Fantasy Football For Breakfast (7/12)
We're back again ahead of the 2019 season to talk Fantasy Football For Breakfast!
Melvin Gordon'S POTENTIAL HOLDOUT
NEWS: Los Angeles Chargers RB Melvin Gordon made it known he is willing to hold out without a new contract.
ANALYSIS: Certainly the biggest Fantasy news to come out in some time. Gordon is a Top 5 Fantasy back and his absence in four games last season was noteworthy because it allowed backup RB Austin Ekeler to see more playing time. RB holdouts don't fare well these days, just ask Le'Veon Bell. A quality running game appears to be worth more than the sum of its parts in today's NFL and despite his borderline elite status, it seems unlikely ownership would be willing to budge. The Chargers have a reputation for being tight with the purse strings going all the way back to guys like LaDainian Tomlinson and Quentin Jammer having long rookie holdouts and more recently, the long wait of standout Joey Bosa after he was drafted in 2016.
In any case, we have to remember our Economics 101 course here. Buy low and sell high. Dynasty owners should not be using this as an opportunity to trade away Gordon unless they can get a full price offer. Furthermore, trading for Ekeler or third-stringer Justin Jackson would only be a value if acquired on the cheap. Paying up for either player is a calculated risk at best. Fading Gordon in redraft leagues is something you'll have to weigh for yourself in each and every draft.
According to the FullTime Fantasy's Advanced ADP ranges between the 5th and 9th pick overall (7.7 ADP). We will have to wait another day or two for the next high-stakes draft to alter those results.
Jimmy Garoppolo "GOOD TO GO"
NEWS: "The rehab process has gone really well," San Francisco 49ers QB Garoppolo said. "Knock on wood. We haven’t had any setbacks."
ANALYSIS: It's put up or shut up time for Garoppolo and by extension, HC Kyle Shanahan and GM John Lynch. The pieces are in place and assuming the team can stay healthy this year (which wasn't the case last season), there can't be any excuses. Let's face it, from what we saw of Garoppolo, he isn't Tom Brady but he did play like an above-average Fantasy QB.
It's unrealistic to expect a Top 10 season but it also wouldn't be a huge shock given where expectations were last offseason. Between George Kittle, Tevin Coleman, Jerick McKinnon, Dante Pettis and Marquise Goodwin, there's enough talent here to make a strong run at the postseason. As long as you aren't in a league with a 49ers super fan, Jimmy G is a value QB2. We just can't yet say where his floor is in 2019 until we've seen more of him.
ANDY REID WANTS Damien Williams AS FULL-TIME STARTER
NEWS: "He's taken that challenge," Kansas City Chiefs HC Andy Reid continued. "He wants to do this thing. He's earned the right to be that guy. And now it's a matter of production. Ya gotta go do it."
ANALYSIS: I think most of us Fantasy owners do as well, Coach Reid. Williams is a divisive player but there is one thing we can almost all agree on: If Williams gets somewhere around 275+ touches, he'll be one of the best backs in the league. This offense is just too good, too high-powered. Given his ability to contribute as a three-down back and chip-in healthy PPR totals every week, the only reason to discount Williams is if he is being drafted too high.
FullTime Fantasy's Advanced ADP, which pulls draft results from high-stakes leagues with only the best drafters, has DWill's range from Pick 11 to 35. Like I said, he's a divisive player. He's going around the same pick as T.Y. Hilton, Amari Cooper and Keenan Allen. That's daunting to pass on those big names for a guy with such a weak track record in comparison. So while that ADP is high, we really have to remind ourselves that the Chiefs averaged 32.2 pts per game over the last 5 weeks of the season (and 31 in each of their postseason games). It's easy to forget how dynamic this offense was we get further away from the Patrick Mahomes' monster 2018 season. Williams is the primary back with limited competition from the perennial underachiever Carlos Hyde so he cannot be taken lightly in this offense until proven otherwise.
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