 15 11
Career Sam Darnold
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 NYJ 13 2865 58% 17 15 77.6 138 1 4
2019 NYJ 13 3024 62% 19 13 84.3 62 2 6
2020 NYJ 12 2208 60% 9 11 72.7 217 2 2
2021 CAR 12 2526 60% 9 13 71.9 222 5 4
2022 CAR 6 1143 59% 7 3 92.6 106 2 2
2023 SF 10 297 61% 2 1 85.1 15 1 1
2024 MIN 16 4319 66% 35 12 102.5 212 1 4
2025 SEA 16 4292 67% 27 14 100.1 94 0 6
3-YEAR AVG 15 3051 66% 22 9 99.9 113 1 4
Totals 105 21591 62% 131 83 87.1 1099 14 30
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled