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Patrick Mahomes or Matthew Stafford

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

QB • Kansas City Chiefs KC
Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford

QB • Los Angeles Rams LAR
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mahomes over Stafford

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook Patrick Mahomes

Post-Injury Market Drop Creates Massive Value for Kansas City Star

Patrick Mahomes enters the 2026 season recovering from an ACL injury, but encouraging training camp reports confirm he is firmly on track to start Week 1. Although Kansas City held him out of the preseason finale for precaution, his knee has responded well and his movement continues to trend in the right direction.

Leading an offense featuring Travis Kelce, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, and new backfield addition Kenneth Walker, Mahomes retains plenty of high-caliber support. We project Mahomes to deliver 3,800 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, and 280 rushing yards, reinforcing his standing as an elite fantasy contributor.

Market skepticism has caused his draft stock to tumble significantly, dropping from an ADP near pick 101 in July down past pick 150 heading into September. With our projections signaling stable high-end production, this declining draft cost transforms the former MVP into an exceptional draft-day value steal in 1.0 PPR drafts.

Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Patrick Mahomes
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Stafford over Mahomes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook Matthew Stafford

Elite Passing Efficiency Makes Veteran Pocket Passer a Premier Late-Round Target

Stafford enters his 18th NFL campaign firmly entrenched as the engine of Sean McVay's high-powered attack. Operating with elite perimeter targets like Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, Stafford is set up to deliver prolific passing volume despite offering virtually zero rushing production.

Draft market sentiment has cooled noticeably over the preseason. Stafford's ADP has steadily slipped from near pick 100 in early August down to pick 146 entering September. This drop presents a clear buying opportunity, as our projections forecast 4,535 passing yards and 32 touchdowns.

While his lack of mobility naturally caps his ceiling compared to dual-threat passers, Stafford's command of the offense ensures reliable pocket production. Rostered in 98% of leagues, he stands out as an exceptional QB2 target who can comfortably deliver starting-caliber fantasy weeks.

Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Matthew Stafford
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Next Up ❱ Performance Comparison
Performance Patrick Mahomes
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Matthew Stafford
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Patrick Mahomes

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Matthew Stafford

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Patrick Mahomes
OWN
95%
+0.12 compared to last week
START
24%
-3.02 compared to last week
OWN/START Matthew Stafford
OWN
97%
-2.98 compared to last week
START
53%
-5.56 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Patrick Mahomes
15th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Matthew Stafford
13th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Patrick Mahomes

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 15th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 301.76 total points (20.12 avg).
  • Currently 132.48 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games and is listed on the injury report.
  • He is listed on the injury report about his Knee (ACL) (Since Aug 31, 2026). Check out his player news for a closer look.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.1.

    • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3939 (262.60 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 22 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 17th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 344 (22.93 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 12 (0.80 per game) and is currently ranked 10th.
  • Top 5 in rushing TDs with 5 (0.33 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +11, TDs: -4, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.

    • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3800, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 280, RUSH TDS: 3
Breakdown Matthew Stafford

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 13th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 1st with 434.24 total points (20.68 avg).
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.7.

    • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4980 (276.67 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass tds with 49 (2.72 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 413 (22.94 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 8 (0.44 per game) and is currently ranked 19th.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2154, TDs: +35, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • The amount of touchdowns per game is ridiculous. Can he keep it up?
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

    • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4535, PASS TDS: 31, RUSH YDS: 35, RUSH TDS: 0
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Patrick Mahomes

KNEE (ACL) - Since Aug 31, 2026

Week 1
Injury Matthew Stafford

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Patrick Mahomes

Week 1
Kansas City Chiefs VS Denver Broncos

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
18.47271.2619127624.97
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 160.00 total points (8.42 avg).
  • Currently 67 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in total yards against with 303.18 per game and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1548 (91.06 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in pass defense with 3606 (212.12 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 2 in sacks with 68 (4.00 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.29 per game and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Currently ranked 18th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -75.68, Turnovers: -6 Sacks: +15, INTs: -3, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +0.47,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 60, INT: 14, TDS: 4, PA/G: 19.4, YDS/G: 295.6
Matchups Matthew Stafford

Week 1
Los Angeles Rams VS San Francisco 49ers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.68325.321662312.97
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 27th with 76.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 151 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in rush defense with 1902 (111.88 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 22nd in pass defense with 4279 (251.71 per game).
  • Top 14 in points against with 21.82 per game and currently ranked 13th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 25th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +53.7, Turnovers: -9 Sacks: -22, INTs: -11, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -0.99,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 26, INT: 11, TDS: 3, PA/G: 23.2, YDS/G: 361.5
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Patrick Mahomes
16.86
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Matthew Stafford
17.18
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Patrick Mahomes
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 KC 16 5097 66% 50 12 113.8 272 2 4
2019 KC 14 4031 66% 26 5 105.3 218 2 4
2020 KC 15 4740 66% 38 6 108.2 308 2 2
2021 KC 16 4839 66% 37 13 98.5 381 2 4
2022 KC 16 5250 67% 41 12 105.2 358 4 0
2023 KC 16 4184 67% 27 14 92.6 389 0 3
2024 KC 16 3928 68% 26 11 93.5 307 2 0
2025 KC 15 3939 63% 22 12 88.6 452 5 0
ON PACE 68 17726 63% 99 54 88.6 2034 23 0
3-YEAR AVG 18 4978 68% 35 13 97.9 404 2 1
Totals 138 39109 66% 286 90 100.6 2976 22 20
Career Matthew Stafford
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2009 DET 10 2267 53% 13 20 61.0 108 2 1
2010 DET 3 535 59% 6 1 91.3 11 1 1
2011 DET 15 4518 64% 36 14 96.6 78 0 1
2012 DET 16 5485 60% 25 19 81.6 128 4 4
2013 DET 16 4647 59% 29 19 84.1 74 2 4
2014 DET 16 4247 60% 22 12 85.6 93 2 2
2015 DET 16 4262 67% 32 13 97.0 159 1 3
2016 DET 16 4327 65% 24 10 93.3 207 2 4
2017 DET 16 4446 66% 29 10 99.3 98 0 13
2018 DET 16 3777 66% 21 11 89.9 71 0 8
2019 DET 8 2499 64% 19 5 106.0 66 0 6
2020 DET 16 4084 64% 26 10 96.3 112 0 1
2021 LAR 16 4886 67% 41 17 102.9 43 0 2
2022 LAR 9 2087 68% 10 8 87.4 9 1 3
2023 LAR 15 3965 63% 24 11 92.5 65 0 0
2024 LAR 16 3762 66% 20 8 93.7 41 0 2
2025 LAR 16 5284 65% 52 9 108.9 1 0 3
ON PACE 72 23778 65% 234 41 108.9 5 0 14
3-YEAR AVG 17 4536 65% 33 9 100.1 37 0 2
Totals 246 66610 63% 438 197 92.8 1383 15 59
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Player News

  • Jesus Luzardo SP • PHI MLB

    Jesus Luzardo Makes MLB History with Undefeated, Sub-2.00 Road ERA Season

    @OptaSTATS

  • Jhonny Level SS • SF MLB

    Jhonny Level Continues Breakout Season With Homer and Multihit Game

    @MLBPipeline

  • Lazaro Montes RF • SEA MLB

    Lazaro Montes Joins Ichiro in Historic Mariners Debut

    @MLBPipeline

  • Christian Moore 2B • LAA MLB

    Stan Kroenke Agrees to Buy Angels After Yankees’ 7–3 Victory

    @RhettBollinger

  • Trent Grisham CF • NYY MLB

    Trent Grisham Ends 0-for-23 Slump with RBI Single for Yankees

    @snyyankees

  • Bryce Harper 1B • PHI MLB

    Bryce Harper Heating Up for Phillies, Batting .360 Since August

    @theaceofspaeder

  • Trent McDuffie CB • LAR

    Trent McDuffie Praises Rams’ Masterminds After Joining Star-Studded Defense

    @AroundTheNFL

  • Jalen Hurts QB • PHI

    Jalen Hurts Pushes for a Deeper, More Meaningful Interview Beyond Football

    @McClain_on_NFL

  • Malik Willis QB • MIA

    Malik Willis Credits Matt LaFleur and Packers Culture for Teaching Accountability and Disciplined QB Play

    @McClain_on_NFL

  • Dohnte Meyers WR • CIN

    Undrafted DoorDash Driver Dohnte Meyers Earns Spot on Bengals’ 53-Man Roster

    @McClain_on_NFL

  • Travis Hunter WR • JAC

    Georgia CB Ellis Robinson IV Emerges as Potential 2027 NFL Draft Star

    @McClain_on_NFL

  • Joe Fagnano QB • BAL

    Ravens Rookie QB Joe Fagnano Makes Team After Krispy Kreme Cut-Day Wait

    @McClain_on_NFL

  • Jesus Luzardo SP • PHI

    Jesus Luzardo Makes MLB History with Undefeated, Sub-2.00 Road ERA Season

    @OptaSTATS

  • Jhonny Level SS • SF

    Jhonny Level Continues Breakout Season With Homer and Multihit Game

    @MLBPipeline

  • Lazaro Montes RF • SEA

    Lazaro Montes Joins Ichiro in Historic Mariners Debut

    @MLBPipeline

  • Christian Moore 2B • LAA

    Stan Kroenke Agrees to Buy Angels After Yankees’ 7–3 Victory

    @RhettBollinger

  • Trent Grisham CF • NYY

    Trent Grisham Ends 0-for-23 Slump with RBI Single for Yankees

    @snyyankees

  • Bryce Harper 1B • PHI

    Bryce Harper Heating Up for Phillies, Batting .360 Since August

    @theaceofspaeder

  • Chris Paul PG •

    Russell Westbrook and Chris Paul Enjoy Retirement Life

    @NBA

  • Hugo Gonzalez SF • BOS

    Celtics’ Starting-Lineup Debate: Mitchell Robinson or Hugo González

    @KevinOConnor

  • Jalen Brunson PG • NY

    OG Anunoby to make guest appearance on CBS’ ‘Elsbeth’ Season 4

    New York Post

  • Bam Adebayo C • MIA

    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Wins Back-to-Back NBA ID Fan Favorites “Drip” Awards

    @NBA

  • Bam Adebayo C • MIA

    OG Anunoby Game-Winner Photo Named 2025–26 NBA ID Fan Favorite of the Year

    @NBA

  • Kevin Love PF •

    Kevin Love Could Potentially Return to the Minnesota Timberwolves

    @JonKrawczynski

  • Luke Evangelista RW • NSH

    Luke Evangelista Emerges as an Analytics-Driven NHL Star Despite Nashville’s Struggles

    @CJTDevil

  • Luke Evangelista RW • NSH

    Breaking: Devils Acquire Forward Luke Evangelista from Predators for Two 2028 Draft Picks

    @drosennhl

  • Luke Evangelista RW • NSH

    Devils Acquire Breakout Playmaker Luke Evangelista from Predators

    @JFreshHockey

  • Cody Glass C • NJ

    Cody Glass Joins the New Jersey Devils in Surprise NHL Move

    @CJTDevil

  • Luke Evangelista RW • NSH

    New Jersey Devils Acquire Breakout Playmaker Luke Evangelista

    @JFreshHockey

  • Luke Evangelista RW • NSH

    Devils Emerge as NHL’s Top Forward Group, While Luke Evangelista Earns Superstar Praise

    @CJTDevil

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled