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Justin Herbert or Dak Prescott

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

QBLos Angeles Chargers LAC
Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott

QBDallas Cowboys DAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Herbert over Prescott

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Justin Herbert

Rejuvenated Scheme and Rushing Mobility Present Major Draft Value

Justin Herbert enters 2026 spearheading an evolved Chargers attack under offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel and head coach Jim Harbaugh. While Los Angeles lost starting center Tyler Biadasz for the season, Herbert has shown sharp preseason rhythm and deep chemistry with targets like Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston.

Our projections expect a well-rounded campaign, estimating 3,800 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, and nearly 400 rushing yards. After producing a career-high 498 rushing yards in 2025, his enhanced mobility elevates his weekly floor within an efficient passing structure.

Draft market sentiment has cooled unexpectedly, with Herbert's ADP sliding from the mid-80s down past pick 125 over the last month. Our models view this shifting price as a prime value opportunity in 1.0 PPR formats, offering starting caliber production at a mid-to-late round discount.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Justin Herbert
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Prescott over Herbert

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Dak Prescott

High-Floor Passing Volume and Dynamic Weapons Solidify Him as a Major Draft Value

Prescott enters the season commanding a high-powered Cowboys passing attack featuring top-tier perimeter targets CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, alongside tight end Jake Ferguson. Coming off a 4,906-yard, 32-touchdown campaign in 2025, he remains the engine of Dallas's high-tempo offense.

Our projections forecast another prolific season through the air, estimating 4,325 passing yards and 31 passing touchdowns alongside modest rushing contributions (165 yards, two scores). Prescott's decision-making and efficiency keep his weekly scoring floor remarkably safe in standard fantasy formats.

In drafts, his ADP has steadily slipped from the mid-80s in July down toward the 120s entering September. That cooling market price presents massive profit potential, as our models view Prescott as a dependable starter being drafted at a discount in 1.0 PPR leagues.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Dak Prescott
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Performance Justin Herbert
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Dak Prescott
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Justin Herbert

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Dak Prescott

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Justin Herbert
OWN
99%
+0.03 compared to last week
START
77%
+11.53 compared to last week
OWN/START Dak Prescott
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
80%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Justin Herbert
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Dak Prescott
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Justin Herbert

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 8th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 296.94 total points (16.50 avg).
  • Currently 137.3 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.5.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3727 (219.24 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 26 (1.53 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 340 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 13th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +362, TDs: +5, INTs: +10
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3800, PASS TDS: 25, RUSH YDS: 390, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Dak Prescott

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 7th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 7th with 340.84 total points (18.94 avg).
  • Currently 93.4 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • Wow, would you look at that. The experts got it right on the money.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.9.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4906 (272.56 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass tds with 32 (1.78 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 427 (23.72 per game) and is currently ranked 1st.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 11 (0.61 per game) and is currently ranked 15th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 8 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2649, TDs: +17, INTs: +2
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4325, PASS TDS: 31, RUSH YDS: 165, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Justin Herbert

No Injury Reported

Injury Dak Prescott

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Justin Herbert

Week 1
Los Angeles Chargers VS Arizona Cardinals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.71392.7119103023.27
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 30th with 68.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 159 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 26th in rush defense with 2292 (134.82 per game).
  • Ranked 24th in pass defense with 4384 (257.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.71 per game and currently ranked 29th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 19th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +43.83, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -3, INTs: +2, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +5.3,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 29, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 30.5, YDS/G: 380.1
Matchups Dak Prescott

Week 1
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
25.82405.531593923.21
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 25th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 32nd in rush defense with 2707 (159.24 per game).
  • Ranked 19th in pass defense with 4187 (246.29 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 25.82 per game and currently ranked 26th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 21st in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +37.06, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: -13, INTs: EVEN, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +2.06,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 33, INT: 11, TDS: 4, PA/G: 27.4, YDS/G: 382
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Justin Herbert
17.73
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Dak Prescott
17.83
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Justin Herbert
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 LAC 15 4336 67% 31 10 98.3 234 5 1
2021 LAC 16 5014 66% 38 15 97.7 302 3 1
2022 LAC 16 4739 68% 25 10 93.2 147 0 3
2023 LAC 13 3134 65% 20 7 93.2 228 3 1
2024 LAC 16 3870 66% 23 3 101.7 306 2 2
2025 LAC 16 3727 66% 26 13 94.1 498 2 2
ON PACE 72 16772 66% 117 59 94.1 2241 9 9
3-YEAR AVG 16 3658 65% 23 9 95 344 2 2
Totals 98 25494 66% 165 62 95.4 1784 15 11
Career Dak Prescott
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2016 DAL 16 3667 68% 23 4 104.9 282 6 7
2017 DAL 16 3325 63% 22 13 86.6 357 6 6
2018 DAL 16 3884 68% 22 8 96.9 305 6 13
2019 DAL 16 4901 65% 30 11 99.7 277 3 4
2020 DAL 5 1856 68% 9 4 99.6 93 3 3
2021 DAL 16 4449 69% 37 10 104.2 146 1 6
2022 DAL 12 2860 66% 23 15 91.1 182 1 1
2023 DAL 16 4516 70% 36 9 105.9 242 2 2
2024 DAL 8 1978 65% 11 8 86.0 54 1 1
2025 DAL 16 4906 67% 32 11 99.7 186 3 2
ON PACE 72 22077 67% 144 50 99.7 837 14 9
3-YEAR AVG 15 3934 68% 27 10 99.2 176 2 2
Totals 143 37256 67% 253 97 98.3 2215 33 45
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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