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Curtis Mead or Luke Raley

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead

1BWashington Nationals WAS
Luke Raley

Luke Raley

RFSeattle Mariners SEA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mead over Raley

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead's recent power surge has secured him everyday playing time, making him an intriguing starting option.

Curtis Mead is swinging a hot bat, hitting .279 with four home runs and 11 RBI over his last 14 days. His excellent performance against right-handed pitching has earned him everyday playing time, slotting in as the primary starter at third base while providing depth at first and second. This offensive surge is a massive lift for a Washington club that currently sits at 33-33 and third in the NL East.

While Mead only hit five home runs total over his first three major league seasons, his 2026 campaign features a sudden breakout with nine home runs in 51 games. Our rest-of-season models project him to add another 10 long balls with a solid .307 on-base percentage. Given his stellar minor league track record, the power jump looks legitimate, even if his batting average eventually regresses toward his projected .238 mark.

The Nationals play six games this week, starting with a road trip to San Francisco before returning home to host Seattle. Mead enjoys excellent matchups against struggling starters Adrian Houser (5.71 ERA) and Luis Castillo (5.53 ERA), though matchups against Bryce Miller (1.33 ERA) and Emerson Hancock (2.80 ERA) will test him. With his everyday role locked in, he remains an excellent lineup option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 16 hrs ago

Latest News Curtis Mead
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Raley over Mead

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Luke Raley

Luke Raley Slumps in the Short Term but Holds Major Power Upside for the Week Ahead

Raley has run extremely cold over the last seven days, collecting just two hits in 20 at-bats for a .100 average while striking out nine times. Despite this, he remains locked in as the everyday starting right fielder for the first-place Mariners (34-32). His presence is vital as Seattle navigates injuries to key contributors like Cal Raleigh and Brendan Donovan.

The contact issues are frustrating, but Raley's prior 30-day stretch with a .260 average and five homers aligns with his 13 home runs on the season. Our models project him to add 12 more homers over 230 remaining at-bats. Given his strong power profile and .335 projected on-base percentage, this slump is a temporary fluke rather than a permanent decline.

The Mariners play seven road games this week against the Orioles and Nationals. This road trip features friendly matchups against struggling starters like Trevor Rogers (6.58 ERA) and Miles Mikolas (6.33 ERA). With high game volume against vulnerable pitching, Raley is primed for a major bounce-back. Start him with confidence.

Updated 16 hrs ago

Latest News Luke Raley
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Performance Curtis Mead
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.222123.3000.44405
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.263287.3640.474011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Luke Raley
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.111000.1050.16705
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.212222.2700.424011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Curtis Mead
OWN
41%
+2.57 compared to last week
START
40%
+3.6 compared to last week
OWN/START Luke Raley
OWN
43%
-4.55 compared to last week
START
35%
-6.9 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Curtis Mead
25th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Luke Raley
55th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Curtis Mead

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B 3B . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 26th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 21st.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 357th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.245
  • Ranked 246th in batting average with 0.237
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 117th with 0.350
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 90th with 0.468
  • Top 100 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 95th with 0.817
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 273rd with 2
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 178th in RBI with 25
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 186th in runs scored with 27
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.027, OBP: +0.069, HRs: +6, RBI: +21, Runs: +22, Wlks: +18, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Luke Raley

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 56th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 59th.
  • The current leader among OF's is James Wood
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 124th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.321
  • Ranked 133rd in batting average with 0.263
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 223rd with 0.318
  • Top 50 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 37th with 0.526
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 69th with 0.843
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 274th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 144th in RBI with 25
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 276th in runs scored with 18
  • Top 75 in HRs and is currently ranked 59th with 10
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.053, OBP: -0.029, HRs: +11, RBI: +23, Runs: +12, Wlks: -1, Stls: -1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Curtis Mead

No Injury Reported

Injury Luke Raley

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Curtis Mead
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@SFLogan Webb
Jun 09@SFAdrian Houser
Jun 10@SFRobbie Ray
Jun 12VS SEABryce Miller
Jun 13VS SEALuis Castillo
Jun 14VS SEAEmerson Hancock
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.125121.1250.50003
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Luke Raley
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@BALChris Bassitt
Jun 09@BALTrevor Rogers
Jun 10@BALBrandon Young
Jun 11@BALKyle Bradish
Jun 12@WASZack Littell
Jun 13@WASCade Cavalli
Jun 14@WASMiles Mikolas
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
..0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Curtis Mead
8.98
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Luke Raley
9.04
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Curtis Mead
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 TB 26 23 1 12 6 0 7 .258 .327 .348 59
2024 TB 38 29 1 10 7 2 6 .238 .282 .287 70
2025 TB 86 56 3 25 18 5 15 .233 .298 .321 168
2026 WAS 51 38 9 29 28 3 24 .247 .356 .487 181
ON PACE 125 93 22 71 68 7 58 .247 .356 .487 444
3-YEAR AVG 50 36 2 16 10 2 9 .239 .299 .317 99
Career 201 146 14 76 59 10 52 .241 .314 .360
Career Luke Raley
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 LAD 28 12 2 5 4 0 2 .179 .247 .284 32
2022 TB 22 12 1 7 4 0 7 .197 .306 .279 33
2023 TB 115 89 19 56 49 13 28 .249 .331 .490 311
2024 SEA 130 99 22 56 58 10 26 .245 .319 .468 344
2025 SEA 68 37 4 21 19 2 18 .198 .301 .305 121
2026 SEA 59 44 13 22 31 1 9 .259 .316 .529 151
ON PACE 144 108 31 54 76 2 22 .259 .316 .529 370
3-YEAR AVG 104 75 15 44 42 8 24 .237 .320 .444 259
Career 422 293 61 167 165 26 90 .235 .315 .439
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Zac Gallen
Max Meyer
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Robert Gasser
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Erick Fedde
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Logan Gilbert
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Nick Martinez
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Colin Rea
Tomoyuki Sugano
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST Chase Burns
Lucas Giolito
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Gerrit Cole
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Troy Melton
Taj Bradley
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Walbert Urena
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Nathan Eovaldi
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Paul Skenes
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Freddy Peralta
Dustin May
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST Adrian Houser
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST