Predictive Waiver Wire Analytics - Learn more
NFL
KC
IND
17
20
BAL
NE
37
26
GB
TB
14
12
PIT
CLE
17
29
HOU
CHI
20
23
LV
TEN
22
24
BUF
MIA
19
21
DET
MIN
24
28
CIN
NYJ
27
12
PHI
WAS
24
8
NO
CAR
14
22
JAX
LAC
38
10
LAR
ARI
20
12
ATL
SEA
27
23
SF
DEN
7
0
DAL
NYG
o39.5
-1
8:15PM • PREVIEW

Divisional NFL DFS: Mahomes is Where The Heart is

Matt De Lima Jan 11th 9:45 AM EST.

(Editor's note: This is a preview of Steve Renner's weekly DFS article from FullTime DFS.)

Patrick Mahomes is as good as ever. He "regressed" only in the context of stat projections purposes but not in his overall play. The Kansas City Chiefs over the second half of the season were quietly one of the best all-around teams.

They draw a Houston opponent who beat them early in the regular season 31-24 and should present another tough spot but I trust the Chiefs not only to roll this weekend but win next week and be representing the AFC in Miami at the Super Bowl.

So how do they beat Houston? Through Mahomes. Plain and simple. In their prior game this season, Mahomes was just 19-for-35. The Texans dominated with 35 first downs to Kansas City’s 20. It’s a very basic statistic but if that stat is anywhere back to normal in this game then the Chiefs should absolutely roll because I don’t see Houston’s defense holding up long enough to stop them and if the Chiefs D continues to play as they have lately and get off the field on third down then we’re gonna see a ton of opportunities for Mahomes to shine.

Houston has no answer for Tyreek Hill and he scored twice in the regular season but look to take a gamble on one of the secondary players for the Chiefs because I suspect Mahomes accounts for 4+ touchdowns with a strong chance of going for 5+ and if that happens then Demarcus Robinson, Mecole Hardman or Sammy Watkins. There’s no clear indication as to any one of these guys being the better play over another as all are seeing similar snap shares and relatively low target shares as arguably the #4 option in the passing game behind Kelce, Hill, RB — but for DFS this week adding one of them to your Chiefs stack will be the difference.

AMBUSH PLAY: Mahomes hangs 4+ TDs vs. Houston!

READ MORE: DIVISIONAL RD AMBUSH NFL DFS! ($)

Subscribe now with promo code AMBUSH25 for 25% off your NFL DFS membership

HEADLINES

Latest from FSP

Waiver Trends

More Trends
Mike Gesicki MIA TE +12.6
Sterling Shepard NYG WR +12.3
Ryan Tannehill TEN QB +11.5
Dustin Hopkins LAC K +11.3
Greg Dortch ARI WR +11.0
Jimmy Garoppolo SF QB +10.6
Brian Robinson WAS RB +10.6
Kenneth Gainwell PHI RB +10.1
Raheem Mostert MIA RB +10.0
Marcus Mariota ATL QB +9.6
Robert Tonyan GB TE +9.4
Daniel Jones NYG QB +8.2
Jarvis Landry NO WR +7.5
Austin Hooper TEN TE +7.0
Graham Gano NYG K +6.8
Nico Collins HOU WR -13.5
Rex Burkhead HOU RB -12.6
Nyheim Hines IND RB -12.1
Harrison Butker KC K -11.4
Cole Kmet CHI TE -11.4
Taysom Hill NO TE -11.1
Joshua Palmer LAC WR -9.9
Steelers DST PIT DST -9.5
Khalil Herbert CHI RB -9.4
Justin Fields CHI QB -9.2
Colts DST IND DST -9.0
Michael Gallup DAL WR -8.5
Isiah Pacheco KC RB -8.0
Robert Woods TEN WR -7.9
Hunter Henry NE TE -7.4

Player News

Video Highlights

Date Matchup Score
No highlights