Fantasy Football For Breakfast (Thu, 7/18)

Matt De Lima Jul 18th 10:25 AM EDT.

I've got a fever and the only prescription is Fantasy Football! Follow me on Twitter, @mattkdelima

BEAT WRITER SEES Peyton Barber GETTING 45 TARGETS

NEWS: A beat writer from Pewter Report (media site covering the Bucs) believes Peyton Barber will finish with "close to" 45 targets.

ANALYSIS: For some context, Barber finished 2018 with 29 targets. Last season, Jacquizz Rodgers had 45 targets so I'm guessing the writer feels Barber will see an expanded role on passing downs or maybe even challenge for a three-down role. Yes, that's right, ladies and gents: Barber could be a workhorse back. What a sad state of affairs.

Many Fantasy analysts seem to believe Ronald Jones will inevitably carve out a role for himself. But nothing's promised in this game and until we see some flash in training camp or preseason, I'm not even humoring the notion.

For my money, I'm not buying any of the Tampa backs unless they fall in my lap in ADP and I'm in desperate need at the position. According to FullTime Fantasy's Advanced ADP (uses draft results from the 10 most recent high-stakes leagues), Barber's ADP is 137 (12.05) & Jones' ADP is 104 (9.08). Third-stringer Bruce Anderson's ADP is 234 (20.06). The media close to the team is saying Barber could be a three-down back and Fantasy know-it-alls are overdrafting Jones. The range of outcomes reveals one thing for certain: Nobody knows up from down here. Take that to heart.

The big deterrent for me with these backs is the Bucs have doubled-down on their pass-heavy offense by bringing in head coach Bruce Arians. The only thing that got Arians to hand the ball off while in Arizona was David Johnson's dominant 2016 season. The risk of drafting Jones around the same time as Ito Smith, Austin Ekeler and Kareem Hunt (ADPs 99, 102 & 106 respectively) makes no sense to me.

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RODNEY ANDERSON LIKELY TO OPEN SEASON ON RESERVE/PUP LIST

NEWS: The sixth-rounder tore his ACL in early September last year.

ANALYSIS: Trayveon Williams, the other sixth-round running back the Bengals drafted is the real value on this team. If you want to handcuff Joe Mixon, I'd pass over Gio Bernard and snag Williams. His ADP is 278 and he's usually going undrafted. That's no knock on Bernard but I feel he's on the trade block and on the outs with the team.

*licks finger and sticks it up to the wind*

Yeah, Trayveon Williams... Yeah...

*Solemnly looks with confidence to the distant horizon*

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GM JOHN ELWAY IS EXCITED ABOUT QB SITUATION

NEWS: "It's a hard position to fill," Elway said. "Hopefully with Joe we've got it solidified with Drew working under him." Elway went on to say he feels the team is confident in Flacco.

ANALYSIS: Imagine being excited about Joe Flacco. I mean really. Oh John Elway, bless your heart.

I think Flacco is a leader and has every right to believe in himself. I respect Elway's career of course.

But if I may exercise my authority as just another guy on the internet Flacco is trash! At least for our Fantasy purposes.

Only once in his career has Flacco passed for 4000 or more yards. He's only passed for more than 25 TDs once. And it's not as though this receiving corps' cup runneth over. We've got Emmanuel Sanders recovering from an Achilles' injury, the still unproven Courtland Sutton & DaeSean Hamilton plus rookie TE Noah Fant.

There's potential here of course with so much youth but how many airballs do we need to watch Elway put up at the QB position before we exercise some discretion in relying on any of these guys? I've had my fill.

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Vikings DST MIN DST +8.6
Raheem Mostert SF RB +7.6
Patrick Laird MIA RB +7.4
Ryan Fitzpatrick MIA QB +7.0
Packers DST GB DST +6.7
Texans DST HOU DST +6.5
Alexander Mattison MIN RB +6.0
Colts DST IND DST +5.5
James Washington PIT WR +5.4
Ryan Tannehill TEN QB +5.0
Jack Doyle IND TE +4.8
Zach Pascal IND WR +4.8
Mike Gesicki MIA TE +4.6
Robbie Gould SF K +4.4
Darwin Thompson KC RB +4.2
Jonathan Williams IND RB -13.6
Brett Maher DAL K -8.4
Kalen Ballage MIA RB -6.4
Nick Foles JAC QB -6.0
Daniel Jones NYG QB -5.8
Darrel Williams KC RB -5.7
Ryan Griffin NYJ TE -5.5
Panthers DST CAR DST -5.2
Ronald Jones TB RB -4.5
A.J. Green CIN WR -4.4
Lions DST DET DST -4.4
Brandin Cooks LAR WR -4.1
Mohamed Sanu NE WR -4.0
Eagles DST PHI DST -3.9
Gerald Everett LAR TE -3.8

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