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Baker Mayfield or Sam Darnold

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

QBTampa Bay Bucs TB
Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold

QBSeattle Seahawks SEA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mayfield over Darnold

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Baker Mayfield

Contract Standoff and Roster Turnover Cast Shadow on Productive Buccaneers Quarterback

Baker Mayfield enters his contract year in a standoff with the Buccaneers, setting a training camp extension deadline. While highly productive in Tampa Bay, his supporting cast changes after losing Mike Evans. Still, Mayfield remains confident in a healthy Chris Godwin and a receiving group featuring rookie Ted Hurst.

Our models project Mayfield to pass for 3,777 yards and 26 touchdowns, adding 327 yards on the ground. This represents a solid baseline, though below his career-best 2024 season. He remains a reliable distributor alongside tight end Cade Otton and wideout Jalen McMillan.

In draft leagues, Mayfield's ADP has settled near 136 after a brief spike into the mid-90s, reflecting market caution over his contract and target changes. At this late-round cost, our projections see him as a premier value pick who offers low-end starter capability with minimal investment risk.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Baker Mayfield
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Darnold over Mayfield

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Sam Darnold

Super Bowl Champion Sam Darnold Offers Elite Value as an Undervalued Late-Round Target

Sam Darnold enters his second year in Seattle as the unquestioned starting quarterback after leading the Seahawks to a Super Bowl title. Despite working under new offensive coordinator Brian Fleury, Darnold has noted that the transition is smooth and the system remains very similar. With elite pass-catchers like Cooper Kupp and Jaxon Smith-Njigba at his disposal, he is fully primed to replicate his recent high-flying success.

After consecutive campaigns with over 4,200 passing yards, our models project a highly productive season with 3,825 passing yards and 26 touchdowns against 12 interceptions. While his rushing output remains modest, his high-volume passing role and efficient weapon share provide a dependable baseline in most standard formats.

His draft price has steadily climbed over the past month, with his ADP rising from 186 in early May to 155 in June. This rising trend indicates growing fantasy manager confidence. Compared to this shifting market cost, our projections view Darnold as an absolute late-round steal with legitimate top-twelve potential.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Sam Darnold
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Performance Baker Mayfield
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Sam Darnold
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
20250.01050
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
20250.01050
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Baker Mayfield

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Sam Darnold

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Baker Mayfield
OWN
86%
+3.49 compared to last week
START
39%
+1 compared to last week
OWN/START Sam Darnold
OWN
63%
+3.27 compared to last week
START
27%
+2.09 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Baker Mayfield
20th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Sam Darnold
25th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Baker Mayfield

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 21st among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 275.46 total points (15.30 avg).
  • Currently 158.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3734 (207.44 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 352 (19.56 per game) and is currently ranked 7th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 13 (0.72 per game) and is currently ranked 6th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -682, TDs: -12, INTs: -2
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3777, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 327, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Sam Darnold

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 25th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 11th with 301.36 total points (14.35 avg).
  • Currently 132.88 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 14.4.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 6 in pass yards with 4292 (238.44 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 339 (18.83 per game) and is currently ranked 14th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 14 (0.78 per game) and is currently ranked 5th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +622, TDs: -4, INTs: +2
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3825, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 133, RUSH TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Baker Mayfield

No Injury Reported

Injury Sam Darnold

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Baker Mayfield

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.88
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 23rd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Matchups Sam Darnold

Week 1
Seattle Seahawks VS New England Patriots

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
17.86264.6727154863.88
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 3rd with 174.00 total points (8.29 avg).
  • Currently 53 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 326.94 per game and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1849 (108.76 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 10 in pass defense with 3709 (218.18 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.82 per game and currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 2 in Total TDs with 5 (0.29 per game) and currently ranked 2nd among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -80.45, Turnovers: +15 Sacks: +19, INTs: +8, TDs: +4, Points Allowed: -7.14,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 42, INT: 13, TDS: 6, PA/G: 20, YDS/G: 313.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Baker Mayfield
16.99
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Sam Darnold
15.30
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Baker Mayfield
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 CLE 14 3725 64% 27 14 93.7 131 0 6
2019 CLE 16 3827 59% 22 21 78.8 141 3 3
2020 CLE 16 3826 63% 29 8 97.2 168 1 4
2021 CLE 14 3010 61% 17 13 83.1 134 1 3
2022 CAR 12 2163 60% 10 8 79.0 89 1 2
2023 TB 16 4044 64% 28 10 94.6 163 1 3
2024 TB 16 4500 71% 41 16 106.8 378 3 2
2025 TB 16 3734 63% 27 13 88.3 401 1 3
3-YEAR AVG 18 4383 66% 35 14 97.6 332 2 3
Totals 129 29904 63% 210 106 91.4 1670 11 27
Career Sam Darnold
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 NYJ 13 2865 58% 17 15 77.6 138 1 4
2019 NYJ 13 3024 62% 19 13 84.3 62 2 6
2020 NYJ 12 2208 60% 9 11 72.7 217 2 2
2021 CAR 12 2526 60% 9 13 71.9 222 5 4
2022 CAR 6 1143 59% 7 3 92.6 106 2 2
2023 SF 10 297 61% 2 1 85.1 15 1 1
2024 MIN 16 4319 66% 35 12 102.5 212 1 4
2025 SEA 16 4292 67% 27 14 100.1 94 0 6
3-YEAR AVG 15 3051 66% 22 9 99.9 113 1 4
Totals 105 21591 62% 131 83 87.1 1099 14 30
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled