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T.J. Hockenson or Kyle Pitts Sr.

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson

TEMinnesota Vikings MIN
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TEAtlanta Falcons ATL
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Hockenson over Pitts Sr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook T.J. Hockenson

Late-Round Value Steal Primed for a PPR Rebound in Minnesota's Potent Passing Game

Hockenson enters the season locked in as the starting tight end for Minnesota. He will catch passes from quarterback Kyler Murray, working alongside star receiver Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison. Coming off a 2025 campaign where he hauled in 55 receptions for 457 yards, Hockenson looks to recapture the elite form that saw him surpass 85 catches in both 2022 and 2023.

Our projections are optimistic about his baseline role, modeling Hockenson for 64 receptions, 569 yards, and three touchdowns (140.5 fantasy points). While these figures represent a step back from his peak years, they solidify him as a highly reliable option in an explosive passing game.

In drafts, Hockenson's ADP has steadily climbed from pick 167 in early May to around 153. This cheap market price represents a massive value steal in PPR formats. For managers waiting on the position, his projected target volume makes him an appealing late-round prize.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News T.J. Hockenson
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Pitts Sr. over Hockenson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kyle Pitts Sr.

Franchise Tag Security and High-Volume Role Cement Elite Tight End Potential

Kyle Pitts Sr. signed his $15 million franchise tag with Atlanta, locking him in as the undisputed top tight end ahead of Austin Hooper. After posting an impressive 90-reception, 953-yard campaign in 2025, Pitts remains a focal point of an offense featuring Drake London and Bijan Robinson. Whether catching passes from Michael Penix Jr. or Tua Tagovailoa, his role in the passing game is secure.

Our projections estimate 73 receptions for 799 yards and four touchdowns, yielding 179.0 fantasy points. While this forecasts a slight regression from his career-best target volume in 2025, his consistent year-over-year touchdown growth offers intriguing red-zone upside. He represents a steady, high-tier option at a notoriously volatile position.

Analyzing draft trends, Pitts' ADP has shown notable movement, climbing from the mid-80s in May to as high as 48 in early June before stabilizing in the low-70s. In 1.0 PPR formats, this draft cost represents a major value opportunity. Our models suggest that landing a secure top-tier weapon in the seventh round offers outstanding draft-day profit potential.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Kyle Pitts Sr.
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Performance T.J. Hockenson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kyle Pitts Sr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches T.J. Hockenson
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 @CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 BUF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 @NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Kyle Pitts Sr.
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START T.J. Hockenson
OWN
53%
-2.5 compared to last week
START
20%
-4.03 compared to last week
OWN/START Kyle Pitts Sr.
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
88%
+1.09 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus T.J. Hockenson
23rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kyle Pitts Sr.
6th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown T.J. Hockenson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 23rd among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 30th with 63.70 total points (3.54 avg).
  • Currently 134.1 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.5 PPG.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 20 in receptions and is currently ranked 16th among TE.
  • Top 25 in targets and is currently ranked 21st among TE.
  • Top 20 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 17th among TE.
  • Top 15 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 14th among TE.
  • Top 35 in reception yards with 457 and 8.31 YPC and is currently ranked 26th among TE.
  • Top 35 in Rec TDs with 3 and is currently ranked 34th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 9 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +16, Rec Yards: +11 Rec TDs: +3,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 64, REC YDS: 569, REC TDS: 3
Breakdown Kyle Pitts Sr.

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 6th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 125.30 total points (6.96 avg).
  • Currently 72.5 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 3 in receptions and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 3 in targets and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 20 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 20th among TE.
  • Top 3 in reception yards with 953 and 10.59 YPC and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 20 in Rec TDs with 5 and is currently ranked 16th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 18 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +90, Rec Yards: +953 Rec TDs: +5,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 73, REC YDS: 799, REC TDS: 4
Next Up Health Check
Injury T.J. Hockenson

No Injury Reported

Injury Kyle Pitts Sr.

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups T.J. Hockenson

Week 1
Minnesota Vikings VS Green Bay Packers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.72316.831693703.70
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 24th with 83.00 total points (4.61 avg).
  • Currently 144 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.6 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 335.47 per game and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 18th in rush defense with 2094 (123.18 per game).
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3609 (212.29 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 12 in points against with 21.18 per game and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 29th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +35.93, Turnovers: -19 Sacks: -24, INTs: -12, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +1.87,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 22.5, YDS/G: 331.3
Matchups Kyle Pitts Sr.

Week 1
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.17372.0630165134.42
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 7th with 141.00 total points (7.83 avg).
  • Currently 86 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in turnovers with 27 (1.59 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Ranked 13th in rush defense with 2021 (118.88 per game).
  • Ranked 30th in pass defense with 4676 (275.06 per game).
  • Top 6 in sacks with 48 (2.82 per game) and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 18 in points against with 22.76 per game and currently ranked 17th among DST.
  • Top 10 in Total TDs with 3 (0.18 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +66.36, Turnovers: -4 Sacks: +6, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.02,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 24.2, YDS/G: 379.3
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating T.J. Hockenson
12.49
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kyle Pitts Sr.
16.49
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career T.J. Hockenson
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2019 DET 12 59 32 367 11.5 2 0 0 0 0
2020 DET 16 101 67 723 10.8 6 1 0 0 0
2021 DET 12 83 61 583 9.6 4 0 0 0 0
2022 DET 16 129 86 914 10.6 6 0 0 0 0
2023 MIN 15 127 95 960 10.1 5 0 0 0 0
2024 MIN 10 62 41 455 11.1 0 0 0 0 0
2025 MIN 16 70 55 457 8.3 3 2 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 14 88 65 645 9.9 3 1 0 0 0
Totals 100 647 452 4652 10.3 27 3 0 0 0
Career Kyle Pitts Sr.
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 ATL 16 123 90 953 10.6 5 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 9 62 45 477 10.6 3 0 0 0 0
Totals 18 123 90 953 10.6 5 0 0 0 0
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled