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Colin Rea or Andrew Alvarez

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Colin Rea

Colin Rea

SPChicago Cubs CHC
Andrew Alvarez

Andrew Alvarez

SPWashington Nationals WAS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Rea over Alvarez

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Colin Rea

Colin Rea lines up for a two-start week on the road, but shaky season-long ratios make him a risky play.

Colin Rea has stabilized lately, posting a 3.53 ERA and 1.27 WHIP over his last 10.2 innings. This has been a crucial stretch for the fourth-place Cubs, who are dealing with a wave of rotation injuries to Justin Steele and Jameson Taillon. These depth concerns keep Rea firmly entrenched as a back-end starter for the club.

Rea's overall 2026 numbers (4.78 ERA and 1.40 WHIP) indicate his recent stretch is likely a peak rather than a new baseline. Our models project a 4.44 ERA and 1.30 WHIP for the rest of the season. Given his career track record, fantasy managers should expect regression back toward those higher-traffic ratios.

Rea is scheduled for two road starts, opening Tuesday at Colorado against Tomoyuki Sugano and ending Sunday at San Francisco against Logan Webb. A matchup in Coors Field presents extreme ratio risk for a pitcher with high WHIP tendencies, offsetting the appeal of a two-start week. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Colin Rea
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Alvarez over Rea

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Andrew Alvarez

Andrew Alvarez steps into a depleted Nationals rotation as a viable deep-league streaming option this week.

Alvarez has looked sharp lately, posting a strong 2.14 ERA with five strikeouts over his last 4.2 innings. With the third-place Nationals (33-33) missing several key starters due to injuries to Josiah Gray and Jake Irvin, Alvarez has been asked to transition from his usual long-relief role into a crucial spot starter.

While his current 3.71 ERA over 19.4 frames is encouraging, our models project some regression toward a 4.42 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 114.0 projected innings. His career 1.24 WHIP suggests he can limit base runners, but his swingman role caps his overall win and quality start upside.

Alvarez is scheduled for a single road start on Tuesday against the Giants, matching up against Adrian Houser and his elevated 5.71 ERA. Given the highly favorable opponent matchup and his solid strikeout rate, Alvarez makes for an intriguing deep-league Stream to help fantasy managers hunt for a win and solid strikeout numbers.

Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Andrew Alvarez
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Performance Colin Rea
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.530-000321.181
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.531-000851.272
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Andrew Alvarez
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.140-000511.191
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.000-000631.672
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Colin Rea
OWN
17%
-1.75 compared to last week
START
10%
-0.03 compared to last week
OWN/START Andrew Alvarez
OWN
 
4%
+2.41 compared to last week
START
 
3%
+2.39 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Colin Rea
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Andrew Alvarez
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Colin Rea

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 99th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 120th in WHIP with 1.45
  • Currently ranked 126th in ERA with 5.12
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 51st with 19
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 58th with 4
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: +1, WHIP: -0.016, ERA: +1.023, K's: +9, Walks: +5
Breakdown Andrew Alvarez

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 144th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in saves and is currently ranked 80th
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.8 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: EVEN, WHIP: +1.19, ERA: +3.58, K's: +22, Walks: +6
Next Up Health Check
Injury Colin Rea

No Injury Reported

Injury Andrew Alvarez

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Colin Rea
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09@COLTomoyuki Sugano
Jun 10@COLMichael Lorenzen
Jun 11@COLRyan Feltner
Jun 12@SFLanden Roupp
Jun 13@SFTrevor McDonald
Jun 14@SFLogan Webb
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Andrew Alvarez
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@SFClayton BeeterW 3-4
Jun 09@SFAdrian Houser
Jun 10@SFRobbie Ray
Jun 12VS SEABryce Miller
Jun 13VS SEALuis Castillo
Jun 14VS SEAEmerson Hancock
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000500.731
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Colin Rea
7.89
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Andrew Alvarez
6.42
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Colin Rea
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2015 SD 6 31.2 525 26 11 0 2-2 4.26 1.26 7.4 65
2016 SD 20 102.2 1760 80 44 0 5-5 4.73 1.41 7 200
2020 CHC 8 12.0 195 7 0 0 1-0 3.75 0.83 5.3 25
2021 MIL 1 6.0 91 5 0 0 0-0 7.5 1.17 7.5 9
2023 MIL 26 120.0 2016 110 38 0 6-6 4.73 1.23 8.3 237
2024 MIL 32 163.0 2650 135 43 1 12-6 4.42 1.3 7.5 343
2025 CHC 35 160.0 2655 130 47 1 11-8 3.99 1.31 7.3 329
2026 CHC 13 62.1 1071 52 22 1 5-3 4.76 1.4 7.5 126
ON PACE 31 153 2628 127 54 2 12-7 4.76 1.4 7.5 308
3-YEAR AVG 31 148 2440 125 43 1 10-7 4.28 1.27 7.5 303
Career 141 655.1 10963 545 205 0 0-0 4.48 1.31 7.5
Career Andrew Alvarez
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 WAS 5 23.1 417 20 10 0 1-1 2.31 1.11 7.7 51
2026 WAS 6 20.1 340 22 6 1 1-0 3.54 1.18 9.7 53
ON PACE 14 49 822 53 14 2 2-0 3.54 1.18 9.7 127
3-YEAR AVG 5 22 417 20 10 0 1-1 2.31 1.11 7.7 51
Career 11 43.2 757 42 16 0 0-0 2.89 1.15 8.7
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Zac Gallen
Max Meyer
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Robert Gasser
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Brandon Eisert
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Logan Gilbert
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Nick Martinez
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Colin Rea
Tomoyuki Sugano
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST Chase Burns
Lucas Giolito
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Gerrit Cole
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Troy Melton
Taj Bradley
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Walbert Urena
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Nathan Eovaldi
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Paul Skenes
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Freddy Peralta
Dustin May
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Dylan Cease
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST Adrian Houser
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST