ATLANTA, GA – DECEMBER 10: Atlanta running back Bijan Robinson (7) runs the ball during the NFL game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons on December 10th, 2023 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire)
I was surprised at how well Mullins played last week against Cincinnati but maybe I shouldn't be since he used to play in San Francisco for Kyle Shanahan. This is a home game for Minnesota and the Vikings usually play well there and the Lions have been struggling in their secondary. We might even see Mullens get a few more rushing yards considering the Lions are the worst team against mobile quarterbacks. He had six rushing attempts against Cincinnati and I wouldn't put it past him to do the same this week. The number that I'm really focusing on is that Las Vegas has his passing yardage at 259.5 (-129) which is a strong over.
I'm not trying to be dramatic but it almost feels as if Arthur Smith's job is hanging in the balance this week. Atlanta drafted one of the top running backs of the past decade in Bijan Robinson and has barely used him. If you can't play him at home against Indianapolis and get the most out of him then you probably shouldn't be coaching in the NFL. The Colts let up the eighth most rushing yards in the league as well as the second most touchdowns to opposing running backs. Moreover, they let up the fifth most receiving yards to opposing running backs. If this game doesn't scream give the ball to Bijan I don't know which game would. Even better is that his ownership will be at an all-time low in DFS after last week’s debacle.
The Jaguars secondary has given up the fifth most touchdowns to opposing receivers as well as 8.17 YPC. What we've learned about the Jaguars over this past six or seven weeks is that it's hard to run on them but you can beat them with deep passes. Evans has been relatively quiet over the past two games as Chris Godwin has seen a lot of the targets but if there ever was a boom week for a wide receiver this feels like it. I like Mike Evans to get 100 yards receiving and score a touchdown.
If we had to draft this season all over again, I feel confident in saying that Trey McBride would likely be a fourth or fifth round pick. The Bears let up the fourth most receptions to opposing tight ends along with a 76.9% catch percentage which is a really strong statistic. Moreover, the Bears defense doesn't let up a ton of big plays but they do allow a lot of short passes in the middle of the field which is prime McBride territory.
