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Lucas Giolito or Brandon Young

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Lucas Giolito

Lucas Giolito

SPSan Diego Padres SD
Brandon Young

Brandon Young

SPBaltimore Orioles BAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Giolito over Young

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Lucas Giolito

Giolito Struggles with Control in Injury-Depleted Padres Rotation

After signing late in April, Giolito has struggled to find his footing, posting an 8.71 ERA and a bloated 2.58 WHIP over his last 14 days. The third-place Padres are currently missing several key rotation pieces to injury, including Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove, which has locked Giolito into a role as the number five starter in the rotation.

His current struggles are heavily tied to an alarming walk rate, issuing 13 free passes over 16.2 innings. While our models project a rest-of-season 4.36 ERA and 1.34 WHIP—closer to his solid 3.47 ERA with Boston in 2025— fantasy managers must expect continued volatility until his command stabilizes.

Giolito is scheduled for a single start this week on June 9 at home against Cincinnati. He faces a difficult matchup against Reds starter Chase Burns, who carries an elite 2.05 ERA, making Giolito a highly risky option. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Lucas Giolito
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Young over Giolito

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Young

Brandon Young solidifies his rotation spot and finds his groove behind back-to-back quality starts

Young has secured his place as a key starter in Baltimore's rotation, especially with several rotation injuries to Zach Eflin, Dean Kremer, and Cade Povich. Over his last 30 days, the righty has posted a 3.02 ERA across 26.8 innings to keep the fourth-place Orioles competitive in the division. His recent success is highlighted by improved fastball dominance and a crucial splitter adjustment.

Young's 4.21 ERA this season represents a massive leap forward from last year's 6.45 mark, though a 1.43 WHIP hints at some underlying traffic trouble. Still, our models project a rest-of-season 4.50 ERA accompanied by excellent strikeout upside with 85 strikeouts in our projection. His improved splitter grip makes these recent steps forward look sustainable rather than a fluke.

Young makes one start this week on Wednesday at home against George Kirby and the Mariners. Our weekly projection expects a quality performance of 6.1 innings with 4.6 strikeouts and a 3.55 ERA, making this a highly favorable matchup against a beatable Seattle rotation opponent. Start him with confidence in most formats.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Brandon Young
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Performance Lucas Giolito
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.500-100511.751
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
8.710-100652.582
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Brandon Young
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.431-000401.151
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.461-0001111.152
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Lucas Giolito
OWN
13%
-6.39 compared to last week
START
 
9%
+2.06 compared to last week
OWN/START Brandon Young
OWN
19%
+10.08 compared to last week
START
10%
+5.71 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Lucas Giolito
106th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Brandon Young
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Lucas Giolito

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 106th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 368th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 166th in WHIP with 1.79
  • Currently ranked 121st in ERA with 5.00
  • Currently ranked 141st in wins with 2
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.8 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.06, ERA: -1.509, K's: -16, Walks: +2
Breakdown Brandon Young

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 104th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 131st in WHIP with 1.50
  • Currently ranked 111th in ERA with 4.71
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 98th with 15
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 76th
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: EVEN, WHIP: -0.887, ERA: -2.375, K's: +28, Walks: +9
Next Up Health Check
Injury Lucas Giolito

No Injury Reported

Injury Brandon Young

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Lucas Giolito
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08VS CINAdrian MorejonW 6-2
Jun 09VS CINChase Burns
Jun 10VS CINBrady Singer
Jun 12@BALShane Baz
Jun 13@BAL
Jun 14@BALTrevor Rogers
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Brandon Young
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08VS SEAEmerson HancockL 3-6
Jun 09VS SEALogan Gilbert
Jun 10VS SEAGeorge Kirby
Jun 11VS SEABryan Woo
Jun 12VS SDGriffin Canning
Jun 13VS SDRandy Vasquez
Jun 14VS SDWalker Buehler
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Lucas Giolito
6.93
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Brandon Young
7.56
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Lucas Giolito
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2016 WAS 6 21.1 398 11 12 0 0-1 6.75 1.78 4.6 19
2017 WAS 7 45.1 704 34 12 0 3-3 2.38 0.95 6.8 118
2018 CHW 32 171.0 3007 125 90 0 10-13 6.21 1.49 6.6 311
2019 CHW 29 174.1 2814 228 57 0 14-9 3.46 1.08 11.8 513
2020 CHW 13 79.1 1314 105 29 0 5-3 3.29 0.98 11.9 239
2021 CHW 32 184.2 3060 205 57 0 11-9 3.61 1.11 10 455
2022 CHW 28 150.1 2572 164 58 0 10-9 4.97 1.47 9.8 300
2023 CHW 33 182.0 3188 204 73 0 8-15 5.04 1.34 10.1 359
2025 BOS 26 140.1 2368 121 56 0 10-4 3.46 1.33 7.8 335
2026 SD 4 16.2 315 11 13 0 2-1 4.86 1.74 5.9 26
ON PACE 9 41 785 27 32 0 4-2 4.86 1.74 5.9 64
3-YEAR AVG 20 107 1852 108 43 0 6-6 4.36 1.33 9.1 232
Career 210 1156.0 19740 1208 457 0 0-0 4.39 1.29 9.4
Career Brandon Young
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BAL 12 57.2 940 47 22 0 1-7 6.24 1.54 7.3 54
2026 BAL 9 47.0 777 37 17 0 4-1 4.21 1.43 7.1 107
ON PACE 21 114 1878 89 41 0 9-2 4.21 1.43 7.1 259
3-YEAR AVG 12 56 940 47 22 0 1-7 6.24 1.54 7.3 54
Career 21 104.2 1717 84 39 0 0-0 5.33 1.49 7.2
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Zac Gallen
Max Meyer
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Robert Gasser
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Brandon Eisert
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Logan Gilbert
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Nick Martinez
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Colin Rea
Tomoyuki Sugano
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST Chase Burns
Lucas Giolito
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Gerrit Cole
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Troy Melton
Taj Bradley
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Walbert Urena
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Nathan Eovaldi
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Paul Skenes
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Freddy Peralta
Dustin May
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Dylan Cease
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST Adrian Houser
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST