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Justin Herbert or Bo Nix

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

QBLos Angeles Chargers LAC
Bo Nix

Bo Nix

QBDenver Broncos DEN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Herbert over Nix

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Justin Herbert

New Offensive Scheme and Overhauled Line Set Up Bounce-Back Year for Chargers Franchise Passer

Under new coordinator Mike McDaniel, Justin Herbert is poised to improve his efficiency. Offseason reports highlight instant chemistry between the two, with Herbert overhauling his footwork to speed up his release. He will play behind an entirely rebuilt starting offensive line featuring Rashawn Slater and rookie tackle Joe Alt.

Our projections forecast a highly productive season, slotting Herbert for 3,973 passing yards, 27 touchdowns, and 381 rushing yards. A revamped receiving group featuring Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston provides plenty of young talent to support a strong fantasy bounce-back.

In 1.0 PPR formats, Herbert's ADP has settled in the late eighth round. At this cost, our models view him as an absolute steal. He provides a top-five fantasy ceiling at a mid-round price tag, making him a prime target for managers who wait on the quarterback position.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Justin Herbert
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nix over Herbert

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Bo Nix

Underappreciated Consistency and Upgraded Weapons Make Denver's Signal-Caller a Late-Round Value

Nix is progressing well from offseason ankle cleanup surgery, already participating in walkthroughs and on track to be fully healthy for training camp. As Denver's starting quarterback, he is poised to pilot an offense that recently added playmaker Jaylen Waddle to play alongside Courtland Sutton.

Our models project Nix to throw for 3,777 yards and 26 touchdowns, while adding 335 yards and four scores on the ground. This projection aligns closely with his career history, where he averaged over 3,850 passing yards and 27 passing touchdowns over his first two active seasons.

Currently going off the board with an ADP around 110, his summer draft cost has remained stable. With a high rostered rate of 90% but active start rate of 45%, our data suggests he is an ideal late-round value target and premium backup in standard formats.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Bo Nix
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Performance Justin Herbert
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Bo Nix
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Justin Herbert

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Bo Nix

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Justin Herbert
OWN
88%
+1.09 compared to last week
START
33%
+1.54 compared to last week
OWN/START Bo Nix
OWN
90%
+0.91 compared to last week
START
45%
-6.21 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Justin Herbert
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Bo Nix
17th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Justin Herbert

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 8th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 296.94 total points (16.50 avg).
  • Currently 137.3 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.5.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3727 (219.24 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 26 (1.53 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 340 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 13th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +362, TDs: +5, INTs: +10
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3973, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 381, RUSH TDS: 3
Breakdown Bo Nix

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 17th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 8th with 328.90 total points (18.27 avg).
  • Currently 105.34 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3931 (231.24 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass tds with 25 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass completions with 388 (22.82 per game) and is currently ranked 4th.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 11 (0.65 per game) and is currently ranked 13th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +756, TDs: +3, INTs: EVEN
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3777, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 335, RUSH TDS: 4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Justin Herbert

No Injury Reported

Injury Bo Nix

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Justin Herbert

Week 1
Los Angeles Chargers VS Arizona Cardinals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.71392.7119103023.58
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 30th with 68.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 159 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 26th in rush defense with 2292 (134.82 per game).
  • Ranked 24th in pass defense with 4384 (257.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.71 per game and currently ranked 29th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 19th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +43.83, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -3, INTs: +2, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +5.3,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 11, TDS: 2, PA/G: 30.5, YDS/G: 380.1
Matchups Bo Nix

Week 1
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
19.29325.8214103503.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 21st with 90.00 total points (5.29 avg).
  • Currently 137 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 325.82 per game and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1871 (110.06 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3668 (215.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in points against with 19.29 per game and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 32nd in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +71.09, Turnovers: -14 Sacks: -20, INTs: -6, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: +2.79,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 42, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 20.5, YDS/G: 320.4
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Justin Herbert
18.43
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Bo Nix
17.30
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Justin Herbert
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 LAC 15 4336 67% 31 10 98.3 234 5 1
2021 LAC 16 5014 66% 38 15 97.7 302 3 1
2022 LAC 16 4739 68% 25 10 93.2 147 0 3
2023 LAC 13 3134 65% 20 7 93.2 228 3 1
2024 LAC 16 3870 66% 23 3 101.7 306 2 2
2025 LAC 16 3727 66% 26 13 94.1 498 2 2
3-YEAR AVG 16 3658 65% 23 9 95 344 2 2
Totals 98 25494 66% 165 62 95.4 1784 15 11
Career Bo Nix
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 DEN 16 3775 66% 29 12 93.3 430 4 0
2025 DEN 16 3931 63% 25 11 87.8 356 5 2
3-YEAR AVG 12 2617 65% 18 8 90.5 276 3 1
Totals 36 8129 64% 58 24 90.4 858 9 2
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled