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Trevor Larnach or Matt Shaw

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach

LFMinnesota Twins MIN
Matt Shaw

Matt Shaw

RFChicago Cubs CHC
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Larnach over Shaw

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach is surging as the everyday left fielder for the hot-streaking Twins, offering solid short-term fantasy value.

Larnach has been swinging a hot bat recently, hitting .333 with a home run over his last five games, including a leadoff homer on June 16. His spark has helped the third-place Twins to a three-game winning streak as they chase division rivals. He is currently locked into everyday duties as the primary left fielder with teammate Ryan Jeffers out.

While Larnach's recent surge is encouraging, our models expect some regression, forecasting a .247 batting average and eight home runs over 384 at-bats this season. This aligns closely with his career .242 average, suggesting his current .264 mark may slip over the summer. He remains a useful depth piece but lacks elite category upside.

With the week underway, the Twins face a road trip where Larnach matches up against Jack Leiter and his 5.13 ERA, before taking on Arizona's Michael Soroka and Zac Gallen. Since he will face several high-ERA starters, Larnach is worth plugging into deeper lineups while he is swinging a hot bat. Verdict: Hold.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Trevor Larnach
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Shaw over Larnach

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matt Shaw

Matt Shaw is swinging a scorching-hot bat as he carves out a highly versatile utility role for Chicago.

Shaw has been absolutely tearing the cover off the ball, batting .462 with a massive 1.302 OPS over his last five games for the third-place Cubs (39-36). While his path to everyday at-bats is crowded as a backup at multiple infield and outfield positions, his recent clutch play demands regular playing time in Chicago.

This red-hot streak is a massive step forward from Shaw's .222 rookie average last year, though regression is certainly coming. Still, our models project him to settle in around a solid .235 average with eight home runs and 12 stolen bases over 268 projected at-bats, making him a useful power-speed bench asset.

For the remainder of the week, the Cubs host Toronto for three games. Shaw will face tough challenges against Kevin Gausman and Dylan Cease, but also a highly exploitable matchup against Patrick Corbin and his 4.57 ERA. Given his blistering form, Shaw is a strong plug-and-play option.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Matt Shaw
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Performance Trevor Larnach
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.421244.4500.73705
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.333245.3750.56709
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Matt Shaw
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.500043.5710.83304
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.429043.5000.71406
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Trevor Larnach
OWN
 
7%
+0.8 compared to last week
START
 
6%
+1.13 compared to last week
OWN/START Matt Shaw
OWN
11%
+1.55 compared to last week
START
 
5%
+0.44 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Trevor Larnach
99th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Matt Shaw
49th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Trevor Larnach

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 99th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 44th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Juan Soto
  • He is performing amazing in the past 30 days. Will he keep it up?
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 100 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.339 and is currently ranked 86th
  • Top 100 in batting average with 0.279 and is currently ranked 92nd
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 80th with 0.362
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 171st with 0.422
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 139th with 0.784
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 280th with 2
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 322nd in RBI with 14
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 174th in runs scored with 27
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.023, OBP: +0.055, HRs: -5, RBI: -14, Runs: -4, Wlks: +3, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Matt Shaw

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: RF DH 2B . However, he plays RF most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 50th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 109th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Juan Soto
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off. Either he isn't an every day player or he is coming back from an injury of some sort. I suggest checking out his news page to get a closer look.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 138th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.319
  • Top 100 in batting average with 0.281 and is currently ranked 87th
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 123rd with 0.349
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 173rd with 0.421
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 157th with 0.770
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 302nd with 2
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 428th in RBI with 7
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 479th in runs scored with 6
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.041, OBP: +0.02, HRs: +1, RBI: +7, Runs: -9, Wlks: -8, Stls: -4,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Trevor Larnach

No Injury Reported

Injury Matt Shaw

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Trevor Larnach
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@TEXTaylor RogersW 2-4
Jun 16@TEXZebby MatthewsW 2-12
Jun 18@TEXJoe RyanW 3-9
Jun 19@ARIMichael Soroka
Jun 20@ARIZac Gallen
Jun 21@ARIRyne Nelson
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.636244.6361.18202
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Matt Shaw
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS COLDaniel PalenciaW 5-4
Jun 16VS COLBlas CastanoL 2-5
Jun 17VS COLJavier AssadW 8-6
Jun 19VS TORKevin Gausman
Jun 20VS TORPatrick Corbin
Jun 21VS TORDylan Cease
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.385043.4290.69205
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Trevor Larnach
7.18
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Matt Shaw
6.64
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Trevor Larnach
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 MIN 77 55 6 28 25 1 31 .218 .321 .337 147
2022 MIN 49 36 5 20 18 0 16 .225 .292 .394 109
2023 MIN 58 39 8 26 40 1 27 .213 .311 .415 157
2024 MIN 111 92 15 59 52 4 39 .259 .336 .434 334
2025 MIN 142 125 17 61 60 4 53 .250 .325 .403 405
2026 MIN 58 51 5 33 20 2 24 .273 .364 .417 175
ON PACE 123 108 10 70 42 4 51 .273 .364 .417 373
3-YEAR AVG 104 85 13 49 51 3 40 .246 .326 .416 299
Career 495 398 56 227 215 12 190 .243 .327 .402
Career Matt Shaw
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 CHC 131 91 13 57 45 18 43 .222 .298 .383 368
2026 CHC 42 29 3 13 15 3 6 .266 .308 .440 110
ON PACE 90 62 6 28 32 6 12 .266 .308 .440 237
3-YEAR AVG 66 46 7 29 23 9 22 .222 .298 .383 184
Career 173 120 16 70 60 21 49 .231 .300 .395
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIN 09:45 EDT EST Michael Soroka
Connor Prielipp
ATH vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Jeffrey Springs
Jose Soriano
ATL vs MIL 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Jacob Misiorowski
BAL @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Trey Gibson
Roki Sasaki
BOS @SEA 10:10 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Bryce Miller
CHC vs TOR 02:20 EDT EST Ben Brown
Kevin Gausman
CHW @DET 06:40 EDT EST Erick Fedde
Tarik Skubal
CIN @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Rhett Lowder
Cam Schlittler
CLE @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Tatsuya Imai
COL vs PIT 08:40 EDT EST Kyle Freeland
Bubba Chandler
KC vs STL 08:15 EDT EST Seth Lugo
Michael McGreevy
MIA vs SF 07:10 EDT EST
Landen Roupp
SD @TEX 08:05 EDT EST Randy Vasquez
Jacob deGrom
TB vs WAS 07:10 EDT EST Griffin Jax
Cade Cavalli
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled