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Alex Bregman or Matt Chapman

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Alex Bregman

Alex Bregman

3BChicago Cubs CHC
Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman

3BSan Francisco Giants SF
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bregman over Chapman

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Alex Bregman

Bregman Mired in Prolonged Power Slump as Cubs Face Elite Brewers Rotation

Bregman is currently struggling significantly at the plate, hitting just .150 with a meager .492 OPS over his last seven days. Despite his individual cold streak, the second-place Cubs remain competitive in the NL Central with a 44-37 record and enter the weekend on a four-game winning streak. He remains the everyday starter at third base, but he is currently finding too many gloves and leaving far too many runners on base.

Under the hood, there are major concerns regarding his sustainability as his recent .208 average over the last 30 days is well below our season projection of .259. His power has essentially vanished of late, as he has failed to hit a home run in his last 11 games and is slugging just .275 in that span. While his career stats suggest a bounce-back is coming, his difficulty at Wrigley Field appears to be a legitimate obstacle for his specific hitting profile.

The remainder of the week offers an incredibly difficult challenge as the Cubs play a road series in Milwaukee. Bregman is scheduled to face a gauntlet of elite arms, including Jacob Misiorowski and his 1.45 ERA, followed by Kyle Harrison and Brandon Woodruff, who both boast sub-2.50 ERAs. Given the combination of his ice-cold bat and these top-tier matchups against a division rival, managers should Sit Bregman for the weekend.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Alex Bregman
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Chapman over Bregman

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman's Power Vanishes Amid Recent Strikeout Surge

Chapman has struggled immensely over the last six games, batting just .105 with 10 strikeouts and zero extra-base hits. This cold spell comes as the 33-47 Giants sit fourth in the NL West and navigate injuries to key hitters like Luis Arraez. Despite the slump, Chapman remains the undisputed everyday third baseman while trade rumors begin to swirl ahead of the deadline.

While the last seven days have been brutal, our data shows Chapman was elite over the preceding month, slashing .271 with six home runs and 25 RBI. His current .241 season average is slightly ahead of his career baseline, suggesting the recent strikeout spike is a temporary outlier rather than a total collapse. Expect his power to return to the levels suggested by our projection of a .432 slugging percentage.

The week concludes with a challenging three-game home stand against the Braves. Chapman faces a gauntlet of capable arms, including Reynaldo Lopez and Bryce Elder, before a daunting Sunday finale against ace Chris Sale and his elite 2.14 ERA. Given his current contact issues and these difficult matchups, he is a liability in lineups until his bat stabilizes. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Matt Chapman
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Performance Alex Bregman
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.111022.2730.16705
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.211055.3880.237011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Matt Chapman
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.118010.3180.11806
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.088142.2620.176011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Alex Bregman
OWN
92%
-1.96 compared to last week
START
71%
-1.98 compared to last week
OWN/START Matt Chapman
OWN
74%
-9.34 compared to last week
START
56%
-18.96 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Alex Bregman
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Matt Chapman
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Alex Bregman

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 10th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 265th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.278
  • Ranked 256th in batting average with 0.235
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 139th with 0.341
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 348th with 0.320
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 283rd with 0.661
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 517th with 1
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 57th with 27
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 295th in RBI with 16
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 140th in runs scored with 29
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.058, OBP: -0.045, HRs: -5, RBI: -9, Runs: +5, Wlks: +19, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Matt Chapman

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 16th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 273rd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.276
  • Ranked 320th in batting average with 0.217
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 189th with 0.324
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 248th with 0.380
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 227th with 0.704
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 79th with 25
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 102nd in RBI with 29
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 246th in runs scored with 20
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.005, OBP: -0.028, HRs: -5, RBI: +11, Runs: EVEN, Wlks: -4, Stls: -7,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Alex Bregman

No Injury Reported

Injury Matt Chapman

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Alex Bregman
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@NYM
Jun 23@NYMEdward CabreraW 6-9
Jun 24@NYMJavier AssadW 3-10
Jun 24@NYMShota ImanagaW 5-10
Jun 25@NYMJacob WebbW 3-4
Jun 26@MILJacob MisiorowskiL 6-2
Jun 27@MILDavid PetersonW 2-8
Jun 28@MILBrandon Woodruff
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.119023.2130.143011
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Matt Chapman
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23VS ATHRobbie RayW 3-1
Jun 24VS ATHErik MillerW 2-1
Jun 25VS ATHGeoff HartliebL 6-9
Jun 26VS ATLDylan LeeL 1-3
Jun 27VS ATLLogan WebbW 5-0
Jun 28VS ATLChris Sale
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.143041.2500.229010
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Alex Bregman
11.59
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Matt Chapman
9.31
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Alex Bregman
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2016 HOU 49 53 8 31 34 2 15 .264 .313 .478 154
2017 HOU 153 158 19 88 71 17 55 .284 .352 .475 464
2018 HOU 157 169 31 105 103 10 96 .285 .393 .529 596
2019 HOU 174 179 45 135 124 5 131 .290 .417 .579 710
2020 HOU 56 48 7 24 24 0 30 .233 .340 .408 145
2021 HOU 105 106 13 63 61 1 50 .265 .350 .410 377
2022 HOU 156 146 25 93 101 2 83 .263 .365 .472 621
2023 HOU 172 172 29 113 105 3 99 .259 .362 .449 696
2024 HOU 147 154 26 79 75 3 44 .261 .316 .452 531
2025 BOS 117 121 18 64 63 1 54 .273 .363 .460 432
2026 CHC 80 76 6 37 26 2 41 .241 .340 .340 236
ON PACE 156 148 11 72 50 3 80 .241 .340 .340 460
3-YEAR AVG 145 149 24 85 81 2 66 .264 .347 .453 553
Career 1366 1382 227 832 787 46 698 .269 .362 .470
Career Matt Chapman
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2017 OAK 82 68 14 39 40 0 31 .234 .311 .472 201
2018 OAK 145 152 24 100 69 1 58 .278 .356 .508 434
2019 OAK 152 143 36 99 91 1 72 .245 .338 .503 484
2020 OAK 36 33 10 22 25 0 8 .232 .276 .535 104
2021 OAK 148 108 27 74 72 3 78 .208 .312 .405 391
2022 TOR 145 118 26 77 72 2 61 .230 .320 .435 420
2023 TOR 142 123 17 66 54 4 63 .238 .329 .421 382
2024 SF 154 142 27 98 78 15 64 .247 .328 .463 532
2025 SF 127 105 21 76 61 9 71 .231 .343 .430 422
2026 SF 80 69 7 35 41 0 36 .238 .332 .376 224
ON PACE 158 136 13 69 81 0 71 .238 .332 .376 442
3-YEAR AVG 141 123 22 80 64 9 66 .239 .333 .439 445
Career 1211 1061 209 686 603 35 542 .240 .329 .453
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled