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Daniel Jones or Baker Mayfield

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones

QBIndianapolis Colts IND
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

QBTampa Bay Bucs TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jones over Mayfield

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Daniel Jones

Surgical Achilles Recovery Positions Indianapolis Signal-Caller as Late-Round Draft Bargain

Coming off a torn Achilles suffered last December, the veteran quarterback is progressing remarkably well and is already participating in 7-on-7 drills. He sits atop the Indianapolis depth chart ahead of backup Anthony Richardson Sr., with coaching staff and teammates heavily praising his leadership and relentless rehab work ethic.

During his first season with the franchise last year, he posted a stellar 100.1 passer rating with 21 touchdowns across 14 appearances. Our models project him to maintain this strong efficiency, forecasting 3,628 passing yards and 21 passing scores, alongside 199 rushing yards and three additional touchdowns on the ground.

Despite the major injury rehab, his ADP has remained remarkably stable around the late-round territory of 185 overall. Given his status as the projected starter and our promising projections, his low cost makes him a premier value steal for managers looking to wait on quarterback in drafts.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Daniel Jones
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mayfield over Jones

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Baker Mayfield

Proven Production and Late-Round Value Make Tampa Bay's Signal-Caller a Steal

Tampa Bay's passing offense looks different this season with Mike Evans departing, but our data suggests Baker Mayfield remains a highly stable fantasy asset. Operating behind an offensive line anchored by Tristan Wirfs, Mayfield will lean on Chris Godwin Jr. alongside emerging targets like Jalen McMillan and Emeka Egbuka.

Our projections expect Mayfield to throw for 3,777 yards and 26 touchdowns, closely matching his solid 2025 campaign where he tossed 27 scores. He also offers a helpful rushing floor, coming off a career-high 401 rushing yards last year, with our models forecasting another 327 yards on the ground.

Draft market trends show Mayfield's ADP holding steady around 136. At this modest price tag, fantasy managers can secure a highly efficient signal-caller with stable weekly utility, making him an outstanding late-round value target in 1.0 PPR formats.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Baker Mayfield
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Performance Daniel Jones
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Baker Mayfield
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Daniel Jones

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Baker Mayfield

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Daniel Jones
OWN
32%
-1.42 compared to last week
START
 
4%
-0.18 compared to last week
OWN/START Baker Mayfield
OWN
85%
+2.89 compared to last week
START
40%
+2.65 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Daniel Jones
23rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Baker Mayfield
20th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Daniel Jones

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 22nd among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 17th with 243.28 total points (17.38 avg).
  • Currently 190.96 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games and is listed on the injury report.
  • He is listed on the injury report about his Achilles (Since Dec 7, 2025). Check out his player news for a closer look.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 17.4.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 20 in pass yards with 3282 (234.43 per game) and is currently ranked 19th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 21 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 19th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass completions with 280 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 20th.
  • Top 5 in rushing TDs with 5 (0.36 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1212, TDs: +13, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3628, PASS TDS: 21, RUSH YDS: 199, RUSH TDS: 3
Breakdown Baker Mayfield

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 21st among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 275.46 total points (15.30 avg).
  • Currently 158.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3734 (207.44 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 352 (19.56 per game) and is currently ranked 7th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 13 (0.72 per game) and is currently ranked 6th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -682, TDs: -12, INTs: -2
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3777, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 327, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Daniel Jones

ACHILLES - Since Dec 7, 2025

Jones is recovering from a torn Achilles and is expected to miss the start of the 2026-27 season.
Injury Baker Mayfield

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Daniel Jones

Week 1
Indianapolis Colts VS Baltimore Ravens

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.41383.2920113024.18
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 20th with 93.00 total points (5.47 avg).
  • Currently 134 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.5.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in rush defense with 1891 (111.24 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 29th in pass defense with 4625 (272.06 per game).
  • Top 18 in points against with 23.41 per game and currently ranked 18th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 19th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +70.61, Turnovers: +1 Sacks: -26, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.15,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 24.9, YDS/G: 376.8
Matchups Baker Mayfield

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.88
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 25th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 23rd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Daniel Jones
15.13
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Baker Mayfield
16.99
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Daniel Jones
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2019 NYG 13 3027 62% 24 12 87.7 279 2 22
2020 NYG 14 2943 63% 11 10 80.4 423 1 6
2021 NYG 11 2428 64% 10 7 84.8 298 2 3
2022 NYG 16 3205 67% 15 5 92.5 708 7 3
2023 NYG 6 909 68% 2 6 70.5 206 1 1
2024 NYG 10 2070 63% 8 7 79.4 265 2 2
2025 IND 14 3282 68% 21 8 100.1 180 5 3
3-YEAR AVG 11 2207 66% 9 6 84.5 427 3 2
Totals 86 18300 65% 93 56 86.8 2461 20 40
Career Baker Mayfield
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 CLE 14 3725 64% 27 14 93.7 131 0 6
2019 CLE 16 3827 59% 22 21 78.8 141 3 3
2020 CLE 16 3826 63% 29 8 97.2 168 1 4
2021 CLE 14 3010 61% 17 13 83.1 134 1 3
2022 CAR 12 2163 60% 10 8 79.0 89 1 2
2023 TB 16 4044 64% 28 10 94.6 163 1 3
2024 TB 16 4500 71% 41 16 106.8 378 3 2
2025 TB 16 3734 63% 27 13 88.3 401 1 3
3-YEAR AVG 18 4383 66% 35 14 97.6 332 2 3
Totals 129 29904 63% 210 106 91.4 1670 11 27
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled