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Noelvi Marte or Luke Raley

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Noelvi Marte

Noelvi Marte

RFCincinnati Reds CIN
Luke Raley

Luke Raley

RFSeattle Mariners SEA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Marte over Raley

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Noelvi Marte

Noelvi Marte flashes explosive power post-recall, but brutal weekend matchups loom

Marte has been on fire since his June 3 recall, batting .265 with three home runs and three stolen bases over his last 14 days, including a three-game home run streak ending June 14. He is currently working as a key depth outfielder for the fifth-place Reds, who are currently playing through several key injuries including Elly De La Cruz.

While Marte's recent power-speed surge is exciting, our models project just eight home runs and eight stolen bases over 497 at-bats, signaling that his recent home run pace is likely to regress. However, his 2025 career line of 14 homers and a .260 average in 93 games demonstrates that his raw talent is legitimate if he maintains regular playing time.

Looking at the remaining slate, the Reds travel to Yankee Stadium for a three-game weekend series against the Yankees. Marte faces a gauntlet of tough opposing starters, including Cam Schlittler and his microscopic 1.82 ERA alongside ace Gerrit Cole, making him a sit in weekly lineups despite his recent hot streak.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Noelvi Marte
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Raley over Marte

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Luke Raley

Luke Raley battles back tightness amidst a mid-season slump, clouding his weekly fantasy appeal

Raley has hit a rough patch, batting just .133 with one home run and four RBIs over his last 14 days. His status is further clouded by recent back tightness that sidelined him on June 16. This comes at a tough time for the first-place Mariners (38-37), who are also managing injuries to outfielders Randy Arozarena and Julio Rodriguez, ensuring Raley a primary starting outfield role once he is cleared to play.

While his recent .197 average over the last 30 days is discouraging, Raley's overall 2026 campaign (.241 BA, 14 HR) displays strong bounce-back power. Our models project him to hit .226 with 12 home runs over 230 at-bats rest-of-season. Expect his production to stabilize closer to his seasonal baselines once he moves past this physical setback.

For the remainder of the week, the Mariners face Baltimore's Shane Baz (4.07 ERA) before hosting a tough Boston rotation featuring Ranger Suarez (3.21 ERA) and Payton Tolle (3.24 ERA). Given his questionable health and these difficult upcoming matchups, Raley is a risky play. The verdict is to sit him until he returns to full health.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Luke Raley
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Performance Noelvi Marte
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.211333.2110.73705
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.265335.2860.588310
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Luke Raley
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.100021.1820.10003
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.133142.1820.26709
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Noelvi Marte
OWN
39%
+11.97 compared to last week
START
23%
+11.35 compared to last week
OWN/START Luke Raley
OWN
30%
-5.65 compared to last week
START
19%
-10.97 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Noelvi Marte
40th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Luke Raley
72nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Noelvi Marte

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 41st among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 137th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Juan Soto
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 350th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.250
  • Ranked 141st in batting average with 0.265
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 266th with 0.306
  • Top 15 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 11th with 0.588
  • Top 50 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 37th with 0.894
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 153rd with 3
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 511th in RBI with 3
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 481st in runs scored with 5
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.088, OBP: -0.088, HRs: EVEN, RBI: -14, Runs: -3, Wlks: -1, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Luke Raley

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 72nd among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 77th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Juan Soto
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off and he's listed on the injury report. He may have some nagging injuries with his Back (Since Jun 16, 2026). Look at his player news.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 417th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.211
  • Ranked 375th in batting average with 0.200
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 379th with 0.261
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 150th with 0.432
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 243rd with 0.693
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 507th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 199th in RBI with 22
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 336th in runs scored with 13
  • Top 100 in HRs and is currently ranked 94th with 9
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.035, OBP: -0.045, HRs: +12, RBI: +27, Runs: +14, Wlks: +1, Stls: -1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Noelvi Marte

No Injury Reported

Injury Luke Raley

BACK - Since Jun 16, 2026

Raley is dealing with back tightness and is uncertain to take the field for the Mariners.
Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Noelvi Marte
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS NYMChase BurnsW 12-0
Jun 16VS NYMBrady SingerW 5-3
Jun 17VS NYMNolan McLeanL 1-9
Jun 19@NYYCam Schlittler
Jun 20@NYYWill Warren
Jun 21@NYYGerrit Cole
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.125000.1250.25002
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Luke Raley
DateOpponentResult
Jun 16VS BALLogan GilbertW 3-1
Jun 17VS BALKyle BradishL 3-5
Jun 18VS BALBryan WooW 3-0
Jun 19VS BOSRanger Suarez
Jun 20VS BOS
Jun 20VS BOSConnelly Early
Jun 21VS BOSPayton Tolle
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.091121.1670.36403
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Noelvi Marte
8.05
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Luke Raley
7.16
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Noelvi Marte
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 CIN 31 36 3 14 15 5 8 .316 .366 .456 105
2024 CIN 64 47 4 24 17 9 8 .205 .241 .297 124
2025 CIN 88 88 14 46 50 9 17 .260 .302 .447 284
2026 CIN 20 13 3 7 3 3 3 .206 .242 .381 46
ON PACE 44 28 6 15 6 6 6 .206 .242 .381 102
3-YEAR AVG 61 57 7 28 27 8 11 .251 .292 .398 171
Career 203 184 24 91 85 26 36 .247 .288 .397
Career Luke Raley
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 LAD 28 12 2 5 4 0 2 .179 .247 .284 32
2022 TB 22 12 1 7 4 0 7 .197 .306 .279 33
2023 TB 115 89 19 56 49 13 28 .249 .331 .490 311
2024 SEA 130 99 22 56 58 10 26 .245 .319 .468 344
2025 SEA 68 37 4 21 19 2 18 .198 .301 .305 121
2026 SEA 65 46 14 24 35 1 11 .241 .300 .497 165
ON PACE 138 98 29 51 74 2 23 .241 .300 .497 351
3-YEAR AVG 104 75 15 44 42 8 24 .237 .320 .444 259
Career 428 295 62 169 169 26 92 .233 .312 .436
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIN 09:45 EDT EST Michael Soroka
Connor Prielipp
ATH vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Jeffrey Springs
Jose Soriano
ATL vs MIL 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Jacob Misiorowski
BAL @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Trey Gibson
Roki Sasaki
BOS @SEA 10:10 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Bryce Miller
CHC vs TOR 02:20 EDT EST Ben Brown
Kevin Gausman
CHW @DET 06:40 EDT EST Erick Fedde
Tarik Skubal
CIN @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Rhett Lowder
Cam Schlittler
CLE @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Tatsuya Imai
COL vs PIT 08:40 EDT EST Kyle Freeland
Bubba Chandler
KC vs STL 08:15 EDT EST Seth Lugo
Michael McGreevy
MIA vs SF 07:10 EDT EST
Landen Roupp
SD @TEX 08:05 EDT EST Randy Vasquez
Jacob deGrom
TB vs WAS 07:10 EDT EST Griffin Jax
Cade Cavalli
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled