Fantasy Baseball Trade Analyzer: Mitch Keller for Nick Castellanos, Logan Webb for Gunnar Henderson and More

Discussing some of the more popular 1-for-1 trades on the FantasySP Fantasy Baseball Trade Analyzer.

After looking at some waiver wire and drop possibilities already this week, it’s time to now discuss some trades.

We’ll take a look at several one-for-one trades on the FantasySP Fantasy Baseball Trade Analyzer.

Explore the best in-season tool to manage lineup/start decisions including waiver pickups, projections, trade suggestions, trade value charts, rest of season rankings, power rankings, and tons more with Fantasy Assistant. Use our fantasy baseball trade analyzer and trade value charts to break down trade scenarios and weekly projections to find the best fantasy options.

Mitch Keller for Nick Castellanos

We’ll start with an intriguing pitcher-for-hitter deal. 

Keller has had a pretty average start to his season, going 3-3 with a 4.41 earned run average across 49 innings and eight starts. He’s struck out 44 batters and walked 16.

Keller allowed four runs in his first and second starts before back-to-back two-run outings. He allowed four runs in the next two starts before giving up three earned in his seventh start. Appearance No. 8 might be the one that gets Keller trending up, as he allowed just one run in a complete game effort.

Castellanos has started a bit slow at the plate, with just a .199 average across 37 games so far. He’s only logged five extra-base hits among his 27 total hits. Castellanos has driven in 12 runs and scored 15 times, while stealing a base, striking out 37 times and walking on 12 occasions.

He’s been better of late, with hits in four straight games going into Wednesday’s action. He’s driven in three runs and scored four times over that span. Castellanos is a career .274 hitter, so maybe this little stretch is a sign that he’s getting going at the plate finally.

Our trade analyzer likes Keller more than Castellanos at this point of the season. Neither guy has lived up to pre-season hype though.

If you are thinking about moving a hitter for a pitcher (or vice versa), this kind of deal makes some sense. I expect both guys to perform better over the course of the season, but Castellanos to raise his value more than Keller. I assume they’ll have pretty similar fantasy outputs by the end of the season.

As is, I am fine with this deal, as long as losing a hitter or pitcher doesn’t handcuff you moving forward.

Carlos Correa for Willy Adames

This deal involves a pair of shortstops in bordering states. When first thinking about the deal, my thought was that the Adames side of things was coming out ahead, and that’s how I feel after looking at some numbers too.

Adames has played in 35 games, accumulating a .257 average and .346 on-base percentage, along with 35 hits, seven home runs, 25 RBIs and five stolen bases.

Correa has only appeared in 19 games so far, tallying 17 hits, one home run, eight RBIs and no steals. He’s got a higher average (.262) and OBP (.372) however.

The trade analyzer likes Adames by about three points more right now, and that makes a lot of sense looking at their numbers. Both guys are coming off down 2023 seasons, but are capable of much higher averages and OBPs. Adames has been the bigger home run threat the past three seasons, with some of that having to do with playing in 33 more games.

Both guys were drafted within a few picks this spring, and both guys should be in the lineup everyday if they are healthy enough to play. I personally like Adames a touch more at this point of the season, but can understand wanting to make this deal too. 

If I were the one taking on Correa, I would try to expand the deal with a player on each side. That way, you could even out the trade a little bit more and maybe fill another void at the same time.

Logan Webb for Gunnar Henderson

This is another fascinating pitcher-for-hitter trade proposal. Webb was drafted about eight picks before Henderson on average.

Webb has had an up-and-down start to his season, but has solid numbers overall. He’s 3-3 with a 3.50 ERA across 46 1/3 innings pitched and eight starts. Webb has struck out 36 batters and walked 12.

Webb has been tagged for four or five runs in three of his starts, but in the other five, he’s allowed two runs or fewer. Between starts 3-6, Webb allowed three earned runs across 29 innings, but he’s given up four earned runs (nine total) in his past two starts.

He’s got a career 3.41 ERA, which is lining up pretty much with his mark so far this season. His strikeout numbers are 1.1 down (per nine innings) from a season ago, while his walks are up 1. I see Webb’s numbers improving as the season rolls along, so I wouldn’t be too worried about some of the poor starts he’s made so far.

Henderson has been one of the top fantasy hitters in the game so far. In 35 games, Henderson is hitting .266, with a .342 on-base percentage. He’s already got 16 extra-base hits (including 10 home runs) among his 37 total hits. Henderson has 24 RBIs, 26 runs, six stolen bases, 12 walks and 42 strikeouts.

Henderson is second in the league in homers, but has not hit one in the past seven games. That cooldown is also seen in his total hits, with just three knocks over the past six games.

The baseball season is a long one and every hitter enjoys hot stretches, but also goes through cold periods. Expect Henderson to have his fair share of hot/cold stretches this season, but to continue to serve as one of the better fantasy hitters, likely dropping off a bit from his current place.

The trade analyzer likes Henderson by over five points right now, but that could change as he cools off and Webb adds another strong start or two into things. Again, this is a trade that makes sense only if you can afford to move a hitter/pitcher and not get one back. 

I personally like Henderson a touch more right now, but could also understand moving him for an arm like Webb. Fantasy owners would probably be best off adding a player to each side of the deal to even things up a touch more.

Dean Kremer for Chris Bassitt

We’ll wrap up with a pitcher swap. Bassitt was picked in the top 100, while Kremer went around pick 215, so at first glance, this looks pretty lopsided.

Kremer has been the superior pitcher in almost every statistic. He’s 3-2 across seven starts, with a 3.57 ERA. He’s struck out 37 batters and walked 11.

Bassitt has also made seven starts, going 2-5 with a 5.45 ERA. He’s struck out 34 batters and walked 18.

The early results point heavily in the favor of Kremer, but the trade analyzer and I agree that Kremer has more fantasy value still. He was drafted in the top 100 for a reason, he’s just gotten off to a slow start so far.

Bassitt was one of the better fantasy pitchers in the game last season, and while some regression was expected, not many expected this much of a dropoff. I fully expect Bassitt to be able to lower his ERA considerably, while also adding several more wins, before the end of the season.

Kremer really only has one full season of pitching under his belt (last season), so while he’s been able to continue some of that success, I also don’t think this year's numbers are sustainable.

Some fantasy owners might look at their numbers and make this trade, but I’d hold out hope if I owned Bassitt. If you wanted to make this deal, I’d try to expand it a bit to mitigate the risk you’d be taking by acquiring Kremer.

Happy trading!

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