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Justin Herbert or Bo Nix

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

QBLos Angeles Chargers LAC
Bo Nix

Bo Nix

QBDenver Broncos DEN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Herbert over Nix

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Justin Herbert

Rejuvenated Scheme and Rushing Mobility Present Major Draft Value

Justin Herbert enters 2026 spearheading an evolved Chargers attack under offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel and head coach Jim Harbaugh. While Los Angeles lost starting center Tyler Biadasz for the season, Herbert has shown sharp preseason rhythm and deep chemistry with targets like Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston.

Our projections expect a well-rounded campaign, estimating 3,800 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, and nearly 400 rushing yards. After producing a career-high 498 rushing yards in 2025, his enhanced mobility elevates his weekly floor within an efficient passing structure.

Draft market sentiment has cooled unexpectedly, with Herbert's ADP sliding from the mid-80s down past pick 125 over the last month. Our models view this shifting price as a prime value opportunity in 1.0 PPR formats, offering starting caliber production at a mid-to-late round discount.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Justin Herbert
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nix over Herbert

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Bo Nix

Upgraded Receiving Corps and Rushing Floor Signal High-End QB2 Value

Entering his third season, Bo Nix is completely healthy following offseason ankle rehab and looked sharp during preseason action. Denver upgraded his supporting cast by adding explosive wideout Jaylen Waddle to pair alongside veteran Courtland Sutton and tight end Evan Engram, giving Nix the most dynamic group of weapons in his career.

Nix provides fantasy managers with a dependable dual-threat floor, having tallied nine rushing scores across his first two seasons. Our projections anticipate another solid year through the air and on the ground, forecasting 3,700 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, and 300 rushing yards for 286.0 fantasy points.

Draft momentum has cooled considerably over the summer, with his ADP sliding from pick 108 in July down into the mid-150s (currently 154.25). At this discounted price tag, our projections view Nix as a prime late-round draft value with steady QB2 utility and weekly top-12 streaming potential.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Bo Nix
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Performance Justin Herbert
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Bo Nix
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Justin Herbert

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Bo Nix

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Justin Herbert
OWN
99%
+0.03 compared to last week
START
77%
+11.53 compared to last week
OWN/START Bo Nix
OWN
95%
+0.12 compared to last week
START
35%
+2.19 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Justin Herbert
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Bo Nix
16th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Justin Herbert

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 8th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 296.94 total points (16.50 avg).
  • Currently 137.3 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.5.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3727 (219.24 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 26 (1.53 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 340 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 13th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +362, TDs: +5, INTs: +10
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3800, PASS TDS: 25, RUSH YDS: 390, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Bo Nix

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 16th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 8th with 328.90 total points (18.27 avg).
  • Currently 105.34 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3931 (231.24 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass tds with 25 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass completions with 388 (22.82 per game) and is currently ranked 4th.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 11 (0.65 per game) and is currently ranked 12th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +756, TDs: +3, INTs: EVEN
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3700, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 300, RUSH TDS: 4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Justin Herbert

No Injury Reported

Injury Bo Nix

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Justin Herbert

Week 1
Los Angeles Chargers VS Arizona Cardinals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.71392.7119103023.27
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 30th with 68.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 159 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 26th in rush defense with 2292 (134.82 per game).
  • Ranked 24th in pass defense with 4384 (257.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.71 per game and currently ranked 29th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 19th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +43.83, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -3, INTs: +2, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +5.3,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 29, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 30.5, YDS/G: 380.1
Matchups Bo Nix

Week 1
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
19.29325.8214103503.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 21st with 90.00 total points (5.29 avg).
  • Currently 137 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 325.82 per game and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1871 (110.06 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3668 (215.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in points against with 19.29 per game and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 32nd in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +71.09, Turnovers: -14 Sacks: -20, INTs: -6, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: +2.79,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 36, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 20.5, YDS/G: 320.4
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Justin Herbert
17.73
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Bo Nix
16.75
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Justin Herbert
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 LAC 15 4336 67% 31 10 98.3 234 5 1
2021 LAC 16 5014 66% 38 15 97.7 302 3 1
2022 LAC 16 4739 68% 25 10 93.2 147 0 3
2023 LAC 13 3134 65% 20 7 93.2 228 3 1
2024 LAC 16 3870 66% 23 3 101.7 306 2 2
2025 LAC 16 3727 66% 26 13 94.1 498 2 2
ON PACE 72 16772 66% 117 59 94.1 2241 9 9
3-YEAR AVG 16 3658 65% 23 9 95 344 2 2
Totals 98 25494 66% 165 62 95.4 1784 15 11
Career Bo Nix
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 DEN 16 3775 66% 29 12 93.3 430 4 0
2025 DEN 16 3931 63% 25 11 87.8 356 5 2
ON PACE 72 17690 63% 113 50 87.8 1602 23 9
3-YEAR AVG 12 2617 65% 18 8 90.5 276 3 1
Totals 36 8129 64% 58 24 90.4 858 9 2
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
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