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Joe Burrow or Matthew Stafford

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow

QBCincinnati Bengals CIN
Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford

QBLos Angeles Rams LAR
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burrow over Stafford

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Joe Burrow

High-Powered Bengals Offense Positions Joe Burrow for Elite Return

Joe Burrow enters the year with immense confidence, comparing this roster to his legendary 2019 LSU championship squad. Operating as the undisputed starter alongside elite playmakers Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, he has the tools to succeed. Our models project him to lead a highly productive passing game, especially with plans to explore more under-center play-action to unlock explosive plays.

In drafts, Burrow's ADP has stabilized around 57. While his draft cost briefly spiked into the mid-30s in early June, his price has settled back down, representing an excellent value. At this current late-fifth-round cost, our projections view him as a premier target who can anchor your fantasy quarterback position.

Our projections slate Burrow for 4,330 passing yards and 34 passing touchdowns, totaling 302.9 fantasy points. If he stays healthy, his elite efficiency and upgraded roster offer comfortable top-tier upside.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Joe Burrow
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Stafford over Burrow

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matthew Stafford

Reigning MVP Offers Elite Late-Round Value Behind High-Powered Passing Attack

Coming off a spectacular MVP-winning campaign where he threw for 5,284 yards and 52 touchdowns, the veteran signal-caller returns to lead an explosive Los Angeles offense. Backed by a newly signed contract extension, his role as the starting quarterback remains entirely secure despite the Rams drafting Ty Simpson in the first round.

He is blessed with arguably the league's most dangerous receiving duo in Puka Nacua and veteran Davante Adams, alongside lead running back Kyren Williams. This elite supporting cast keeps his weekly fantasy ceiling incredibly high, even as he enters his age-38 season with limited rushing upside.

Our projections expect a slight regression to 4,140 passing yards and 32 touchdowns, totaling 275.5 fantasy points. After briefly fluctuating in June, his ADP has stabilized around 102. At this late-round draft cost in 1.0 PPR leagues, we view him as an outstanding value play for managers utilizing a late-round quarterback strategy.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Matthew Stafford
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Performance Joe Burrow
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Matthew Stafford
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Joe Burrow

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Matthew Stafford

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Joe Burrow
OWN
100%
+2.33 compared to last week
START
88%
+1.45 compared to last week
OWN/START Matthew Stafford
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
70%
+2.56 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Joe Burrow
4th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Matthew Stafford
13th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Joe Burrow

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 4th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 28th with 134.46 total points (16.81 avg).
  • Currently 299.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 1809 (226.13 per game) and is currently ranked 31st among QB.
  • Top 25 in pass tds with 17 (2.13 per game) and is currently ranked 24th among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 8 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -2832, TDs: -25, INTs: -3
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Like guys who average a lot of tds per game? Then you'll love him.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4330, PASS TDS: 34, RUSH YDS: 159, RUSH TDS: 1
Breakdown Matthew Stafford

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 13th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 1st with 434.24 total points (20.68 avg).
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.7.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4980 (276.67 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass tds with 49 (2.72 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 413 (22.94 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 8 (0.44 per game) and is currently ranked 18th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2154, TDs: +35, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • The amount of touchdowns per game is ridiculous. Can he keep it up?
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4140, PASS TDS: 32, RUSH YDS: 62, RUSH TDS: 0
Next Up Health Check
Injury Joe Burrow

No Injury Reported

Injury Matthew Stafford

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Joe Burrow

Week 1
Cincinnati Bengals VS Tampa Bay Bucs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.18374.0623133723.94
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 17th with 98.00 total points (5.76 avg).
  • Currently 129 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in turnovers with 23 (1.35 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in rush defense with 1754 (103.18 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Ranked 28th in pass defense with 4605 (270.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 20 in points against with 24.18 per game and currently ranked 20th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 15th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +60.95, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -12, INTs: +6, TDs: EVEN, Points Allowed: +3.18,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 25.7, YDS/G: 358.3
Matchups Matthew Stafford

Week 1
Los Angeles Rams VS San Francisco 49ers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.68325.321662313.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 27th with 76.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 151 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in rush defense with 1902 (111.88 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 22nd in pass defense with 4279 (251.71 per game).
  • Top 14 in points against with 21.82 per game and currently ranked 13th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 25th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +53.7, Turnovers: -9 Sacks: -22, INTs: -11, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -0.99,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.2, YDS/G: 361.5
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Joe Burrow
17.83
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Matthew Stafford
16.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Joe Burrow
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 CIN 10 2688 65% 13 5 89.8 142 3 4
2021 CIN 16 4611 70% 34 14 108.3 118 2 2
2022 CIN 16 4527 69% 36 12 101.6 259 5 3
2023 CIN 10 2309 67% 15 6 91.0 88 0 1
2024 CIN 16 4918 71% 43 9 108.5 201 2 5
2025 CIN 8 1809 67% 17 5 100.7 41 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 12 3012 69% 25 7 101.9 110 1 2
Totals 81 21583 68% 162 53 100.8 919 13 15
Career Matthew Stafford
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2009 DET 10 2267 53% 13 20 61.0 108 2 1
2010 DET 3 535 59% 6 1 91.3 11 1 1
2011 DET 15 4518 64% 36 14 96.6 78 0 1
2012 DET 16 5485 60% 25 19 81.6 128 4 4
2013 DET 16 4647 59% 29 19 84.1 74 2 4
2014 DET 16 4247 60% 22 12 85.6 93 2 2
2015 DET 16 4262 67% 32 13 97.0 159 1 3
2016 DET 16 4327 65% 24 10 93.3 207 2 4
2017 DET 16 4446 66% 29 10 99.3 98 0 13
2018 DET 16 3777 66% 21 11 89.9 71 0 8
2019 DET 8 2499 64% 19 5 106.0 66 0 6
2020 DET 16 4084 64% 26 10 96.3 112 0 1
2021 LAR 16 4886 67% 41 17 102.9 43 0 2
2022 LAR 9 2087 68% 10 8 87.4 9 1 3
2023 LAR 15 3965 63% 24 11 92.5 65 0 0
2024 LAR 16 3762 66% 20 8 93.7 41 0 2
2025 LAR 16 5284 65% 52 9 108.9 1 0 3
3-YEAR AVG 17 4536 65% 33 9 100.1 37 0 2
Totals 246 66610 63% 438 197 92.8 1383 15 59
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs WAS 04:05 EDT EST
ATL vs TEX 01:35 EDT EST
BAL @HOU 02:10 EDT EST
BOS vs TB 01:35 EDT EST
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @TOR 12:15 EDT EST
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST
CLE vs PIT 01:40 EDT EST
DET @LAA 04:07 EDT EST
KC vs SD 02:10 EDT EST
LAD @NYY 07:20 EDT EST
MIA @MIL 02:10 EDT EST
NYM @PHI 01:35 EDT EST
SEA vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled