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Paul Skenes or Trevor Rogers

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

SPPittsburgh Pirates PIT
Trevor Rogers

Trevor Rogers

SPBaltimore Orioles BAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Skenes over Rogers

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes is primed for a massive two-start home week as the Pirates' staff anchor.

Paul Skenes has hit a minor speed bump, posting a 6.43 ERA over his last start and a 4.29 ERA over the last 30 days. Despite this, the reigning Cy Young winner remains the undisputed staff anchor for the third-place Pirates, who are trying to snap a three-game losing streak. Skenes is fully healthy and locked into his workhorse role.

Do not panic over Skenes' recent elevated ratios. His season WHIP is a pristine 0.95, and our models project a spectacular 2.20 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with 235 strikeouts. Given his track record of consecutive sub-2.00 ERA seasons, this recent stretch of traffic is a temporary fluke rather than a cause for concern.

Fantasy managers benefit from a two-start home week for Skenes. He faces the Dodgers and Eric Lauer on Tuesday before a highly favorable Sunday matchup against the Marlins. Our models project 14.8 strikeouts over 12.1 innings with a 2.82 ERA, making Skenes a mandatory play this week. Weekly Verdict: Start.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Paul Skenes
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Rogers over Skenes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor Rogers

Trevor Rogers shows signs of life ahead of a promising two-start week.

After a brutal stretch, Rogers delivered a stellar bounce-back outing on June 4, tossing 5.2 innings of one-run ball. Despite a rough 8.76 ERA over his last 30 days, his recent 1.73 ERA over the last week offers hope. The fourth-place Orioles (31-35) desperately need him to step up as their staff anchor with rotation mates Zach Eflin and Dean Kremer currently sidelined on the injured list.

While Rogers' current 6.58 ERA and 1.58 WHIP through 11 starts look disastrous compared to his elite 1.84 ERA from 2025, our models expect significant positive regression. His underlying stuff remains intact, and a bloated .337 BABIP has fueled much of his misfortune. Our season projections point toward a much friendlier 3.69 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, suggesting his recent slide is an anomaly.

Fantasy managers have a golden opportunity to capitalize on a two-start week. Rogers is scheduled to start at home against Seattle's Logan Gilbert, followed by a Sunday matchup against San Diego's Walker Buehler. Our weekly projection expects 12.0 innings with 7.1 strikeouts, and despite a projected 4.95 ERA for the week, the double-dip volume makes him an enticing option. Verdict: Two-Start Stream.

Updated 23 hrs ago

Latest News Trevor Rogers
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Performance Paul Skenes
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.430-000711.901
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.600-1001741.502
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Trevor Rogers
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.731-000311.151
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.021-000621.162
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Paul Skenes
OWN
100%
+0.34 compared to last week
START
79%
+12.02 compared to last week
OWN/START Trevor Rogers
OWN
41%
+4.33 compared to last week
START
26%
+10.99 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Paul Skenes
1st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Trevor Rogers
84th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Paul Skenes

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 1st among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 20th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 8th with 0.87
  • Top 35 in ERA and is currently ranked 33rd with 2.83
  • Top 25 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 21st with 70
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 56th with 4
  • Top 100 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 90th with 58.0
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.8 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: -1, WHIP: +0.082, ERA: +1.302, K's: -10, Walks: -7
Breakdown Trevor Rogers

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 85th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 486th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 168th in WHIP with 1.88
  • Currently ranked 172nd in ERA with 9.27
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +6, WHIP: +1.252, ERA: +6.58, K's: +36, Walks: +19
Next Up Health Check
Injury Paul Skenes

No Injury Reported

Injury Trevor Rogers

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Paul Skenes
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09VS LADEric Lauer
Jun 10VS LADShohei Ohtani
Jun 11VS LADJustin Wrobleski
Jun 12VS MIA
Jun 13VS MIASandy Alcantara
Jun 14VS MIA
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Trevor Rogers
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08VS SEAEmerson HancockL 3-6
Jun 09VS SEALogan Gilbert
Jun 10VS SEAGeorge Kirby
Jun 11VS SEABryan Woo
Jun 12VS SDGriffin Canning
Jun 13VS SDRandy Vasquez
Jun 14VS SDWalker Buehler
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Paul Skenes
19.28
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Trevor Rogers
8.80
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Paul Skenes
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 PIT 23 133.0 2125 170 32 0 11-3 1.96 0.95 11.5 429
2025 PIT 32 187.2 2997 216 42 0 10-10 1.97 0.95 10.4 526
2026 PIT 13 70.0 1145 82 13 0 6-5 3.21 0.93 10.5 185
ON PACE 31 172 2810 201 31 0 14-12 3.21 0.93 10.5 452
3-YEAR AVG 28 159 2561 193 37 0 11-7 1.98 0.95 10.9 478
Career 68 388.1 6267 468 87 0 0-0 2.2 0.95 10.9
Career Trevor Rogers
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2020 MIA 7 25.2 525 35 9 0 1-2 7.36 1.71 12.3 44
2021 MIA 24 128.0 2084 152 43 0 7-8 2.74 1.16 10.7 317
2022 MIA 20 94.0 1737 92 43 0 4-10 5.65 1.55 8.8 124
2023 MIA 4 18.0 330 19 6 0 1-2 4.5 1.22 9.5 33
2024 MIA 25 122.0 2243 97 56 0 2-11 5.02 1.61 7.2 144
2025 BAL 18 109.2 1627 103 29 0 9-3 1.81 0.9 8.5 325
2026 BAL 11 52.0 958 41 19 0 3-6 6.58 1.58 7.1 65
ON PACE 26 126 2316 99 45 0 7-14 6.58 1.58 7.1 156
3-YEAR AVG 16 82 1400 73 30 0 4-5 3.56 1.26 7.9 167
Career 109 544.2 9504 539 205 0 0-0 4.23 1.35 8.9
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Zac Gallen
Max Meyer
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Robert Gasser
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Brandon Eisert
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Logan Gilbert
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Nick Martinez
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Colin Rea
Tomoyuki Sugano
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST Chase Burns
Lucas Giolito
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Gerrit Cole
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Troy Melton
Taj Bradley
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Walbert Urena
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Nathan Eovaldi
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Paul Skenes
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Freddy Peralta
Dustin May
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Dylan Cease
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST Adrian Houser
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST