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Baker Mayfield or Drake Maye

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

QBTampa Bay Bucs TB
Drake Maye

Drake Maye

QBNew England Patriots NE
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mayfield over Maye

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Baker Mayfield

Undervalued Late-Round QB2 with Proven Passing Floor

Baker Mayfield enters the season firmly established as Tampa Bay's starting quarterback with dependable continuity across the passing attack. Backed by proven target Chris Godwin Jr. and young playmaker Emeka Egbuka, Mayfield retains the necessary surrounding cast to maintain consistent weekly fantasy utility.

Our models project Mayfield for 3,600 passing yards, 23 passing touchdowns, and 325 rushing yards, totaling 272.0 fantasy points. While not an explosive runner, his red-zone efficiency and ability to distribute to multiple weapons support a dependable baseline in standard formats.

Market sentiment has grown noticeably cold, as his ADP tumbled from pick 124 in early August down to 176. With his roster rate dipping to 65%, this sliding draft cost turns Mayfield into a quality late-round value and reliable QB2 for managers waiting on the position.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Baker Mayfield
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Maye over Mayfield

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Drake Maye

Elite Dual-Threat Upside Offers Exceptional Draft-Day Value

Following an exceptional 2025 campaign where he posted 4,688 passing yards and 32 touchdowns, Drake Maye enters his third season firmly established as one of the league's premier young passers. New England's aerial attack has upgraded considerably around him, featuring elite wideout A.J. Brown alongside dependable targets Hunter Henry and Romeo Doubs.

Our projections forecast another dominant campaign, projecting 4,250 passing yards, 32 touchdowns through the air, and 450 rushing yards with four scores on the ground. Maye's rushing mobility provides a rock-solid fantasy floor to pair with his explosive downfield efficiency and high passing ceiling.

Draft market sentiment has seen Maye's ADP drift from the mid-50s in July down toward the 80 mark entering September drafts. Given his top-five positional upside and 100% roster rate, this dipping cost makes Maye a premier draft-day value who can anchor fantasy lineups without requiring an early-round pick.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Drake Maye
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Performance Baker Mayfield
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Drake Maye
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
29562.822370
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
29562.822370
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Baker Mayfield

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Drake Maye

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Baker Mayfield
OWN
64%
-5.22 compared to last week
START
11%
+2.77 compared to last week
OWN/START Drake Maye
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
85%
+1.79 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Baker Mayfield
21st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Drake Maye
3rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Baker Mayfield

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 21st among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 275.46 total points (15.30 avg).
  • Currently 158.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3734 (207.44 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 352 (19.56 per game) and is currently ranked 7th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 13 (0.72 per game) and is currently ranked 6th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -682, TDs: -12, INTs: -2
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3600, PASS TDS: 23, RUSH YDS: 315, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Drake Maye

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 3rd among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 2nd with 431.84 total points (19.63 avg).
  • Currently 2.4 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 19.6.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 6 in pass yards with 4688 (260.44 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 32 (1.78 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass completions with 376 (20.89 per game) and is currently ranked 5th.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 9 (0.50 per game) and is currently ranked 16th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 6 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +3240, TDs: +23, INTs: +3
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4250, PASS TDS: 32, RUSH YDS: 450, RUSH TDS: 4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Baker Mayfield

No Injury Reported

Injury Drake Maye

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Baker Mayfield

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 23rd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 13, TDS: 4, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Matchups Drake Maye

Week 1
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
16.90276.10332156104.06
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 1st with 227.00 total points (11.35 avg).
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 11.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in total yards against with 324.82 per game and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 6 in turnovers with 26 (1.53 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 4 in rush defense with 1622 (95.41 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Ranked 14th in pass defense with 3900 (229.41 per game).
  • Top 8 in sacks with 47 (2.76 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 18 (1.06 per game) and currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 2 in points against with 17.18 per game and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 2 in Total TDs with 8 (0.47 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -85.25, Turnovers: +17 Sacks: +12, INTs: +10, TDs: +5, Points Allowed: -4.69,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 14, TDS: 8, PA/G: 18.3, YDS/G: 303.8
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Baker Mayfield
16.12
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Drake Maye
20.38
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Baker Mayfield
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 CLE 14 3725 64% 27 14 93.7 131 0 6
2019 CLE 16 3827 59% 22 21 78.8 141 3 3
2020 CLE 16 3826 63% 29 8 97.2 168 1 4
2021 CLE 14 3010 61% 17 13 83.1 134 1 3
2022 CAR 12 2163 60% 10 8 79.0 89 1 2
2023 TB 16 4044 64% 28 10 94.6 163 1 3
2024 TB 16 4500 71% 41 16 106.8 378 3 2
2025 TB 16 3734 63% 27 13 88.3 401 1 3
ON PACE 72 16803 63% 122 59 88.3 1805 5 14
3-YEAR AVG 18 4383 66% 35 14 97.6 332 2 3
Totals 129 29904 63% 210 106 91.4 1670 11 27
Career Drake Maye
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 NE 13 2276 67% 15 10 88.1 421 2 6
2025 NE 16 4688 71% 32 9 111.7 472 4 3
ON PACE 72 21096 71% 144 41 111.7 2124 18 14
3-YEAR AVG 10 2321 70% 16 6 102.5 298 2 3
Totals 35 7792 68% 53 23 100.0 1071 7 13
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
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