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Joe Burrow or Justin Herbert

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow

QB • Cincinnati Bengals CIN
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

QB • Los Angeles Chargers LAC
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burrow over Herbert

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook Joe Burrow

Elite Passing Volume and Championship Expectations Primed to Fuel Top-Tier Bounce-Back

Joe Burrow enters the season with immense confidence, comparing this Bengals squad to his legendary 2019 LSU national championship team. Armed with elite pass-catching weapons Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, Burrow is positioned to lead one of the league's most explosive passing games.

Following an injury-abbreviated 2025 campaign where he was limited to eight games, the star quarterback is healthy and poised for a massive rebound. Our models project 4,334 passing yards and 34 touchdowns, matching the elite ceiling he displayed during his spectacular 43-touchdown season in 2024.

Currently going off the board in the late-fifth round with a stable ADP of 57, the market is offering a major discount due to last year's injury. Our projections view Burrow as an exceptional value at this price, making him a highly desirable quarterback target.

Updated 10 hrs ago

Latest News Joe Burrow
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Herbert over Burrow

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook Justin Herbert

Revamped Mechanics and New Play-Caller Prime Justin Herbert for a Bounce-Back Season

Herbert is entering a new era under offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel. Reports from minicamp highlight an intensive focus on refining his footwork and speeding up his throwing release to help him own the position in a fresh way. The team managed his arm during OTAs, positioning him to ramp up securely into training camp.

Our models project a productive bounce-back campaign, predicting 3,979 passing yards and 27 touchdowns alongside 403 rushing yards. Supported by a remodeled offensive line featuring Rashawn Slater and rookie Joe Alt, plus targets like Ladd McConkey and newly acquired tight end David Njoku, Herbert has the pieces to outperform last season's stats.

In 1.0 PPR leagues, Herbert's draft cost has steadily risen from an ADP of nearly 100 in early May to around 87 in June. Fantasy managers are recognizing the high ceiling of his revamped mechanics. At this price point, our projections view him as an outstanding mid-round quarterback value.

Updated 10 hrs ago

Latest News Justin Herbert
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Next Up ❱ Performance Comparison
Performance Joe Burrow
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Justin Herbert
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Joe Burrow

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Justin Herbert

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Joe Burrow
OWN
98%
-0.14 compared to last week
START
77%
-1.45 compared to last week
OWN/START Justin Herbert
OWN
86%
-0.87 compared to last week
START
34%
+2.18 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Joe Burrow
4th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Justin Herbert
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Joe Burrow

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 4th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 28th with 134.46 total points (16.81 avg).
  • Currently 299.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.8.

    • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 1809 (226.13 per game) and is currently ranked 31st among QB.
  • Top 25 in pass tds with 17 (2.13 per game) and is currently ranked 24th among QB.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 8 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -2832, TDs: -25, INTs: -3
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Like guys who average a lot of tds per game? Then you'll love him.

    • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4334, PASS TDS: 34, RUSH YDS: 159, RUSH TDS: 1
Breakdown Justin Herbert

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 8th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 296.94 total points (16.50 avg).
  • Currently 137.3 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.5.

    • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3727 (219.24 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 26 (1.53 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 340 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 13th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and is currently ranked 9th.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +362, TDs: +5, INTs: +10
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.

    • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3979, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 403, RUSH TDS: 3
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Joe Burrow

No Injury Reported

Injury Justin Herbert

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Joe Burrow

Week 1
Cincinnati Bengals VS Tampa Bay Bucs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.18374.0623133723.94
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 17th with 98.00 total points (5.76 avg).
  • Currently 129 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in turnovers with 23 (1.35 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 6 in rush defense with 1754 (103.18 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Ranked 28th in pass defense with 4605 (270.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 20 in points against with 24.18 per game and currently ranked 20th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 22nd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +60.95, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -12, INTs: +6, TDs: EVEN, Points Allowed: +3.18,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 25.7, YDS/G: 358.3
Matchups Justin Herbert

Week 1
Los Angeles Chargers VS Arizona Cardinals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.71392.7119103023.58
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 30th with 68.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 159 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 26th in rush defense with 2292 (134.82 per game).
  • Ranked 24th in pass defense with 4384 (257.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.71 per game and currently ranked 29th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 17th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +43.83, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -3, INTs: +2, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +5.3,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 11, TDS: 2, PA/G: 30.5, YDS/G: 380.1
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Joe Burrow
17.84
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Justin Herbert
18.67
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Joe Burrow
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 CIN 10 2688 65% 13 5 89.8 142 3 4
2021 CIN 16 4611 70% 34 14 108.3 118 2 2
2022 CIN 16 4527 69% 36 12 101.6 259 5 3
2023 CIN 10 2309 67% 15 6 91.0 88 0 1
2024 CIN 16 4918 71% 43 9 108.5 201 2 5
2025 CIN 8 1809 67% 17 5 100.7 41 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 12 3012 69% 25 7 101.9 110 1 2
Totals 81 21583 68% 162 53 100.8 919 13 15
Career Justin Herbert
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 LAC 15 4336 67% 31 10 98.3 234 5 1
2021 LAC 16 5014 66% 38 15 97.7 302 3 1
2022 LAC 16 4739 68% 25 10 93.2 147 0 3
2023 LAC 13 3134 65% 20 7 93.2 228 3 1
2024 LAC 16 3870 66% 23 3 101.7 306 2 2
2025 LAC 16 3727 66% 26 13 94.1 498 2 2
3-YEAR AVG 16 3658 65% 23 9 95 344 2 2
Totals 98 25494 66% 165 62 95.4 1784 15 11
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Player News

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    @IraHeatBeat

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIN 10:10 EDT EST
ATH vs LAA 10:05 EDT EST
ATL vs MIL 04:10 EDT EST
BAL @LAD 10:10 EDT EST
BOS @SEA 10:10 EDT EST
CHC vs TOR 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @DET 01:10 EDT EST
CIN @NYY 01:35 EDT EST
CLE @HOU 07:15 EDT EST
COL vs PIT 09:10 EDT EST
MIA vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
NYM @PHI 07:15 EDT EST
SD @TEX 04:05 EDT EST
TB vs WAS 04:10 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled