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Matthew Stafford or Dak Prescott

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford

QBLos Angeles Rams LAR
Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott

QBDallas Cowboys DAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Stafford over Prescott

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matthew Stafford

Reigning MVP Offers Elite Late-Round Value Behind High-Powered Passing Attack

Coming off a spectacular MVP-winning campaign where he threw for 5,284 yards and 52 touchdowns, the veteran signal-caller returns to lead an explosive Los Angeles offense. Backed by a newly signed contract extension, his role as the starting quarterback remains entirely secure despite the Rams drafting Ty Simpson in the first round.

He is blessed with arguably the league's most dangerous receiving duo in Puka Nacua and veteran Davante Adams, alongside lead running back Kyren Williams. This elite supporting cast keeps his weekly fantasy ceiling incredibly high, even as he enters his age-38 season with limited rushing upside.

Our projections expect a slight regression to 4,140 passing yards and 32 touchdowns, totaling 275.5 fantasy points. After briefly fluctuating in June, his ADP has stabilized around 102. At this late-round draft cost in 1.0 PPR leagues, we view him as an outstanding value play for managers utilizing a late-round quarterback strategy.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Matthew Stafford
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Prescott over Stafford

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Dak Prescott

Proven MVP-Caliber Production Meets an Undervalued Draft Price

Dak Prescott enters the year fully healthy after brushing off minor June knee soreness. He spent the offseason building chemistry with George Pickens alongside CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson. As the undisputed leader of this Dallas passing game, Prescott is primed to build on last season's 4,906-yard, 32-touchdown performance.

Our models project another highly efficient season, slateing him for 4,377 passing yards and 30 touchdowns. Boasting a stable 80% start rate, fantasy managers can confidently lock him in weekly. He also adds a helpful rushing floor, projected for 178 yards and two scores on the ground.

Market trends reveal an enticing buying opportunity. After fluctuating in early June, Prescott's ADP has settled near pick 88. Drafted as a mid-round option in PPR formats, our projections view him as an absolute steal relative to his stable, high-end QB1 ceiling.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Dak Prescott
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Performance Matthew Stafford
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Dak Prescott
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Matthew Stafford

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Dak Prescott

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Matthew Stafford
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
70%
+2.56 compared to last week
OWN/START Dak Prescott
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
80%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Matthew Stafford
13th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Dak Prescott
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Matthew Stafford

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 13th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 1st with 434.24 total points (20.68 avg).
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.7.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4980 (276.67 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass tds with 49 (2.72 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 413 (22.94 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 8 (0.44 per game) and is currently ranked 18th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2154, TDs: +35, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • The amount of touchdowns per game is ridiculous. Can he keep it up?
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4140, PASS TDS: 32, RUSH YDS: 62, RUSH TDS: 0
Breakdown Dak Prescott

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 7th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 7th with 340.84 total points (18.94 avg).
  • Currently 93.4 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • Wow, would you look at that. The experts got it right on the money.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.9.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4906 (272.56 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass tds with 32 (1.78 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 427 (23.72 per game) and is currently ranked 1st.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 11 (0.61 per game) and is currently ranked 12th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 8 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2649, TDs: +17, INTs: +2
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4377, PASS TDS: 30, RUSH YDS: 178, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Matthew Stafford

No Injury Reported

Injury Dak Prescott

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Matthew Stafford

Week 1
Los Angeles Rams VS San Francisco 49ers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.68325.321662313.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 27th with 76.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 151 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in rush defense with 1902 (111.88 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 22nd in pass defense with 4279 (251.71 per game).
  • Top 14 in points against with 21.82 per game and currently ranked 13th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 25th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +53.7, Turnovers: -9 Sacks: -22, INTs: -11, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -0.99,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.2, YDS/G: 361.5
Matchups Dak Prescott

Week 1
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
25.82405.531593923.70
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 32nd in rush defense with 2707 (159.24 per game).
  • Ranked 19th in pass defense with 4187 (246.29 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 25.82 per game and currently ranked 26th among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 13th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +37.06, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: -13, INTs: EVEN, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +2.06,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 11, TDS: 3, PA/G: 27.4, YDS/G: 382
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Matthew Stafford
16.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Dak Prescott
18.01
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Matthew Stafford
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2009 DET 10 2267 53% 13 20 61.0 108 2 1
2010 DET 3 535 59% 6 1 91.3 11 1 1
2011 DET 15 4518 64% 36 14 96.6 78 0 1
2012 DET 16 5485 60% 25 19 81.6 128 4 4
2013 DET 16 4647 59% 29 19 84.1 74 2 4
2014 DET 16 4247 60% 22 12 85.6 93 2 2
2015 DET 16 4262 67% 32 13 97.0 159 1 3
2016 DET 16 4327 65% 24 10 93.3 207 2 4
2017 DET 16 4446 66% 29 10 99.3 98 0 13
2018 DET 16 3777 66% 21 11 89.9 71 0 8
2019 DET 8 2499 64% 19 5 106.0 66 0 6
2020 DET 16 4084 64% 26 10 96.3 112 0 1
2021 LAR 16 4886 67% 41 17 102.9 43 0 2
2022 LAR 9 2087 68% 10 8 87.4 9 1 3
2023 LAR 15 3965 63% 24 11 92.5 65 0 0
2024 LAR 16 3762 66% 20 8 93.7 41 0 2
2025 LAR 16 5284 65% 52 9 108.9 1 0 3
3-YEAR AVG 17 4536 65% 33 9 100.1 37 0 2
Totals 246 66610 63% 438 197 92.8 1383 15 59
Career Dak Prescott
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2016 DAL 16 3667 68% 23 4 104.9 282 6 7
2017 DAL 16 3325 63% 22 13 86.6 357 6 6
2018 DAL 16 3884 68% 22 8 96.9 305 6 13
2019 DAL 16 4901 65% 30 11 99.7 277 3 4
2020 DAL 5 1856 68% 9 4 99.6 93 3 3
2021 DAL 16 4449 69% 37 10 104.2 146 1 6
2022 DAL 12 2860 66% 23 15 91.1 182 1 1
2023 DAL 16 4516 70% 36 9 105.9 242 2 2
2024 DAL 8 1978 65% 11 8 86.0 54 1 1
2025 DAL 16 4906 67% 32 11 99.7 186 3 2
3-YEAR AVG 15 3934 68% 27 10 99.2 176 2 2
Totals 143 37256 67% 253 97 98.3 2215 33 45
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Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs WAS 04:05 EDT EST
ATL vs TEX 01:35 EDT EST
BAL @HOU 02:10 EDT EST
BOS vs TB 01:35 EDT EST
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @TOR 12:15 EDT EST
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST
CLE vs PIT 01:40 EDT EST
DET @LAA 04:07 EDT EST
KC vs SD 02:10 EDT EST
LAD @NYY 07:20 EDT EST
MIA @MIL 02:10 EDT EST
NYM @PHI 01:35 EDT EST
SEA vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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