Best NFL Player Prop Bets Week 4: Jordan Addison, Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, and More
Best Week 4 Player Prop Bets
Jordan Addison, Minnesota Vikings | OVER 38.5 receiving yards (projection on FantasySP is 56.5)
It feels like Addison is emerging as the Vikings WR2 as he seems to be improving with each passing game. The Panthers are going to do whatever they possibly can to try to double Justin Jefferson and make sure he doesn’t beat them which leaves Addison open for a few catches. 38.5 receiving yards seems light to me because all it's going to take is about three receptions for him to go over this prop.
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills | OVER 1.5 passing TDs (projection on FantasySP is 2 TDs)
I'm totally in line with Allen being over on this prop as I feel like Las Vegas is over-inflating how well Miami played last week. Miami games tend to become track meets at home but on the road, you never know what you're getting with them. I know what I'm getting with Josh Allen: a top quarterback who loves playing at home and who should have the opportunity to throw two touchdowns and maybe three.
Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers | OVER 1.5 passing TDs (projection on FantasySP is 2.1 TDs)
I'm trying to think of a way that this game doesn't explode but for the life of me, it just feels like the Raiders/Chargers game is going to have a low 60s total. Don’t be too worried about Mike Williams not being there anymore because Herbert has so many big targets to choose from, especially in the red zone. Two touchdowns feels like the right number for him this week.
Tyler Allgeier, Atlanta Falcons | OVER 37.5 rushing yards (projection on FantasySP is 47.5)
Allgeier is one of those players that's easy to overlook because he's obviously not the starter and if he doesn't score a touchdown you forget how valuable he is to this offense. This prop bet comes down to whether he is going to get 13 carries. If he gets 13 carries and averages three yards per carry he's going over in this prop. I’ll take my chances that Atlanta dominates the line of scrimmage and Allgeier plays like he did in Week 1.