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Matthew Stafford or Baker Mayfield

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford

QBLos Angeles Rams LAR
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

QBTampa Bay Bucs TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Stafford over Mayfield

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matthew Stafford

Reigning MVP Offers Elite Late-Round Value Behind High-Powered Passing Attack

Coming off a spectacular MVP-winning campaign where he threw for 5,284 yards and 52 touchdowns, the veteran signal-caller returns to lead an explosive Los Angeles offense. Backed by a newly signed contract extension, his role as the starting quarterback remains entirely secure despite the Rams drafting Ty Simpson in the first round.

He is blessed with arguably the league's most dangerous receiving duo in Puka Nacua and veteran Davante Adams, alongside lead running back Kyren Williams. This elite supporting cast keeps his weekly fantasy ceiling incredibly high, even as he enters his age-38 season with limited rushing upside.

Our projections expect a slight regression to 4,140 passing yards and 32 touchdowns, totaling 275.5 fantasy points. After briefly fluctuating in June, his ADP has stabilized around 102. At this late-round draft cost in 1.0 PPR leagues, we view him as an outstanding value play for managers utilizing a late-round quarterback strategy.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Matthew Stafford
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mayfield over Stafford

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Baker Mayfield

Late-Round Value Anchor Poised for Another Highly Productive Campaign in Tampa Bay

Baker Mayfield enters the season as the clear starting quarterback for Tampa Bay, looking to build on a gritty 2025 campaign where he threw for 3,734 yards and 27 touchdowns despite playing through multiple knee and shoulder injuries. Although the offense will miss veteran Mike Evans, our models project Mayfield to remain highly productive with Chris Godwin Jr. and Jalen McMillan leading a deep receiving corps.

His ADP has remained remarkably stable around the late-round quarterback tier at pick 131, presenting a massive value opportunity in 1.0 PPR leagues. Heading into a contract year with extension talks currently stalled, Mayfield has plenty of financial incentive to repeat his high-volume passing success.

We project Mayfield to finish with 3,857 passing yards and 25 touchdowns, along with 312 yards on the ground. Rosterable in 80% of leagues, he offers a high-floor QB2 option with low-end QB1 upside if his efficiency matches his career-best 2024 season.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Baker Mayfield
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Performance Matthew Stafford
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Baker Mayfield
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Matthew Stafford

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Baker Mayfield

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Matthew Stafford
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
70%
+2.56 compared to last week
OWN/START Baker Mayfield
OWN
80%
-1.4 compared to last week
START
30%
-2.56 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Matthew Stafford
13th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Baker Mayfield
21st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Matthew Stafford

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 13th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 1st with 434.24 total points (20.68 avg).
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.7.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4980 (276.67 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass tds with 49 (2.72 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 413 (22.94 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 8 (0.44 per game) and is currently ranked 18th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2154, TDs: +35, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • The amount of touchdowns per game is ridiculous. Can he keep it up?
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4140, PASS TDS: 32, RUSH YDS: 62, RUSH TDS: 0
Breakdown Baker Mayfield

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 21st among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 275.46 total points (15.30 avg).
  • Currently 158.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3734 (207.44 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 352 (19.56 per game) and is currently ranked 7th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 13 (0.72 per game) and is currently ranked 6th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -682, TDs: -12, INTs: -2
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3857, PASS TDS: 25, RUSH YDS: 312, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Matthew Stafford

No Injury Reported

Injury Baker Mayfield

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Matthew Stafford

Week 1
Los Angeles Rams VS San Francisco 49ers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.68325.321662313.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 27th with 76.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 151 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in rush defense with 1902 (111.88 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 22nd in pass defense with 4279 (251.71 per game).
  • Top 14 in points against with 21.82 per game and currently ranked 13th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 25th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +53.7, Turnovers: -9 Sacks: -22, INTs: -11, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -0.99,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.2, YDS/G: 361.5
Matchups Baker Mayfield

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.88
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 25th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 14th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 40, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Matthew Stafford
16.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Baker Mayfield
17.04
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Matthew Stafford
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2009 DET 10 2267 53% 13 20 61.0 108 2 1
2010 DET 3 535 59% 6 1 91.3 11 1 1
2011 DET 15 4518 64% 36 14 96.6 78 0 1
2012 DET 16 5485 60% 25 19 81.6 128 4 4
2013 DET 16 4647 59% 29 19 84.1 74 2 4
2014 DET 16 4247 60% 22 12 85.6 93 2 2
2015 DET 16 4262 67% 32 13 97.0 159 1 3
2016 DET 16 4327 65% 24 10 93.3 207 2 4
2017 DET 16 4446 66% 29 10 99.3 98 0 13
2018 DET 16 3777 66% 21 11 89.9 71 0 8
2019 DET 8 2499 64% 19 5 106.0 66 0 6
2020 DET 16 4084 64% 26 10 96.3 112 0 1
2021 LAR 16 4886 67% 41 17 102.9 43 0 2
2022 LAR 9 2087 68% 10 8 87.4 9 1 3
2023 LAR 15 3965 63% 24 11 92.5 65 0 0
2024 LAR 16 3762 66% 20 8 93.7 41 0 2
2025 LAR 16 5284 65% 52 9 108.9 1 0 3
3-YEAR AVG 17 4536 65% 33 9 100.1 37 0 2
Totals 246 66610 63% 438 197 92.8 1383 15 59
Career Baker Mayfield
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 CLE 14 3725 64% 27 14 93.7 131 0 6
2019 CLE 16 3827 59% 22 21 78.8 141 3 3
2020 CLE 16 3826 63% 29 8 97.2 168 1 4
2021 CLE 14 3010 61% 17 13 83.1 134 1 3
2022 CAR 12 2163 60% 10 8 79.0 89 1 2
2023 TB 16 4044 64% 28 10 94.6 163 1 3
2024 TB 16 4500 71% 41 16 106.8 378 3 2
2025 TB 16 3734 63% 27 13 88.3 401 1 3
3-YEAR AVG 18 4383 66% 35 14 97.6 332 2 3
Totals 129 29904 63% 210 106 91.4 1670 11 27
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs WAS 04:05 EDT EST
ATL vs TEX 01:35 EDT EST
BAL @HOU 02:10 EDT EST
BOS vs TB 01:35 EDT EST
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @TOR 12:15 EDT EST
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST
CLE vs PIT 01:40 EDT EST
DET @LAA 04:07 EDT EST
KC vs SD 02:10 EDT EST
LAD @NYY 07:20 EDT EST
MIA @MIL 02:10 EDT EST
NYM @PHI 01:35 EDT EST
SEA vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled