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Bo Nix or Matthew Stafford

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Bo Nix

Bo Nix

QBDenver Broncos DEN
Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford

QBLos Angeles Rams LAR
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nix over Stafford

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Bo Nix

Fully Recovered Franchise Quarterback Poised for Year Three Leap with Upgraded Weapons

Nix is back at full speed following offseason ankle surgery and a follow-up cleanup. He anchors the Broncos' passing game, with Jarrett Stidham operating as the primary backup. The trade for star receiver Jaylen Waddle, alongside Courtland Sutton, gives Nix an explosive group of playmakers to target.

After consecutive campaigns of over 3,700 passing yards and at least 25 passing touchdowns, our models project another productive year. We project Nix for 3,791 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, and 342 rushing yards. This dual-threat ability provides a solid weekly floor.

Nix's draft cost has remained stable around an ADP of 108. With a 95% ownership rate, his current market price represents a high-value opportunity in PPR formats, especially considering our expectation of 280.0 fantasy points as a fringe starter.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Bo Nix
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Stafford over Nix

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matthew Stafford

Reigning MVP Offers Elite Late-Round Value Behind High-Powered Passing Attack

Coming off a spectacular MVP-winning campaign where he threw for 5,284 yards and 52 touchdowns, the veteran signal-caller returns to lead an explosive Los Angeles offense. Backed by a newly signed contract extension, his role as the starting quarterback remains entirely secure despite the Rams drafting Ty Simpson in the first round.

He is blessed with arguably the league's most dangerous receiving duo in Puka Nacua and veteran Davante Adams, alongside lead running back Kyren Williams. This elite supporting cast keeps his weekly fantasy ceiling incredibly high, even as he enters his age-38 season with limited rushing upside.

Our projections expect a slight regression to 4,140 passing yards and 32 touchdowns, totaling 275.5 fantasy points. After briefly fluctuating in June, his ADP has stabilized around 102. At this late-round draft cost in 1.0 PPR leagues, we view him as an outstanding value play for managers utilizing a late-round quarterback strategy.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Matthew Stafford
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Performance Bo Nix
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Matthew Stafford
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Bo Nix

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Matthew Stafford

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Bo Nix
OWN
95%
+1.98 compared to last week
START
58%
-2.97 compared to last week
OWN/START Matthew Stafford
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
70%
+2.56 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Bo Nix
17th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Matthew Stafford
13th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Bo Nix

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 17th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 8th with 328.90 total points (18.27 avg).
  • Currently 105.34 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3931 (231.24 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass tds with 25 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass completions with 388 (22.82 per game) and is currently ranked 4th.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 11 (0.65 per game) and is currently ranked 14th.
  • Top 5 in rushing TDs with 5 (0.29 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +756, TDs: +3, INTs: EVEN
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3791, PASS TDS: 25, RUSH YDS: 342, RUSH TDS: 4
Breakdown Matthew Stafford

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 13th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 1st with 434.24 total points (20.68 avg).
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.7.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4980 (276.67 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass tds with 49 (2.72 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 413 (22.94 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 8 (0.44 per game) and is currently ranked 18th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2154, TDs: +35, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • The amount of touchdowns per game is ridiculous. Can he keep it up?
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4140, PASS TDS: 32, RUSH YDS: 62, RUSH TDS: 0
Next Up Health Check
Injury Bo Nix

No Injury Reported

Injury Matthew Stafford

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Bo Nix

Week 1
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
19.29325.8214103503.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 21st with 90.00 total points (5.29 avg).
  • Currently 137 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 325.82 per game and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1871 (110.06 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3668 (215.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in points against with 19.29 per game and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 29th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +71.09, Turnovers: -14 Sacks: -20, INTs: -6, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: +2.79,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 42, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 20.5, YDS/G: 320.4
Matchups Matthew Stafford

Week 1
Los Angeles Rams VS San Francisco 49ers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.68325.321662313.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 27th with 76.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 151 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in rush defense with 1902 (111.88 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 22nd in pass defense with 4279 (251.71 per game).
  • Top 14 in points against with 21.82 per game and currently ranked 13th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 25th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +53.7, Turnovers: -9 Sacks: -22, INTs: -11, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -0.99,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.2, YDS/G: 361.5
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Bo Nix
17.34
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Matthew Stafford
16.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Bo Nix
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 DEN 16 3775 66% 29 12 93.3 430 4 0
2025 DEN 16 3931 63% 25 11 87.8 356 5 2
3-YEAR AVG 12 2617 65% 18 8 90.5 276 3 1
Totals 36 8129 64% 58 24 90.4 858 9 2
Career Matthew Stafford
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2009 DET 10 2267 53% 13 20 61.0 108 2 1
2010 DET 3 535 59% 6 1 91.3 11 1 1
2011 DET 15 4518 64% 36 14 96.6 78 0 1
2012 DET 16 5485 60% 25 19 81.6 128 4 4
2013 DET 16 4647 59% 29 19 84.1 74 2 4
2014 DET 16 4247 60% 22 12 85.6 93 2 2
2015 DET 16 4262 67% 32 13 97.0 159 1 3
2016 DET 16 4327 65% 24 10 93.3 207 2 4
2017 DET 16 4446 66% 29 10 99.3 98 0 13
2018 DET 16 3777 66% 21 11 89.9 71 0 8
2019 DET 8 2499 64% 19 5 106.0 66 0 6
2020 DET 16 4084 64% 26 10 96.3 112 0 1
2021 LAR 16 4886 67% 41 17 102.9 43 0 2
2022 LAR 9 2087 68% 10 8 87.4 9 1 3
2023 LAR 15 3965 63% 24 11 92.5 65 0 0
2024 LAR 16 3762 66% 20 8 93.7 41 0 2
2025 LAR 16 5284 65% 52 9 108.9 1 0 3
3-YEAR AVG 17 4536 65% 33 9 100.1 37 0 2
Totals 246 66610 63% 438 197 92.8 1383 15 59
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Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs WAS 04:05 EDT EST
ATL vs TEX 01:35 EDT EST
BAL @HOU 02:10 EDT EST
BOS vs TB 01:35 EDT EST
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @TOR 12:15 EDT EST
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST
CLE vs PIT 01:40 EDT EST
DET @LAA 04:07 EDT EST
KC vs SD 02:10 EDT EST
LAD @NYY 07:20 EDT EST
MIA @MIL 02:10 EDT EST
NYM @PHI 01:35 EDT EST
SEA vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
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