Week 13 NFL Prop Bets: Nick Chubb, Garrett Wilson, Brandon Aiyuk & More!
Prop betting is one of the best ways to take advantage of your fantasy football knowledge to help make you a profit during the fantasy football season. Study the lines, do your research, and make the best bets that will help you beat the book.
Speaking of beating the book, it’s incredibly important to Odds Shop at different sportsbooks to make sure that you are getting the best odds available. The bookmakers are so clever that one yard could make the difference between you winning and losing. It might take a little longer to do that, but it will certainly push the percentages in you favor!
Week 13 NFL Prop Bets To Target
Jalen Hurts OVER 219.5 passing yards
Analysis: By now we are all familiar with the fact that the Titans have one of the best run defenses in the league. What this means is that we should expect a big week from Hurts who is more than capable of throwing for at least 250 yards and multiple touchdowns against a very overmatched and slow Titans secondary.
Mike White OVER 242.5 passing yards
Analysis: Will lightning strike twice for Mike White? I think a lot of people will doubt him, but I fully expect him to have a good week against Minnesota. If you think back to Thanksgiving night you'll remember that Mac Jones threw for close to 400 yards against this Vikings pass defense. I would argue that White has better targets than New England does and last week he threw to 10 different receivers, which I know the Vikings can't cover because they just don't have the depth in their secondary.
Tua Tagovailoa OVER 272.5 passing yards
Analysis: The San Francisco 49ers are incredibly strong at stopping the run and they also are very adept at stopping opposing tight ends. The way to beat San Francisco is to use multiple receivers, create some confusion, and force the 49ers to throw the ball more than they want to. If anybody knows the 49ers it's Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel, who I think will know how to attack this defense better than anyone in the league. My only fear here with Tua is that without Terron Armstead, he may not have a lot of time to throw. However, McDaniel should be able to get a lot of quick passing plays called, which should give Tua an excellent chance to have a big day.
Miles Sanders UNDER 60.5 yards rushing
Analysis: The Titans have been incredibly stingy against the run and the best way to beat them is through the air. While I give Sanders a chance to score a touchdown, I don't see how he gets 60 yards unless he breaks off a big run at the end of the game. I think the chance of that happening is minuscule, so I'll take the under here and feel pretty good about it.
Nick Chubb OVER 104.5 rushing and receiving yards
Analysis: Most people will be concentrating on the return of Deshaun Watson to Houston and although that's the headline story, the truth of the matter is the best play in the game is Nick Chubb against this porous Texans run defense. I'm not sure that anybody in the state of Texas can stop Chubb on Sunday and he is absolutely a visionary lock.
Brandon Aiyuk OVER 54.5 yards receiving
Analysis: The Dolphins' pass defense has been one of the weaker ones in the league and it's seen a lot of teams have really good days when they play against them. With there being a few injuries in the 49ers' running game, I think that Jimmy G will have to throw the ball a little bit more than he wants to. I also think that Miami's offense will create a lot of opportunities and force the 49ers out of their comfort zone. This should result in more receiving yards for top receivers like Aiyuk.
AJ Brown OVER 74.5 yards receiving
Analysis: Who loves the revenge narrative more than I do? No one! I am all in on A.J. Brown hammering his old team to the tune of 125+ yards and at least one touchdown. Making matters even better for Brown is that the Titans run defense has been terrific and the only way for the Eagles to move the ball will be through the air, which puts him as one of the top players of the week.
Garrett Wilson" data-toggle="modal" data-target="#player-pop-up" href="/nfl_player_news/Garrett_Wilson/">Garrett Wilson OVER 60.5 yards receiving
Analysis: Many times throughout this season I've talked about expected value (EV). What that means is that I'm looking to see in what direction the odds are going and if the odds are going in a certain direction I want my bets heading there too. Pinnacle has long been referred to as the sharpest sportsbook in America and most sportsbooks and other betting sites usually compare lines to Pinnacle. Right now, Pinnacle has Wilson as -142 OVER which is very strong. I've often said you have to listen to Vegas and in this case, Vegas is screaming to take the Wilson over here and so I will.
George Pickens" data-toggle="modal" data-target="#player-pop-up" href="/nfl_player_news/George_Pickens/">George Pickens OVER 46.5 yards receiving
Analysis: The Falcons have given up the second-most passing yards in the league this season. Pickens has been so very close on a lot of big plays that if he can just hit one of them it will give them a chance to get this over on two or three receptions. I think that happens this week and I'm happy to take the over here.
Tyler Conklin OVER 28.5 yards receiving
Analysis: Here's another under-the-radar revenge narrative game where Conklin spent his first years in the league playing for the Vikings. The Vikings don't cover opposing tight ends very well so it wouldn't surprise me to see Mike White throw a few passes Conklin's way and I think he has a really good chance of finding the end zone too.
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