Outlook Nolan McLean
Nolan McLean rights the ship ahead of a high-stakes division showdown
McLean has rebounded nicely, posting a sharp 1.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over his last two starts. His stabilization is vital for the fifth-place Mets (29-38), who are looking to snap a two-game slide. Despite rotation injuries to Kodai Senga and Clay Holmes, McLean remains locked in as a reliable mid-rotation staple.
His current 4.07 ERA is higher than his stellar 2.09 ERA last season, but his underlying metrics remain strong. Our models project McLean for a quality 3.46 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 170 strikeouts over 151.0 innings. While eight walks over his last 11.0 innings suggest some command volatility, his elite raw stuff makes this rebound sustainable.
McLean has one start remaining this week on June 12 at home against the Braves. He faces a tough opponent in Spencer Strider, who currently holds a 4.00 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Despite the difficult matchup, McLean's elite strikeout upside makes him a mandatory option. Verdict: Start.
Updated 1 day ago
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Outlook Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti continues brilliant run as rotation anchor for injury-riddled Astros.
Arrighetti has been a savior for an Astros rotation missing key arms like Hunter Brown and Cristian Javier. Over his last 30 days, the righty has posted a superb 2.56 ERA and 1.07 WHIP across 28.1 innings. Despite the fourth-place Astros (31-39) riding a two-game losing streak, Arrighetti has solidified his role as the team's number two starter after earning AL Pitcher of the Month honors.
While his current 2.24 season ERA is spectacular, our models expect some regression, projecting a 4.60 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over the remaining 90.0 innings. This aligns closer to his 5.05 career mark from 2024. However, his strong 8.47 K/9 suggests he can outperform those conservative expectations.
As a two-start pitcher this week, Arrighetti already delivered a quality start against the Angels on June 8. He wraps up the week on Sunday, June 14, on the road against the Royals and Stephen Kolek (3.14 ERA). With one great outing already bankrolled, lock him in. Verdict: Start.
Updated 1 day ago
