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Bijan Robinson or Kyle Pitts Sr.

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson

RBAtlanta Falcons ATL
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TEAtlanta Falcons ATL
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Robinson over Pitts Sr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Bijan Robinson

Overall 1.01 Draft Price Justified by Historic Three-Down Versatility

After a spectacular 2025 campaign where he racked up 857 receiving yards, Bijan Robinson enters his fourth season as the undisputed lead back for Atlanta. Backed by outstanding tackle-breaking ability and a versatile route-running profile, we project Robinson to secure 270 carries and 86 targets as the driving force of this offense.

Draft market trends highlight immense fantasy hype, with Robinson stubbornly holding the undisputed 1.00 ADP overall in PPR formats. This premium draft price aligns perfectly with our models, viewing him as a premier cornerstone rather than an overvalued reach because of his secure top-tier workload and elite scoring floor.

Atlanta's commitment to their young stars, including Drake London and Kyle Pitts Sr., only keeps defensive attention split, while Brian Robinson Jr. operates as the primary backup. We project him for 349.5 fantasy points, making him a must-draft candidate for managers holding the top pick.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Bijan Robinson
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Pitts Sr. over Robinson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kyle Pitts Sr.

Securely Signed but Faced with Quarterback Questions in Atlanta

After signing a historic three-year, $54 million extension, Kyle Pitts Sr. is locked in as Atlanta's premier tight end. Coming off a career-best 2025 season where he secured 90 receptions for 953 yards and five touchdowns, he is poised to remain a major focal point in the passing game alongside Drake London and Jahan Dotson.

His draft stock has seen significant volatility, briefly spiking to an ADP of 48 in early June before settling comfortably at 84. In 1.0 PPR formats, this current mid-round price tag represents a strong value opportunity. Our models project him to reach 74 receptions and 812 yards, indicating he is a safe bet to return top-tier value at a discounted cost.

Despite his talent, fantasy managers must weigh his recent comments expressing uncertainty about the Falcons' quarterback room, which features Michael Penix Jr. and Tua Tagovailoa. While the passing environment introduces some risk, his high target share and elite physical profile make him a highly desirable, locked-in starting tight end.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Kyle Pitts Sr.
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Performance Bijan Robinson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kyle Pitts Sr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Bijan Robinson
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Kyle Pitts Sr.
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Bijan Robinson
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
93%
No change since last week.
OWN/START Kyle Pitts Sr.
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
80%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Bijan Robinson
2nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kyle Pitts Sr.
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Bijan Robinson

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 2nd among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 304.50 total points (16.92 avg).
  • Currently 61.1 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.9.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 3 in receptions and is currently ranked 3rd among RB.
  • Top 3 in targets and is currently ranked 3rd among RB.
  • Top 3 in reception yards with 857 and 10.58 YPC and is currently ranked 2nd among RB.
  • Top 10 in Rec TDs with 4 and is currently ranked 7th among RB.
  • Top 6 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 4th among RB.
  • Top 10 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 8th among RB.
  • Top 20 in red zone attempts and is currently ranked 20th among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 6 in rush attempts with 301 (16.72 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among RB.
  • Top 6 in rush yards with 1548 (86.00 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among RB.
  • Top 25 in rush tds with 7 (0.39 per game) and is currently ranked 22nd among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: +234, Rush AVG: +0.5 Rush TDs: -5, Receptions: +15, Rec Yards: +326 Rec TDs: +2,
  • His touches per game on the ground are great.
  • Involved in both the running and passing game!
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 270, RUSH YDS: 1380, RUSH TDS: 9, REC: 73, REC YDS: 661, REC TDS: 4
Breakdown Kyle Pitts Sr.

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 7th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 125.30 total points (6.96 avg).
  • Currently 72.5 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 3 in receptions and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 3 in targets and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 20 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 20th among TE.
  • Top 3 in reception yards with 953 and 10.59 YPC and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 20 in Rec TDs with 5 and is currently ranked 19th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 18 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +90, Rec Yards: +953 Rec TDs: +5,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 74, REC YDS: 812, REC TDS: 4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Bijan Robinson

No Injury Reported

Injury Kyle Pitts Sr.

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Bijan Robinson

Week 1
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.17372.0630165134.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 7th with 141.00 total points (7.83 avg).
  • Currently 86 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in turnovers with 27 (1.59 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Ranked 13th in rush defense with 2021 (118.88 per game).
  • Ranked 30th in pass defense with 4676 (275.06 per game).
  • Top 6 in sacks with 48 (2.82 per game) and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 18 in points against with 22.76 per game and currently ranked 17th among DST.
  • Top 10 in Total TDs with 3 (0.18 per game) and currently ranked 10th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +66.36, Turnovers: -4 Sacks: +6, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.02,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 24.2, YDS/G: 379.3
Matchups Kyle Pitts Sr.

Week 1
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.17372.0630165134.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 7th with 141.00 total points (7.83 avg).
  • Currently 86 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in turnovers with 27 (1.59 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Ranked 13th in rush defense with 2021 (118.88 per game).
  • Ranked 30th in pass defense with 4676 (275.06 per game).
  • Top 6 in sacks with 48 (2.82 per game) and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 18 in points against with 22.76 per game and currently ranked 17th among DST.
  • Top 10 in Total TDs with 3 (0.18 per game) and currently ranked 10th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +66.36, Turnovers: -4 Sacks: +6, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.02,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 24.2, YDS/G: 379.3
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Bijan Robinson
37.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kyle Pitts Sr.
16.74
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Bijan Robinson
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2023 ATL 16 214 976 4.6 4 86 58 487 8.4 4
2024 ATL 16 304 1456 4.8 14 72 61 431 7.1 1
2025 ATL 16 301 1548 5.1 7 105 81 857 10.6 4
3-YEAR AVG 17 273 1327 4.9 8 88 67 592 8.9 3
Totals 52 819 3980 4.9 25 263 200 1775 8.9 9
Career Kyle Pitts Sr.
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 ATL 16 123 90 953 10.6 5 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 9 62 45 477 10.6 3 0 0 0 0
Totals 18 123 90 953 10.6 5 0 0 0 0
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs WAS 04:05 EDT EST
ATL vs TEX 01:35 EDT EST
BAL @HOU 02:10 EDT EST
BOS vs TB 01:35 EDT EST
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @TOR 12:15 EDT EST
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST
CLE vs PIT 01:40 EDT EST
DET @LAA 04:07 EDT EST
KC vs SD 02:10 EDT EST
LAD @NYY 07:20 EDT EST
MIA @MIL 02:10 EDT EST
NYM @PHI 01:35 EDT EST
SEA vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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