NFL DFS Week 11: Welcome to Julio Jones Week!

Matt De Lima Nov 17th 10:27 AM EST.

(Editor's note: This is a preview of Steve Renner's weekly DFS article from FullTime DFS.)

Welcome to Julio Jones Week 2019. I seem to be the only person who has the clarity to notice that the Carolina Panthers Defense isn’t a team to avoid targeting in DFS. Overall they produce some numbers that pop for folks in terms of fantasy stats such as being near the top in sacks, interceptions and limiting a high amount of yards per play. That’s great. Play the Panthers D all you want anywhere while we continue to eat against them on the other side with the numbers that matter for the positional plays.

The Panthers defense has yielded point totals of 24-20-51-26-27 in their last five games and only once all season (Houston) have they given up less than 30 total fantasy points to wide receivers. When the Panthers are on the road, we’ve attacked their rush defense and when they’re at home, I will attack their pass defense.

In comes Atlanta off a great game plan and performance in New Orleans the prior week. In Week 10, they tried to take the air out of the ball and sustain long drives and avoid an underrated Saints secondary and pass rush. But in the process they lost Devonta Freeman and Austin Hooper. Opportunity knocks and Julio is going to respond. He is perfectly healthy, has a fantastic history against Ron Rivera’s defenses and with all the Falcons weapons like Freeman, Hooper, Mohamed Sanu, Ito Smith all gone via injury, IR or trade it’s setting up for a high volume game for Julio and the Falcons passing attack. I can’t go as far to say we’ll see another 12 catch, 300 yard game from Julio like he had in 2016 (yes, those are real numbers from that game) but I also do not expect anyone on Carolina to limit him under 100 yards receiving this week and the low TD volume for Julio changes with Hooper out.

AMBUSH PLAY #1: Play Julio Jones as our top WR this week.

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N'Keal Harry NE WR +2.5
Browns DST CLE DST +2.4
Mecole Hardman KC WR +2.4
Josh Gordon SEA WR +2.4
Chris Conley JAC WR +2.4
Benny Snell PIT RB +2.3
Corey Davis TEN WR +2.2
Tony Pollard DAL RB +2.2
Matt Prater DET K +2.1
Nyheim Hines IND RB +1.9
Lions DST DET DST +1.9
Justice Hill BAL RB +1.9
Auden Tate CIN WR +1.9
Frank Gore BUF RB +1.9
Noah Fant DEN TE +1.9
Alshon Jeffery PHI WR -2.2
Broncos DST DEN DST -2.2
Breshad Perriman TB WR -2.1
Saints DST NO DST -2.0
Matt Gay TB K -1.7
Steelers DST PIT DST -1.7
Marvin Jones DET WR -1.4
Chiefs DST KC DST -1.4
Greg Olsen CAR TE -1.3
Ravens DST BAL DST -1.3
Phillip Dorsett NE WR -1.3
Kai Forbath DAL K -1.1
Harrison Butker KC K -1.1
Falcons DST ATL DST -1.1
David Johnson ARI RB -1.1

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