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Baker Mayfield or Jaxson Dart

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

QBTampa Bay Bucs TB
Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart

QBNew York Giants NYG
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mayfield over Dart

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Baker Mayfield

Undervalued Late-Round QB2 with Proven Passing Floor

Baker Mayfield enters the season firmly established as Tampa Bay's starting quarterback with dependable continuity across the passing attack. Backed by proven target Chris Godwin Jr. and young playmaker Emeka Egbuka, Mayfield retains the necessary surrounding cast to maintain consistent weekly fantasy utility.

Our models project Mayfield for 3,600 passing yards, 23 passing touchdowns, and 325 rushing yards, totaling 272.0 fantasy points. While not an explosive runner, his red-zone efficiency and ability to distribute to multiple weapons support a dependable baseline in standard formats.

Market sentiment has grown noticeably cold, as his ADP tumbled from pick 124 in early August down to 176. With his roster rate dipping to 65%, this sliding draft cost turns Mayfield into a quality late-round value and reliable QB2 for managers waiting on the position.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Baker Mayfield
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Dart over Mayfield

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jaxson Dart

Dual-Threat Ceiling Makes Rising Sophomore a Premium Late-Round Draft Target

Entering his second NFL season as New York's starting quarterback, Jaxson Dart offers intriguing dual-threat ability for fantasy managers. In 14 games as a rookie, Dart flashed dynamic mobility by rushing for 487 yards and nine touchdowns, providing a resilient baseline regardless of passing game script.

With dynamic target Malik Nabers and rookie Malachi Fields stretching the field, our projections anticipate 3,350 passing yards, 19 passing touchdowns, and 510 rushing yards (301.0 fantasy points). While preseason pass-protection hiccups led to brief injury checks, his athletic ceiling keeps him fantasy-relevant.

Draft markets have cooled considerably, with Dart's ADP tumbling from the mid-80s in late July to around 143 by early September. This sliding draft cost presents a clear buying window, transforming Dart from a mid-round gamble into an exceptional late-round value with dual-threat upside.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Jaxson Dart
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Performance Baker Mayfield
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jaxson Dart
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Baker Mayfield

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Jaxson Dart

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Baker Mayfield
OWN
64%
-5.22 compared to last week
START
11%
+2.77 compared to last week
OWN/START Jaxson Dart
OWN
99%
-1.19 compared to last week
START
69%
+0.76 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Baker Mayfield
21st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jaxson Dart
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Baker Mayfield

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 21st among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 275.46 total points (15.30 avg).
  • Currently 158.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3734 (207.44 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 352 (19.56 per game) and is currently ranked 7th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 13 (0.72 per game) and is currently ranked 6th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -682, TDs: -12, INTs: -2
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3600, PASS TDS: 23, RUSH YDS: 315, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Jaxson Dart

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 14th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 18th with 241.58 total points (13.42 avg).
  • Currently 192.66 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 13.4.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 2272 (126.22 per game) and is currently ranked 27th among QB.
  • Top 25 in pass tds with 15 (0.83 per game) and is currently ranked 27th among QB.
  • Top 3 in rushing yards with 487 (27.06 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among QB.
  • Top 3 in rushing TDs with 9 (0.50 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 18 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2272, TDs: +15, INTs: +5
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3350, PASS TDS: 18, RUSH YDS: 510, RUSH TDS: 6
Next Up Health Check
Injury Baker Mayfield

No Injury Reported

Injury Jaxson Dart

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Baker Mayfield

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 23rd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 13, TDS: 4, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Matchups Jaxson Dart

Week 1
New York Giants VS Dallas Cowboys

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
30.06412.121263523.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 31st with 55.00 total points (3.24 avg).
  • Currently 172 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.2 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 20th in rush defense with 2196 (129.18 per game).
  • Ranked 31st in pass defense with 4810 (282.94 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 30.06 per game and currently ranked 32nd among DST.
  • Currently ranked 20th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +76.54, Turnovers: -13 Sacks: -14, INTs: -11, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: +1.48,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 36, INT: 9, TDS: 3, PA/G: 31.9, YDS/G: 400.6
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Baker Mayfield
16.12
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jaxson Dart
17.21
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Baker Mayfield
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 CLE 14 3725 64% 27 14 93.7 131 0 6
2019 CLE 16 3827 59% 22 21 78.8 141 3 3
2020 CLE 16 3826 63% 29 8 97.2 168 1 4
2021 CLE 14 3010 61% 17 13 83.1 134 1 3
2022 CAR 12 2163 60% 10 8 79.0 89 1 2
2023 TB 16 4044 64% 28 10 94.6 163 1 3
2024 TB 16 4500 71% 41 16 106.8 378 3 2
2025 TB 16 3734 63% 27 13 88.3 401 1 3
ON PACE 72 16803 63% 122 59 88.3 1805 5 14
3-YEAR AVG 18 4383 66% 35 14 97.6 332 2 3
Totals 129 29904 63% 210 106 91.4 1670 11 27
Career Jaxson Dart
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2025 NYG 14 2272 64% 15 5 91.7 487 9 2
ON PACE 63 10224 64% 68 23 91.7 2192 41 9
3-YEAR AVG 7 1136 64% 8 3 91.7 244 5 1
Totals 14 2272 64% 15 5 91.7 487 9 2
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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