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Dak Prescott or Patrick Mahomes

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott

QBDallas Cowboys DAL
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

QBKansas City Chiefs KC
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Prescott over Mahomes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Dak Prescott

High-Value Passing Volume Makes Dallas Signal-Caller a Premium Mid-Round Steal

Dak Prescott enters the 2026 season healthy and highly motivated, anchoring a potent Dallas passing attack. Operating as the clear starting quarterback, Prescott benefits from an elite receiving corps led by CeeDee Lamb and the newly integrated George Pickens, alongside reliable tight end Jake Ferguson.

Our projections expect another high-volume campaign, pegging him for 4,377 passing yards and 30 touchdowns. Despite minor offseason knee soreness in June, Prescott showed no limitations in practices and remains a highly efficient passer, especially under pressure where he historically excels.

From a market perspective, Prescott's ADP plummeted from the mid-50s in early June to a stable value around pick 88 after his minor knee scare. In 1.0 PPR leagues, this drop turns him into an absolute draft-day steal, as fantasy managers can now land a high-ceiling quarterback as a premium mid-round anchor.


Updated 7 hrs ago

Latest News Dak Prescott
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mahomes over Prescott

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Patrick Mahomes

Rivaling Elite Tiers At A Discount As Rehab For Opener Remains On Track

Mahomes is currently rehabbing a torn ACL and LCL sustained last December. Recent reports confirm he is on track for a Week 1 return, having progressed to on-field work. While dual-threat backup Justin Fields is next on the depth chart, Mahomes remains the unquestioned starter of this Kansas City offense.

When healthy, his elite arm talent will be supported by reliable veteran Travis Kelce and ascending deep threat Xavier Worthy. Our projections expect Mahomes to bounce back with 4,148 passing yards and 28 touchdowns, rebounding from a 2025 season where he finished with 3,939 yards and 22 scores.

Because of injury uncertainty, his draft stock has tumbled. His ADP was in the mid-60s in early June but has fallen to 101, where it has since stabilized. At this discounted price, our models view him as an outstanding draft-day value in 1.0 PPR formats.


Updated 7 hrs ago

Latest News Patrick Mahomes
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Performance Dak Prescott
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Patrick Mahomes
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Dak Prescott

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Patrick Mahomes

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Dak Prescott
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
81%
No change since last week.
OWN/START Patrick Mahomes
OWN
62%
-7.87 compared to last week
START
17%
-8.91 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Dak Prescott
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Patrick Mahomes
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Dak Prescott

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 7th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 7th with 340.84 total points (18.94 avg).
  • Currently 93.4 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • Wow, would you look at that. The experts got it right on the money.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.9.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4906 (272.56 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 32 (1.78 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 427 (23.72 per game) and is currently ranked 1st.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 11 (0.61 per game) and is currently ranked 15th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 8 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2649, TDs: +17, INTs: +2
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4377, PASS TDS: 30, RUSH YDS: 178, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Patrick Mahomes

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 15th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 301.76 total points (20.12 avg).
  • Currently 132.48 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.1.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3939 (262.60 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 22 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 17th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 344 (22.93 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 12 (0.80 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +11, TDs: -4, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4148, PASS TDS: 28, RUSH YDS: 282, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Dak Prescott

No Injury Reported

Injury Patrick Mahomes

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Dak Prescott

Week 1
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
25.82405.531593923.70
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 32nd in rush defense with 2707 (159.24 per game).
  • Ranked 19th in pass defense with 4187 (246.29 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 25.82 per game and currently ranked 26th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 17th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +37.06, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: -13, INTs: EVEN, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +2.06,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 11, TDS: 3, PA/G: 27.4, YDS/G: 382
Matchups Patrick Mahomes

Week 1
Kansas City Chiefs VS Denver Broncos

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
18.47271.2619127624.42
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 160.00 total points (8.42 avg).
  • Currently 67 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in total yards against with 303.18 per game and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1548 (91.06 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in pass defense with 3606 (212.12 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 2 in sacks with 68 (4.00 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.29 per game and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -75.68, Turnovers: -6 Sacks: +15, INTs: -3, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +0.47,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 52, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 19.4, YDS/G: 295.6
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Dak Prescott
18.01
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Patrick Mahomes
18.04
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Dak Prescott
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2016 DAL 16 3667 68% 23 4 104.9 282 6 7
2017 DAL 16 3325 63% 22 13 86.6 357 6 6
2018 DAL 16 3884 68% 22 8 96.9 305 6 13
2019 DAL 16 4901 65% 30 11 99.7 277 3 4
2020 DAL 5 1856 68% 9 4 99.6 93 3 3
2021 DAL 16 4449 69% 37 10 104.2 146 1 6
2022 DAL 12 2860 66% 23 15 91.1 182 1 1
2023 DAL 16 4516 70% 36 9 105.9 242 2 2
2024 DAL 8 1978 65% 11 8 86.0 54 1 1
2025 DAL 16 4906 67% 32 11 99.7 186 3 2
3-YEAR AVG 15 3934 68% 27 10 99.2 176 2 2
Totals 143 37256 67% 253 97 98.3 2215 33 45
Career Patrick Mahomes
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 KC 16 5097 66% 50 12 113.8 272 2 4
2019 KC 14 4031 66% 26 5 105.3 218 2 4
2020 KC 15 4740 66% 38 6 108.2 308 2 2
2021 KC 16 4839 66% 37 13 98.5 381 2 4
2022 KC 16 5250 67% 41 12 105.2 358 4 0
2023 KC 16 4184 67% 27 14 92.6 389 0 3
2024 KC 16 3928 68% 26 11 93.5 307 2 0
2025 KC 15 3939 63% 22 12 88.6 452 5 0
3-YEAR AVG 18 4978 68% 35 13 97.9 404 2 1
Totals 138 39109 66% 286 90 100.6 2976 22 20
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs ATH 09:40 EDT EST
ATL vs SD 07:15 EDT EST
BAL @BOS 07:10 EDT EST
CHC vs DET 08:05 EDT EST
CHW @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
CIN @SEA 09:40 EDT EST
CLE vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST
COL vs WAS 08:40 EDT EST
HOU vs MIA 08:10 EDT EST
KC vs SF 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs STL 09:38 EDT EST
LAD @PHI 06:40 EDT EST
MIL vs NYM 07:40 EDT EST
NYY vs PIT 07:05 EDT EST
TB @TOR 07:07 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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