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Bo Nix or Caleb Williams

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Bo Nix

Bo Nix

QBDenver Broncos DEN
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

QBChicago Bears CHI
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nix over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Bo Nix

Underappreciated Consistency and Upgraded Weapons Make Denver's Signal-Caller a Late-Round Value

Nix is progressing well from offseason ankle cleanup surgery, already participating in walkthroughs and on track to be fully healthy for training camp. As Denver's starting quarterback, he is poised to pilot an offense that recently added playmaker Jaylen Waddle to play alongside Courtland Sutton.

Our models project Nix to throw for 3,777 yards and 26 touchdowns, while adding 335 yards and four scores on the ground. This projection aligns closely with his career history, where he averaged over 3,850 passing yards and 27 passing touchdowns over his first two active seasons.

Currently going off the board with an ADP around 110, his summer draft cost has remained stable. With a high rostered rate of 90% but active start rate of 45%, our data suggests he is an ideal late-round value target and premium backup in standard formats.


Updated 17 hrs ago

Latest News Bo Nix
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Nix

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Williams

Madden Cover Star Poised for Another Massive Leap in Year Three

Focus on Caleb Williams' daily work with Ben Johnson and his explosive supporting cast, which features Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III. After throwing for 4,542 yards and 32 touchdowns in his sophomore year, the Bears' signal-caller is primed to lead an even more efficient, high-flying offense in 2026.

Analyzing his market value, Williams' ADP has settled around 85.5, briefly spiking into the early fifth round amidst Madden cover hype before stabilizing as a premium middle-round target. In 1.0 PPR leagues, our models view this price point as an absolute steal given his elite ceiling and his quarterback-friendly ecosystem.

Although quarterbacks coach J.T. Barrett is urging him to take fewer risky deep shots, our projections expect high-volume production with 3,796 passing yards and 27 touchdowns. If he couples his elite arm with improved efficiency, he could easily smash his ADP.


Updated 17 hrs ago

Latest News Caleb Williams
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Performance Bo Nix
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Caleb Williams
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Bo Nix

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Caleb Williams

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Bo Nix
OWN
90%
+0.91 compared to last week
START
45%
-6.21 compared to last week
OWN/START Caleb Williams
OWN
90%
-1.31 compared to last week
START
45%
+0.46 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Bo Nix
17th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Caleb Williams
11th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Bo Nix

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 17th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 8th with 328.90 total points (18.27 avg).
  • Currently 105.34 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3931 (231.24 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass tds with 25 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass completions with 388 (22.82 per game) and is currently ranked 4th.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 11 (0.65 per game) and is currently ranked 15th.
  • Top 5 in rushing TDs with 5 (0.29 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +756, TDs: +3, INTs: EVEN
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3777, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 335, RUSH TDS: 4
Breakdown Caleb Williams

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 11th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 376.56 total points (18.83 avg).
  • Currently 57.68 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 4181 (232.28 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 30 (1.67 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 349 (19.39 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1406, TDs: +15, INTs: +6
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3796, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 375, RUSH TDS: 3
Next Up Health Check
Injury Bo Nix

No Injury Reported

Injury Caleb Williams

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Bo Nix

Week 1
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
19.29325.8214103503.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 21st with 90.00 total points (5.29 avg).
  • Currently 137 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 325.82 per game and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1871 (110.06 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3668 (215.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in points against with 19.29 per game and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 32nd in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +71.09, Turnovers: -14 Sacks: -20, INTs: -6, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: +2.79,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 42, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 20.5, YDS/G: 320.4
Matchups Caleb Williams

Week 1
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.00338.5022163123.51
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 16th with 103.00 total points (5.72 avg).
  • Currently 124 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 23rd in rush defense with 2243 (131.94 per game).
  • Top 12 in pass defense with 3850 (226.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.35 per game and currently ranked 15th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 22nd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -56.26, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: -5, INTs: +8, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: -6.94,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 39, INT: 11, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.8, YDS/G: 347.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Bo Nix
17.30
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Caleb Williams
17.86
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Bo Nix
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 DEN 16 3775 66% 29 12 93.3 430 4 0
2025 DEN 16 3931 63% 25 11 87.8 356 5 2
3-YEAR AVG 12 2617 65% 18 8 90.5 276 3 1
Totals 36 8129 64% 58 24 90.4 858 9 2
Career Caleb Williams
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 CHI 16 3541 63% 20 6 87.8 483 0 5
2025 CHI 16 4542 57% 32 9 89.5 424 3 2
3-YEAR AVG 12 2574 60% 17 4 89.4 296 1 2
Totals 37 8340 60% 54 18 87.7 947 3 7
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled