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Patrick Mahomes or Jared Goff

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

QBKansas City Chiefs KC
Jared Goff

Jared Goff

QBDetroit Lions DET
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mahomes over Goff

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Patrick Mahomes

Post-Injury Market Drop Creates Massive Value for Kansas City Star

Patrick Mahomes enters the 2026 season recovering from an ACL injury, but encouraging training camp reports confirm he is firmly on track to start Week 1. Although Kansas City held him out of the preseason finale for precaution, his knee has responded well and his movement continues to trend in the right direction.

Leading an offense featuring Travis Kelce, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, and new backfield addition Kenneth Walker, Mahomes retains plenty of high-caliber support. We project Mahomes to deliver 3,800 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, and 280 rushing yards, reinforcing his standing as an elite fantasy contributor.

Market skepticism has caused his draft stock to tumble significantly, dropping from an ADP near pick 101 in July down past pick 150 heading into September. With our projections signaling stable high-end production, this declining draft cost transforms the former MVP into an exceptional draft-day value steal in 1.0 PPR drafts.


Updated 18 hrs ago

Latest News Patrick Mahomes
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Goff over Mahomes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jared Goff

Elite Pocket Production Offers Tremendous Late-Round Value

Jared Goff enters the campaign commanding one of the league's most potent offenses alongside coordinator Drew Petzing. Supported by elite weapons like Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Jahmyr Gibbs, and tight end Sam LaPorta, Goff provides exceptional passing stability. Over the past two seasons, he delivered back-to-back campaigns with over 4,600 passing yards and 36-plus touchdowns.

Our season projections forecast another reliable outing, expecting 4,300 passing yards and 31 touchdowns for 276.0 fantasy points. While Goff offers virtually no rushing production, his pinpoint accuracy and high passing volume inside an explosive unit establish a remarkably sturdy weekly floor.

Market sentiment has cooled noticeably over the summer, with his ADP tumbling from pick 114 in late July down to around 168. This slide makes him an outstanding draft-day bargain. Rostered in 81% of leagues, he represents an ideal late-round target for managers punting quarterback.


Updated 18 hrs ago

Latest News Jared Goff
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Performance Patrick Mahomes
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jared Goff
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Patrick Mahomes

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Jared Goff

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Patrick Mahomes
OWN
94%
-0.97 compared to last week
START
23%
-4.02 compared to last week
OWN/START Jared Goff
OWN
81%
+1.43 compared to last week
START
19%
+1.01 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Patrick Mahomes
15th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jared Goff
11th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Patrick Mahomes

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 15th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 301.76 total points (20.12 avg).
  • Currently 132.48 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games and is listed on the injury report.
  • He is listed on the injury report about his Knee (ACL) (Since Aug 31, 2026). Check out his player news for a closer look.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.1.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3939 (262.60 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 22 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 17th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 344 (22.93 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 12 (0.80 per game) and is currently ranked 10th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +11, TDs: -4, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3800, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 280, RUSH TDS: 3
Breakdown Jared Goff

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 12th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 9th with 314.22 total points (17.46 avg).
  • Currently 120.02 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 17.5.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4843 (269.06 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass tds with 36 (2.00 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 421 (23.39 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 9 (0.50 per game) and is currently ranked 16th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +125, TDs: -2, INTs: -1
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4300, PASS TDS: 30, RUSH YDS: 35, RUSH TDS: 0
Next Up Health Check
Injury Patrick Mahomes

KNEE (ACL) - Since Aug 31, 2026

Week 1
Injury Jared Goff

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Patrick Mahomes

Week 1
Kansas City Chiefs VS Denver Broncos

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
18.47271.2619127624.97
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 160.00 total points (8.42 avg).
  • Currently 67 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in total yards against with 303.18 per game and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1548 (91.06 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in pass defense with 3606 (212.12 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 2 in sacks with 68 (4.00 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.29 per game and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Currently ranked 18th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -75.68, Turnovers: -6 Sacks: +15, INTs: -3, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +0.47,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 60, INT: 14, TDS: 4, PA/G: 19.4, YDS/G: 295.6
Matchups Jared Goff

Week 1
Detroit Lions VS New Orleans Saints

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.53335.6520104534.18
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 15th with 114.00 total points (6.71 avg).
  • Currently 113 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in total yards against with 335.65 per game and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 19th in rush defense with 2171 (127.71 per game).
  • Top 6 in pass defense with 3535 (207.94 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 10 in sacks with 45 (2.65 per game) and currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.53 per game and currently ranked 16th among DST.
  • Top 8 in Total TDs with 3 (0.18 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -64.94, Turnovers: -2 Sacks: +5, INTs: -6, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: +0.29,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 45, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 23.9, YDS/G: 318.5
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Patrick Mahomes
16.86
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jared Goff
16.23
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Patrick Mahomes
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 KC 16 5097 66% 50 12 113.8 272 2 4
2019 KC 14 4031 66% 26 5 105.3 218 2 4
2020 KC 15 4740 66% 38 6 108.2 308 2 2
2021 KC 16 4839 66% 37 13 98.5 381 2 4
2022 KC 16 5250 67% 41 12 105.2 358 4 0
2023 KC 16 4184 67% 27 14 92.6 389 0 3
2024 KC 16 3928 68% 26 11 93.5 307 2 0
2025 KC 15 3939 63% 22 12 88.6 452 5 0
ON PACE 68 17726 63% 99 54 88.6 2034 23 0
3-YEAR AVG 18 4978 68% 35 13 97.9 404 2 1
Totals 138 39109 66% 286 90 100.6 2976 22 20
Career Jared Goff
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2016 LAR 7 1089 55% 5 7 63.6 16 1 3
2017 LAR 15 3809 62% 28 7 100.5 51 1 6
2018 LAR 16 4688 65% 32 13 100.2 108 2 8
2019 LAR 16 4639 63% 22 16 86.5 40 2 9
2020 LAR 16 4107 66% 21 13 90.1 103 4 4
2021 DET 14 3245 67% 19 8 91.5 87 0 6
2022 DET 16 4438 65% 29 7 99.3 73 0 4
2023 DET 16 4571 67% 30 12 97.9 21 2 3
2024 DET 16 4629 72% 37 12 111.8 56 0 0
2025 DET 16 4843 68% 36 9 104.5 45 0 5
ON PACE 72 21794 68% 162 41 104.5 203 0 23
3-YEAR AVG 19 5064 69% 36 12 103.5 44 1 3
Totals 158 41382 66% 265 107 96.5 616 12 49
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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